TalcottWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, tamarack said: What Jeff said. GFS has been drastically low-balling NNE qpf for this one since the get-go. I'm going to say it. The GFS is trash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, tamarack said: What Jeff said. GFS has been drastically low-balling NNE qpf for this one since the get-go. Its still can't get coastal's right, To the end...........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Winter storm warnings posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 35 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Box upped map significantly, matching the majority of more bullish guidance (and discussions here!) They went with a WSW for the interior as well, probably a good call with the mess of icy mixed precip that will follow the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Its still can't get coastal's right, To the end...........lol It’s amazing actually. The GFS 120 hour forecast is often better vs 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 15, 2018 Author Share Posted November 15, 2018 The kenyan runner must be so happy he got his wsw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Its still can't get coastal's right, To the end...........lol Changed its act a bit, though. In recent years GFS would run up qpf until about 24 hours prior to 1st flakes, then back off by 50-75% right at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: It’s amazing actually. The GFS 120 hour forecast is often better vs 12 hours. I hope the FV3 is better, Because this one is not reliable at all or has been for a long time, I wouldn't even use it in a blend right now............lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 36 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Will, so much more than the GFS. Why is the GFS lacking so much in qpf? This would make sense for WSW for interior Maine while GFS is not FV3 has been much wetter for us. Toss the GFS like an Aaron Rogers hail mary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Check out the latest BOX snow map now. Really colder solution now. Created as of 11:09 AM. https://www.weather.gov/box/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, tamarack said: Changed its act a bit, though. In recent years GFS would run up qpf until about 24 hours prior to 1st flakes, then back off by 50-75% right at the end. Now its just meager wire to wire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Take em up.....6-8 now....issued 20 min ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 my snow got upped from possible 4 inches...to 2-6....i'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Prob wet snow at that point...still pretty damned cold at 925mb and even still below freezing down to around 975mb....sfc is prob too warm on that depiction. You think there's a flip to rain still in Hubby's and my area? I hate the IMBY questions but there's quite a few of us up this way now between Hubb, JJASHB, and myself.....and soon MPM will be in the area too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 MPM will be happy with the new GYX snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 I'm Under a Winter Storm Warning???? WHAT HAPPENED???? Must have been HUGE positive trends overnight?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Euro model at 1:00 PM will be interesting to view. Give us those colder thermal profiles please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Sorry to disappoint folks in Enfield WSW AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sorry to disappoint folks in Enfield WSW AWT You called it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 All of a sudden BOX giving inland CT more snow than NE Mass.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 The lack of consistency between shifts is amusing. I went from 7" to 4" to 8" in the last 3 updates (that I saw). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Gonna need some good wet bulbing on the shoreline... already into the 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 We weenies would rather the forecast than the snow it seems.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said: The lack of consistency between shifts is amusing. I went from 7" to 4" to 8" in the last 3 updates (that I saw). GYX was like this with the flip-flopping at times last year too. Hilarious stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, snowman21 said: Gonna need some good wet bulbing on the shoreline... already into the 30s. What’s your dew? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, WxBlue said: GYX was like this with the flip-flopping at times last year too. Hilarious stuff. Sometimes, Its better to make less adjustments rather then yo yo the grids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: You called it They don’t want to listen or think we know anything . They FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sorry to disappoint folks in Enfield WSW AWT Not disappointing me woo hooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: What’s your dew? The guy huddles in his basement rocking back and forth cursing warmer weather. He’s gonna do fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 lol at the difference between the op GFS and the FV3. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/fv3p/2018111512/fv3p_apcpn_neus_6.png https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2018111512/gfs_apcpn_neus_6.png Toggle those bad boys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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