RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 rgem is pretty good at the end of its run. Has it coming in quicker too. Snows by 1pm in sw ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Just like most SWFE...they usually start earlier than originally thought. This seems to be behaving accordingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 hour ago, dryslot said: It looks solid right to the water, You should be good on this one I think, Unless something changes, Your closer to the cold source now up here. It's close. I'll keep my fingers crossed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 when do y'all think the Advisories go up for the scrambling low-end warner ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 hour ago, weathafella said: If the city gets 2 inches people will view them correct. Personally I think 1-2 for BOS. The odds are so low. I just don't see anything that would guide myself to the extreme side of the spectrum. When in doubt, believe climo. No screaming vigorous features that will certainly crush warm onshore flow. Just a few hours of moderate snow in November. My gut is slush. Maybe 1-2" in the extreme western Newton side of BOS proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: The odds are so low. I just don't see anything that would guide myself to the extreme side of the spectrum. When in doubt, believe climo. No screaming vigorous features that will certainly crush warm onshore flow. Just a few hours of moderate snow in November. My gut is slush. Maybe 1-2" in the extreme western Newton side of BOS proper. The city itself may do ok. You’re gonna see a difference between west Roxbury and Logan. Most don’t live on the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: I think that's a really good map that does a fine job of outlining preferred areas judging off mid level features. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: when do y'all think the Advisories go up for the scrambling low-end warner ? Blizzard warnings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: The city itself may do ok. You’re gonna see a difference between west Roxbury and Logan. Most don’t live on the water. Side note: fun five year project.. Measure snowfall in every neighborhood of the city and study the discrepancies, storm-by-storm and year-by-year. Westie and Brighton end up with double digit extras. That's why we need a new climo site, but not sure where that funding or initiative would come from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 I personally expect a bit of a difference in the 4 mile width of my city. Western area probably 2 inches but the east is so close to the water I think slush is probably the most likely outcome. A few miles in these setups makes a difference between shoveling and not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Blizzard warnings Actually, it could be somewhat windy right before the change over. The isobars have a fair packing to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Wonder if they issue watches for a ice and snow combination.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Wonder if they issue watches for a ice and snow combination.. Don't see it based on current data. 3 inches of snow and a layer of ip/zr than rain is an advisory type event unless the cold overperforms. Maybe the berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 14 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: Don't see it based on current data. 3 inches of snow and a layer of ip/zr than rain is an advisory type event unless the cold overperforms. Maybe the berks. But it makes it more official with a watch hoisted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: when do y'all think the Advisories go up for the scrambling low-end warner ? Wow. Did you see the 21z Euro? Huge hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 To be honest, I really don't want this yet. I think that's a really good map that does a fine job of outlining preferred areas judging off mid level features.Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 18z ECMWF is pretty bullish on the front end thump. More bullish than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1st event of the season usually has advisories thrown up with lesser criteria needing to met. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: 18z ECMWF is pretty bullish on the front end thump. More bullish than 12z. How bullish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: 18z ECMWF is pretty bullish on the front end thump. More bullish than 12z. Where are you getting the off-hour runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Where are you getting the off-hour runs? I get it on SV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: 1st event of the season usually has advisories thrown up with lesser criteria needing to met. Esp this early. People will forget how to drive in wintry weather when flakes hit their windshields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 May even knock the power out in CT too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: May even knock the power out in CT too. 500k plus, damaging ice storm for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Esp this early. People will forget how to drive in wintry weather when flakes hit their windshields. They really should just go old school. Remember when the weather bureau would put out their 'travelers advisories'? That kind of covered it.....and then let your forecast tell you how much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: May even knock the power out in CT too. A fart knocks out the power in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 When cars crash into the power grid, lives are at stake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 Just now, moneypitmike said: They really should just go old school. Remember when the weather bureau would put out their 'travelers advisories'? That kind of covered it.....and then let your forecast tell you how much. I guess that’s the ‘hazardous weather outlook’ headline now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 14 minutes ago, CT Rain said: 18z ECMWF is pretty bullish on the front end thump. More bullish than 12z. 0Z NAM looks like it will be good also.. out to 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Where are you getting the off-hour runs? Can get them on Weathermodels as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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