HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Mostly sunny and a delightful 42F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2018 Author Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 5:56 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Mostly sunny and a delightful 42F here. Expand Prob not for long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 6:04 PM, ORH_wxman said: Prob not for long Expand Looks good for a Windsexy event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2018 Author Share Posted November 21, 2018 The lapse rates are amazing...I'd like a little more moisture in the lowest 100mb for a big time event and a bit more lift, but the lapse rates alone will help to sustain at least a few squalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Well that escalated quickly. There is a hillside less than .25/mile behind that building across the street from my office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 I like the graphic BTV uses. Detailed info in the sidebar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 12z EURO is a little bullish on the northerly winds for 12z Friday forecast, this should bring the heavier bands of snow over Cape Cod as far west as HYA or Sandwich, MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Latest HRRR brings extreme lift into the SGZ around after 9z tomorrow morning, that would 4 am EST, for CHH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 This is the image that shows the lift in the snow growth zone for Thanksgiving morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 6:57 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: This is the image that shows the lift in the snow growth zone for Thanksgiving morning. Expand Using the HRRR anywhere over 6 hours out is massively inaccurate, and any model run results should be blended together almost as ensembles. Long story short: HRRR at this range is like extrapolating the NAM past 84 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Latest HRRR 17z run shows very intense cold air at 850mb, around -24C over CHH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 6:59 PM, sbos_wx said: Using the HRRR anywhere over 6 hours out is massively inaccurate, and any model run results should be blended together almost as ensembles. Long story short: HRRR at this range is like extrapolating the NAM past 84 hours. Expand Maybe it is seeing what the EURO and RGEM are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 I thought you made an OES thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 7:01 PM, dendrite said: I thought you made an OES thread? Expand I thought these were the obs thread as a whole for the next two days of weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 7:03 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I thought these were the obs thread as a whole for the next two days of weather? Expand Definitely OES thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 7:04 PM, sbos_wx said: Definitely OES thread Expand I posted it in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Must be a force field blocking entrance of the squalls on west side of Sebago. They start to advance then dry right up. Threatening clouds over our house, but nothing falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 7:17 PM, Lava Rock said: Must be a force field blocking entrance of the squalls on west side of Sebago. They start to advance then dry right up. Expand Downsloping from the mountains, used to always happen when I lived in Bridgton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 39/30 calm and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 32.2F Mostly cloudy light flurries. Had 1/4" of fluff snowshowers late morning. Then PC. Snowshowers/squalls to my west. New weathersite with my 2 weather cams and Davis info https://www.bridgewaternhweather.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Albany getting blitzed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 7:20 PM, wxeyeNH said: 32.2F Mostly cloudy light flurries. Had 1/4" of fluff snowshowers late morning. Then PC. Snowshowers/squalls to my west. New weathersite with my 2 weather cams and Davis info https://www.bridgewaternhweather.com/ Expand This is awesome watching the squalls live Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Looks good for a few squalls if they dont die out first.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Just crushing at the mountain. Looks like a legit winter storm. Several inches, blowing snow and falling temps. Just waves of heavy snow washing out over the mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 7:35 PM, ineedsnow said: Looks good for a few squalls if they dont die out first.. Expand They should survive across SNE. Don't see why not. They will weaken, but looks pretty solid. Would much prefer to be west versus east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Mid-level 700mb frontogenesis is increasing ahead of the front over central Massachusetts. Winds have increased substantially lately, out of the south or southwest. Feels colder than the temp shows. Cloudy at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 7:35 PM, powderfreak said: Just crushing at the mountain. Looks like a legit winter storm. Several inches, blowing snow and falling temps. Just waves of heavy snow washing out over the mountain. Expand It's been coming through MPV in waves. Vis drops significantly for several minutes to near whiteout and then it relaxes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Dumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 On 11/21/2018 at 7:32 PM, Ginx snewx said: This is awesome watching the squalls live Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Should start coming through this area in a little while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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