Thinksnow18 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 +SN in Williamsville. Roads are trash already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 I know it is "nowcasting" but it's going suck watching this unfold, majority of models start to weaken the band just before making it here.. I'm already being teased by a decenet band just to the north, light snow currently, dusting on the ground.. If the NWS was that confident in their map they would have a WSW as they have the entire county at 6"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: +SN in Williamsville. Roads are trash already. Same here. Flake size decent, eyeballing 1.5”/hr rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 13 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Genesee Valley jackpot all day man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 5 hours ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: What an event!! I got 30" during that one and this is the one King and I chased with 8"/hr rates. Thats where he used to live before he moved closer to the city. thats the biggest event I've seen since I've moved here. I can't imagine driving with that much snow falling so quickly on the road. Might get that experience pretty soon... Congrats to you guys getting Thunder snow. Might get that opportunity this evening here. Jim Cantore would be peeing in his pants... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 We picked up 5” overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 That band nailed the southtowns overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 And now it's smoking the Northtowns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: And now it's smoking the Northtowns Yeah, it's above the airport now. Highest total overnight was 5.6" in Eden. Watertown with 7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah, it's above the airport now. Highest total overnight was 5.6" in Eden. Watertown with 7". They closed Eden schools today, now they’re probably wondering why with peeks of sun likely until this afternoon. Lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, WesterlyWx said: They closed Eden schools today, now they’re probably wondering why with peeks of sun likely until this afternoon. Lol! That band is going to be stronger moving back south, but yeah Eden residents are used to heavy lake effect. Surprised they closed. Most of their district are in the hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Still coming down good at the airport. Looks like it might be slowing it’s northward jog. Doesn’t look like it’s intensifying to much though. Big question now is how long it stays north.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Am i missing something haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Very Generous "floor" for sure.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 Late afternoon/eve... However, as the trough begins to move across the region, the band will intensify, but also accelerate back across Metro Buffalo and through the Southtowns. Timing unfortunately may be right around the late afternoon/evening rush hour (4-6PM). During this time, the band may might only be at any give location for an hour, and less toward the Southtowns, but snow fall rates may approach 2"/hr while overhead. The intensity will be due to steep lapse rates extending past 10000`. Thundersnow will be a possibility during the frontal/lake band passage within a well mixed layer with abundant lift through the dendritic layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 What happened to the band??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 40 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Very Generous "floor" for sure.. I don’t know where they think ROC is getting 2” from? This should be the high end.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 39 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Very Generous "floor" for sure.. Will never happen here, perhaps their forcasting for somewhere else, lol IDK but thats just nuts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Nobody South or Southeast will do well. As soon as the bands shift the dry crashes in and puts the old kabash on things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Could ratios save the day? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 This is gonna help quite a bit of ppl in this forum as a fairly large area of Synoptic moisture is about to enter the area from both the NW and SW and that should add at least some snow to the air where there is not LE falling and why KROC has 2-3" in their forecast i would imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Could ratios save the day? lol Wow, lol, perhaps! 14-15"/1 isnt too shabby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Hrrr for example would be 6"-9" at 12-1 to 15-1.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 .4in liq would be close to 6" and that'll definitely work for you at least but I doubt this far South in the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 KBUF failed to mention the high ratios and I didn't think about them this early in the season, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Seriously! What happened to the band??? It just completely dissipated and not one model showed that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 What's really nuts is the simple fact that we just went through a very below-normal November without having any Blockbuster events to the east of Lake Ontario as well Northeast of Lake Erie. And that's also with having both leaks above normal temperature wise. That's pretty extraordinary if you ask me but we still managed to end the month with close to 40 in of snow because of that synoptic event and all the Northwest flow events for us to the southeast of the LakesSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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