CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 I'm going big, I have this odd feeling we're gonna switch over much quicker than first anticipated and places to the ESE of the Lake are gonna get a nice hefty snowfall the next few days. Nothing crazy like Nov 2016, but not bad so here goes. SRYR 13" KFZY 16" KBUF 3" KROC 8" KWRT 6" TUG 16-18" locally up to 2' KBGM 4" KITH 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Buffalo 4 Roc 9 Syr 10 Chatauqua ridge 20 to isolated 24 Tug 10 to 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Stolen from WB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Closing in on a 1" of liquid already! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Erie County is gonna easily get 2-3" in spots, wow! Already coming down at least at the rate of 1"/hr before it really gets cranking as Lake Huron connects and temps end up in the upper 20's. That sets the stage for a prolonged LES for Erie belts, Congrats! Seriously getting annoyed that I can't UL any images cause its capped at 1.95MG! What can I do to change this, anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 NMM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: WB map looks better for some reason. I posted it somewhere up above. Basically the same map but I just can't make out the totals on this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 ARW 2 I'm just south of the local "jackpot" in northern oswego county..Several models show this.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 WB's has virtually 0 in the valleys along the finger lakes but thats getting a bit to technical I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Bro we've seen so many diff snowfall total maps this evening that I'm just confused, seriously. I wish there ws a device we could enter all the maps for the same time frame and it would spit out an Average across the board from 15 snow maps. I think that would be interesting to say the least. Maybe I'll e-mail De. Maue and ask him if this is in fact possible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Ok, so we've showed about 12 different snow maps so which one are we intimately going with? I'm going to go with the Euro map as it seriously looks like the most logical at the moment but that can change in a hurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Euro comes in snowier!! Top 12z Bottom 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 You posted the 3k Nam I posted the NMM, WB doesn't carry snow maps for ARW or NMM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 how is lower elevations looking like like the city of oswego guys? all these snow amounts tend to have the lakeshore communitites drop off in snow amounts vastly..is this an accurate depection or no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 18 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: You posted the 3k Nam I posted the NMM, WB doesn't carry snow maps for ARW or NMM.. I didn't ask? We're the only 2 with a WB subs I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 You posted this bro "WB map looks better for some reason. I posted it somewhere up above. Basically the same map but I just can't make out the totals on this map." Was just responding to that.. We didn't even post the same model lol I think east of 81 scores double digits.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Camden is on the RN/SN line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Just now, wolfie09 said: You posted this bro "WB map looks better for some reason. I posted it somewhere up above. Basically the same map but I just can't make out the totals on this map." Was just responding to that.. We didn't even post the same model lol I think east of 81 scores double digits.. Gotcha, my bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Wolf, I'm seeing snow over you, is it? or mixing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 We're gonna be going over to straight snow, real soon as the Coastal gets going, as it is doing so, and its gonna start to pull down cold enough air to change over much earlier than 7AM, imo, so we'll see how that works out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 KFZY reporting snow already as well as Central Square and Brewerton but don't know how accurate this map is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 NWS still hanging onto the thought that this is an east based LES event. QPF has been shown along the western south shore for 5 model cycles now. Ridiculous. They haven’t even hoisted advisories for Orleans or Niagara Counties: Late this afternoon and into tonight, the combination of the loss of daytime heating and temperatures in the lower levels cooling a degree or two will allow for a little more widespread snow accumulation. Moisture continuing to wrap around the upper level low will maintain light synoptic snows across much of the region. There will be areas of enhanced snow within the light synoptic snows. First, on a northwest flow over Lake Ontario and temperatures becoming marginally cold enough for lake effect snow, a band of snow is likely to form near an inverted surface trough on the southeast side of Lake Ontario. This band may form as early as the mid afternoon hours. As winds veer some tonight, this area of enhanced snow may back as far westward as Monroe County. While weak lake instability, there could be several inches of snow falling in a few hours. Additionally not only the higher terrain of WNY, and the Tug Hill...but areas such as the Buffalo Southtowns, and the Bristol Hills could receive 3 to 5 inches of snow on an upslope flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Thats KBUF for ya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Snow falling already across the whole area including up to the lake plain like in Oswego. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 KBUF has a WWA for Northern Erie, Genesee for 5 to 9 inches 7pm tonight through tomorrow afternoon. There's discussion of a convergence band developing in the southtowns out through the Genesee Valley late this afternoon. I'm still thinking a couple inches best at KBUF but this area could receive the 5-9 they are predicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 There's going to be a wicked convergence zone in and around the Thruway Corridor, or just to its North, but its going to be somewhere in this vicinity for quite some time which should enhance the precip thats already falling throughout the area. These are always hard to depict where they will happen, sort of like a Norlun trough, if anyones familiar with those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 You can actually see where its starting to form on this radar view. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 10 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: You can actually see where its starting to form on this radar view. That almost looks like a large meso low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Nice little uptick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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