miamarsden8 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 2 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: I still have this concern ...if fact the new HRRR has cut snow totals for the city of peoria also I believe there is a slug of warm air aloft surging north over Ne IL at this time.. the bright returns on the radar are edging north For reference, here's the new HRRR. It actually gives Macomb a bit more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 FWIW, the HRRR is having the changeover earlier and earlier in MI. We could get snuck up on. Temps are also lower than forecasted right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 1 minute ago, janetjanet998 said: I still have this concern ...if fact the new HRRR has cut snow totals for the city of peoria and the rain snow line seems to have stalled for now also I believe there is a slug of warm air aloft surging north over Ne IL at this time.. the bright returns on the radar are edging north I second this. Some waa sneaking it's way in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 2 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: pretty much a slam dunk blizzard for chicagoland is incoming. convection feeding into the ccb is always a good sign that gravity waves will easily penetrate down to the surface. same as in ghd2. that's a wall of snow incoming on radar, too. No doubt that converts to snow with insane rates very shortly, but for the time being it looks like there's still a lot of sleet/mixed precip(especially SW of the metro). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamarsden8 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 The fact that the HRRR has us right between a band of either getting 11 inches or 5 inches is killing my anxiety. What a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just now, hlcater said: No doubt that converts to snow with insane rates very shortly, but for the time being it looks like there's still a lot of sleet/mixed precip(especially SW of the metro). Yep. Just got better looking CC and radar returns which related to much higher snow rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Wow, your big winter storm for northwest of Chicago, 15z SREFs bring almost a foot and a half of snow to parts of IL and southeast IA. Keep the reports coming, I love winter storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 These storms are coming folks, be prepared for a wild start to December, especially for the Great Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 CC loop (https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LOT-N0C-1-24) showing the rain/snow line making a stand in the northern suburbs, it appears. Also edging east into the western suburbs, nighttime coming to the rescue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just surpassed the 5" mark, with the RAP and HRRR both showing another 0.7-0.8" more precip after 6pm. Looks like we got a footer in the bag unless something unforeseen happens. Had about a half inch at 2:40pm, so it's averaging a little over 1.5" per hour. This stuff is surprisingly easy to measure. Not really blowing around at all on the ground yet. Snow is still very wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 4 minutes ago, miamarsden8 said: For reference, here's the new HRRR. It actually gives Macomb a bit more snow. the "wavy" portion from PIA to LOT is the model trying to figure out the WAA Versus convective cooling battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 2 minutes ago, Kaner88 said: CC loop (https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LOT-N0C-1-24) showing the rain/snow line making a stand in the northern suburbs, it appears. Also edging east into the western suburbs, nighttime coming to the rescue I'm right on the edge of the pink and yellow in Kane county. Can hear some sleet against the window. Hopefully this is a short burst before it changes over to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 It looks like some models are producing Lake Enhanced snows over Chicago, which is why a bullseye is over the city. Especially probable on northeasterly winds as the storm passes by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Anyone got 18z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamarsden8 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just now, tim123 said: Anyone got 18z euro I'm refreshing the page waiting for it to come up, will post as soon as I see it if someone doesn't beat me to the punch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 What an impressive early season storm. It's going to make history for Chicago and surrounding areas. Radar returns look amazing. Would love to experience the blizzard. Stay safe everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 What awesome satellite imagery of the storm, classic snowstorm presentation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Mixed bag just east of KDPA. Some larger flakes mixing in so hopefully a full flip is near. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Hard to tell since I'm staring at my porch light but it looks like MBY (few miles north of ORD) will kick off with light snow rather than rain. Radar would suggest some heavy stuff but seems like the first precipitation is beating back the dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 33 minutes ago, hlcater said: Muscatine AWOS just recorded a 61mph gust. Just recorded a second 67mph gust. Muscatine wind gusts are much higher than surrounding stations. Equipment problem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamarsden8 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 1 minute ago, Chinook said: Muscatine wind gusts are much higher than surrounding stations. Equipment problem? I don't know. We just hit a 2nd 46 mph gust here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamarsden8 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 A picture from the first hour of full on snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted November 25, 2018 Author Share Posted November 25, 2018 It looks like we're right on the line on radar, but it's just pouring rain out here man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just now, Malacka11 said: It looks like we're right on the line on radar, but it's just pouring rain out here man Hope you get snow soon, I am sure you will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 HRRR suggests relatively little movement of the rain/snow line in Cook county over the next couple hours. It appears the rain/snow line is actually a bit west of where the model has it at 00z, at least in the Chicago area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 You know it's an "event" when the out-of-forum members are stalking us! Welcome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamarsden8 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just now, Hoosier said: HRRR suggests relatively little movement of the rain/snow line in Cook county over the next couple hours. It appears the rain/snow line is actually a bit west of where the model has it at 00z, at least in the Chicago area. But it's also about 10 miles south of where any NWS people had predicted it over here, and I'm so, so happy about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just now, DaveNay said: You know it's an "event" when the out-of-forum members are stalking us! Welcome! Just now, DaveNay said: You know it's an "event" when the out-of-forum members are stalking us! Welcome! Thanks, I love snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted November 25, 2018 Author Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just now, Jebman said: Hope you get snow soon, I am sure you will Thanks for the cheerful words lol. I'm anxious but I've got nothing to fear, the changeover has been predicted to occur around now for hours. It's not like I'm behind schedule lol. It'll be a fun night once it gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just now, DaveNay said: You know it's an "event" when the out-of-forum members are stalking us! Welcome! Hell YEAH it is! I am loving the radar presentation, the posts and the AFDs! Enjoy! I'll probably stay up tonight watching this and I am south of AUS in Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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