CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 That warm tongue is still dangerously close to 0C aloft. I wonder if the lift weakens at times, will be go to SNPL mix and then back to snow when deeper lift comes in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: BOX dialed it back overnight. 3-4” here from 4-6” But they increased the upper end.. which you think would go lower if the expected snowfall did.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: But they increased the upper end.. which you think would go lower if the expected snowfall did.. High stakes in ORH county Big lift or big 2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Toss Why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: But they increased the upper end.. which you think would go lower if the expected snowfall did.. I don't think that logic is correct. I think it might frequently do that, but I think given the complexities of what makes it snow/not snow and qpf ranges can allow these to change independently of each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 10 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Why Hi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Congrats, Jeff. My p/c is calling for 1-3"/2-4" during the overnight/day periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 And the 10% and 90% maps: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 21 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Why Welcome home son Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 GYX's thoughts on ultimate outcome: At this juncture...mixing and model QPF is suggesting advisory versus warning criteria snowfall across much of the area late Thursday night into Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Those upper end amounts are humorous. Talk about threading a needle to hit those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Upper amounts are 100% rubbish. Nrn ORH is not getting 11". Just makes it worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 Hi res dips is a big hit just inland and esp for interior. Big for bos too. Jerry approved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Those upper end amounts are humorous. Talk about threading a needle to hit those And we have a winner. I needed that for my winter-discussion-bingo card. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hi res dips is a big hit just inland and esp for interior. Big for bos too. Jerry approved. Sounds like a place to pee... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Snow numbers match the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 While we’re talking about it MAV has BOS down to 19 tonight. Legit for mid November! 7 at OWD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Those high numbers are not achievable... I don’t see any way anyone in SNE sees double digits. Im going with 2-3” of snow here... briefly to sleet, and over to rain to end it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 Obv we stay the course but potential to hit high end of range or just over is there. Models want to warm tongue tickle the interior too quickly in preseason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Those high numbers are not achievable... I don’t see any way anyone in SNE sees double digits. Im going with 2-3” of snow here... briefly to sleet, and over to rain to end it Berks orh hills are in SNE, they can do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: While we’re talking about it MAV has BOS down to 19 tonight. Legit for mid November! It has IKI at 9*. That'll be impressive if we do that--forecast says we won't. 23* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Welcome home son I love you dad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 38 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hi 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Welcome home son Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 50 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Why Was jokin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 39 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hi Hello! Nice little nov teaser. I see pelting in my future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Appetizer for tomorrow mod snow NOW!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Appetizer for tomorrow mod snow NOW!! Looks like Steve is about to get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Upper amounts are 100% rubbish. Nrn ORH is not getting 11". Just makes it worse. The Lunenberg effect... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Looks like we get two waves of activity? The first wave is tomorrow afternoon with WAA , but looks like there is room for something on Friday with developing/deepening sfc low? Was just looking at 6z GFS and it was quite interesting. Even NAM has something but not placed like the GFS. Haven't gotten to Euro yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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