dmillz25 Posted November 15, 2018 Author Share Posted November 15, 2018 WWA for the city and nassau Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Wow ukie now has 3-6 inches for the coast and more inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Wow ukie now has 3-6 inches for the coast and more inland Map? Nassau county too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 WSW for immediate N and W suburbs. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 1229 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 NJZ002-103-NYZ068>070-160900- /O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0015.181115T1800Z-181116T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0009.181115T1800Z-181116T0900Z/ Western Passaic-Western Bergen-Putnam-Rockland- Northern Westchester- Including the cities of West Milford, Ringwood, Pompton Lakes, Wanaque, Bloomingdale, Fair Lawn, Paramus, Ridgewood, Elmwood Park, Wyckoff, Ramsey, Oakland, Putnam Valley, Lake Carmel, Mahopac, Carmel, Putnam Lake, New City, Spring Valley, Nanuet, Pearl River, Monsey, Stony Point, Suffern, Ossining, Peekskill, Jefferson Valley, Tarrytown, Dobbs Ferry, Mount Kisco, and North Tarrytown 1229 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and then mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch expected. Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...In New Jersey, Western Passaic and Western Bergen Counties. In New York, Putnam, Rockland and Northern Westchester Counties. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, sferic said: Map? Nassau county too? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Upton now has 2-5 inches for NYC area WWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Upton now has 2-5 inches for NYC area WWA That's the old "oh s**t" low confidence range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 inches in Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Most of the interior has been upgraded to a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Still moderate to heavy rain here for the past hour. Easily have at least a half-inch of rain so far. 38/37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: That's the old "oh s**t" low confidence range. Flamethrower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Coming down nicely, first snow of the season. Dews are still in the mid 20s. Already seeing grass whiten up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, West Mtn NY said: Flamethrower? Yep. Can't see more than getting more than an inch or two in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, West Mtn NY said: Flamethrower? And if you're going to troll at least use the proper context. It was describing a model run that was an absolute torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Yep. Can't see more than getting more than an inch or two in NYC. What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 And here comes the CT river valley dry punch. Snow shield starting to slow as it approaches the metro but continues advancing over WRN NJ. It happens every time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 We have been through this many times Models are not good with cad situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Upton's 12:45pm AFD update: NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... A 1009 mb low was analyzed along the SE NC coast. This low will track up the coast today as high pressure drifts towards the Canadian Maritimes, then over or just off Long Island Fri AM, and past Cape Cod by Fri aftn. Significant update based on latest radar trend snowing hand of heavier precip developing from DC metro to southern NJ, which high resolution guidance including the NAM/HRRR/RAP bring into the area during late afternoon and earlier evening. Despite easterly flow, temps upstream along the south coast of New England were in the mid 30s with dewpoints in the lower 20s, so do not expect too much in the way of maritime moderation at least into this evening. So the overall trend is for colder and snowier going into early this evening. NAM may be a bit too cold in the blyr, but we also started out the day with lower dewpoints and so greater potential for temps to crash close to freezing with onset of steady precip this afternoon. Period of steady snow looks to be heavier and of longer duration than initially expected, and warmer air aloft does not look to make it in until about 23Z-00Z around NYC, and to interior sections til late evening. With the above in mind, issued winter storm warnings for the interior where snowfall amounts have been bumped up into the 4-8 inch range, and winter wx advisories have been extended into NYC and Long Island for 2-5 inch snowfall, with the higher amounts generally farther away from the immediate coast. Also bumped up amts along the CT coastline, and the coastal zones could see some 6-inch amounts north of I-95. Timing of snow in most places should cause significant disruptions to the evening commute. Warm/dry slot should work its way in tonight, with precip changing over to sleet and then freezing rain. Up to 2 tenths of an inch ice accretion fcst for portions of the interior. Storm total snow and ice graphics are posted. Bl should warm sufficiently along the coasts to limit the fzra threat there. Should winds there not behave as fcst and back to the N, perhaps due to the influence of a developing cstl front, a period of icing would be possible in NYC and portions of wrn Long Island early this eve. Wind speeds have been increased in the fcst as well. Speeds of 50 kt were evident blw 2kft in the 00Z NAM. The other modeling was weaker, so for now a wind advy was not issued. Gusts however have been increased to 45 mph at the coasts. Peak winds are tngt, although another burst is possible early Fri as the storm exits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Yep. Can't see more than getting more than an inch or two in NYC. Last night it was "zero" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: We have been through this many times Models are not good with cad situations. Nor do they sniff out mid level warmth well either. I'm hoping to get crushed as well. I'm just skeptical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Looks like its time for timeouts already. Awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Upgraded to 5-7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 hours ago, Snow88 said: Over an inch of snow in D.C at Regan National sitting in the Potomac...that means probably like 2"+ in a lot of the District itself. NWS had to put up the Winter Weather Advisory and WSW N&W for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: And if you're going to troll at least use the proper context. It was describing a model run that was an absolute torch You were using it to back your constant downplaying of the storm in and around the city so it is fair game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Light snow has begun here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 First flakes beginning in Northern Warren County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Light snow has begun here. Coming down at a good clip already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 holy crap upgraded to 4-8”! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 First flakes here in NW Union county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 My temp has actually gone up to 35 here. I expect that to fall back a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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