wolfie09 Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 Yup Everyone always wants the cold, now enjoy it HAHA (not necessarily you lol) Avg high in winter is in the upper 20's , avg to slighty above avg is fine by me.. Why some want negative anomalies in upstate ny during winter, i have no clue lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 48 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: It's a little comical, if you look at the top image u can see it go from 99% to 60% right over pulaski lol I'm starting to think they are the rip off zone of oswego county lol Especially when it comes to p-type.. The funny thing is the majority of folks in fulton think it snows way more in pulaski, not sure that is the case.. Noone lives in Pulaski. How would we know? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yup Everyone always wants the cold, now enjoy it HAHA (not necessarily you lol) Avg high in winter is in the upper 20's , avg to slighty above avg is fine by me.. Why some want negative anomalies in upstate ny during winter, i have no clue lol Pretty much agree. Maybe it's a sign of getting older. Its plenty cold enough here during all but the 1 in 10 year anomalously mild winters that occur. Even then we scrape out 40-50" of snow...which is a normal value for most people in many areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 19, 2018 Author Share Posted December 19, 2018 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yup Everyone always wants the cold, now enjoy it HAHA (not necessarily you lol) Avg high in winter is in the upper 20's , avg to slighty above avg is fine by me.. Why some want negative anomalies in upstate ny during winter, i have no clue lol I don’t mind the cold on some nights. The full moon with full snow cover and cold has a peaceful bliss to it. However waking up walking outside before a workday Is the absolute worst. I can’t feel my fingers, my car is freezing, takes 10-25 to scrap off the windshield, no thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 Bring the -30C isotherm over Lake Ontario and we wont need much moisture, lol, and with a WNW-NW wind flow, we'll see a spray of snow for days on end, as we did in Jan 03. It won't add up to much but 2-3"/day for a few days at a time, will eventually add up, especially with the forecasted temps for the time period. The end of Dec into Jan can get quite interesting for the belts to the E-SE of LO so we'll see.02-03 analog so far is straight on and if the system this weekend would of been snow, which we'll miss by a few degrees, it would be almost identical. From here on out that year we went cold, and snowy so we'll see how it does from here on out. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 Some big indv members over the next 2 weeks.. I would guess many of them are from a strom system aroound the 26th/27th.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 Mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 It's from the New Years Day storm that first showed on the GFS yesterday and now support from the GEFS...eerily the Goofus has been pretty good with long lead times this season as it sniffed out that southern storm almost 10 days out. I'm not counting any chickens, however, I am lending credence to some kibd of storm over the NE towards the New Year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 Took this shot this evening at the northeast end of L Erie, where the Niagara River starts. Not a trace of ice anywhere out on the lake. The shallower canal on the other side of the pier is totally ice free as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 Same location, different view across the lake/river interface. Pretty cool how the current really picks up here as (I presume) the lake flows over a shelf and the channel starts to narrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: Noone lives in Pulaski. How would we know? I think there are only 4 of us in Oswego county? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 I'm in Oswego county lol. The extreme southwest corner of the county lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 4. Max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 20, 2018 Author Share Posted December 20, 2018 1 hour ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Same location, different view across the lake/river interface. Pretty cool how the current really picks up here as (I presume) the lake flows over a shelf and the channel starts to narrow. Beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 20, 2018 Author Share Posted December 20, 2018 I think there are 6 of us in Erie county with a population of around a million. Not one member joined during November 2014. Embrace the winter Buffalonians!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 20, 2018 Author Share Posted December 20, 2018 Don’t worry guys January is going to be epic. 40 degree lakes, peak winter month, weak El Niño, SSW, MJO going into good cycle. Unless we get that 2011-2012 Alaskan vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vicarious Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I think there are 6 of us in Erie county with a population of around a million. Not one member joined during November 2014. Embrace the winter Buffalonians!! I didn't join then but that was actually when I became a lurker over here and pretty much just would read everything during winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 1 hour ago, Revracer800 said: I'm in Oswego county lol. The extreme southwest corner of the county lol. That doesn't count. You don't get real lake effect snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 34 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: That doesn't count. You don't get real lake effect snow.... Ohhh we get some good lake snow down here. Nothing like the northern part of the county but plenty of good lake storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 24 minutes ago, Revracer800 said: Ohhh we get some good lake snow down here. Nothing like the northern part of the county but plenty of good lake storms. Especially when you get some northerly components to the wind field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 Nam still giving some hope.. I noticed the 12z/0z are much snowier then 6z/18z lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 3k at hr 60 looks similar to the 12k nam.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 Thats what i like to see.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 Models losing the secondary or keeping it west. Warm too. Not pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 I care only about the backside of this system, with plenty of moisture and 850mb temps dropping to -12/13c and a mean westerly trajectory... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 20, 2018 Author Share Posted December 20, 2018 Pattern is lame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 Oh, I like that NAM run for the weekend! Puts me in the bull's eye. I would gladly take 8 inches of snow before Christmas. Maybe keep it there and expand that area for more to enjoy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 20, 2018 Author Share Posted December 20, 2018 It might be a bad winter. I count 2 cutters on the GFS and than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 Tug looks pretty good. Weekend has always looked good for upslope areas. This El Niño crap is already old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Pattern is lame. These weekly cutters are getting rather irritating....... The one at the end of next week looks awful. GGEM has the low waaaay up in Minnesota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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