snowman21 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:44 PM, weathafella said: What’s your dew? Expand Dew depressions are in the 20-25 range, so plenty of room, but if we're already into the 30s not a good sign. The warmth of Long Island Sound will not be denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:44 PM, WxBlue said: GYX was like this with the flip-flopping at times last year too. Hilarious stuff. Expand I'm in Nashua, so I am in GYX's CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:46 PM, dendrite said: lol at the difference between the op GFS and the FV3. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/fv3p/2018111512/fv3p_apcpn_neus_6.png https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2018111512/gfs_apcpn_neus_6.png Toggle those bad boys. Expand I'd say its comical, But that's just bad modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:45 PM, dryslot said: Sometimes, Its better to make less adjustments rather then yo yo the grids. Expand Yep. GYX's adjustments between shifts are more aggressive than anywhere I've been to. GSP office (covering mountains of North Carolina) would start conservative before working their way up or not changing anything. GYX like to be aggressive and stay on top of current models rather than working their way toward the solution slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:32 PM, Whineminster said: You think there's a flip to rain still in Hubby's and my area? I hate the IMBY questions but there's quite a few of us up this way now between Hubb, JJASHB, and myself.....and soon MPM will be in the area too Expand Maybe some light 33-34F for a time? It's possible you stay freezing drizzle or light ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:48 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: I'm in Nashua, so I am in GYX's CWA Expand I knew you're in GYX's CWA. I probably should've word it differently to "they were like this..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Jerry, latest RPM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 I didn’t know we verified the warning yet? Taunton might as well put up a heat advisory with their differences. What a joke. I know I’ve thought 4-6 with a 7 lolli for a lot of the interior with Ryan and others similar. It doesn’t matter who has an advisory or warning. Only area I may have been low is down by Taunton. Still thinking maybe 1-2 here hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: Jerry, latest RPM: Expand Wow even NYC is now in the 2 to 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: Jerry, latest RPM: Expand Pretty meh up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Last time I can recall those s coast areas doing better with longitude was late December 2012. Will remembers that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: Jerry, latest RPM: Expand Thanks Will! 2-4 for me seems reasonable actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:41 PM, WinterWolf said: All of a sudden BOX giving inland CT more snow than NE Mass.... Expand Not my area...outside of I 495 they have 6-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Colder than modeled for everyone Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: Jerry, latest RPM: Expand Does that cut off at 23:30 tonight or tomorrow? Seems really light for NNE. Think the warnings from BOX are aggressive but I can see where they're coming from with it being the first event of the season and bad timing. I really like the map that @WxWatcher007 put out for us this morning for CT, otherwise take a consensus blend and throw out the op GFS and I think we're in a good place. Seems like the consensus for a general 4-8" for interior SNE and all of NNE is solid. I'll go 1.5" at Logan and 3" here (Mission Hill, about 4 miles inland). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Curious us to see if Upton ups their totals as well. They are currently forecasting less than one inch for HVN which seems a little ridiculous to me. 2-4 seems more reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 I would agree the RPM is too light for NNE...it's been fluctuating form run to run....it decided to pull a GFS this run, but it could easily go RGEM next run. I typically toss the RPM when it's not being consistent. It's kind of like the RAP in that manner...you want to consistency from it to believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:31 PM, ice1972 said: Take em up.....6-8 now....issued 20 min ago Expand Lol my hill is that yellow dot above the C in Coventry RI. That’s a first, someone did their homework. It’s 725ft there. Snow Seems high to me I will say 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:56 PM, SR Airglow said: Does that cut off at 23:30 tonight or tomorrow? Seems really light for NNE. Think the warnings from BOX are aggressive but I can see where they're coming from with it being the first event of the season and bad timing. I really like the map that @WxWatcher007 put out for us this morning for CT, otherwise take a consensus blend and throw out the op GFS and I think we're in a good place. Seems like the consensus for a general 4-8" for interior SNE and all of NNE is solid. I'll go 1.5" at Logan and 3" here (Mission Hill, about 4 miles inland). Expand I think it’s a 23.5hr prog from the initial time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 PWM at 8", i'm gonna sell that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:54 PM, CoastalWx said: Last time I can recall those s coast areas doing better with longitude was late December 2012. Will remembers that one. Expand I remember that one! I met wxsniss and we walked up to Trader Joe’s in Coolidge Corner. While in the store it was transitioning to rain but thumping on the way over. I’m at the registers paying for a bottle of wine and wxsniss has a stressed look at the window. We walked a little and I was so distraught I dropped the wine on the sidewalk and the bottle broke . We walked home in a driving rainstorm. An hour later it flipped back and we did ok but west of the BU Bridge got 8+ which would include my current location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:45 PM, Damage In Tolland said: They don’t want to listen or think we know anything . They FTL Expand You're my hero, NOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:58 PM, Ginx snewx said: Lol my hill is that yellow dot above the C in Coventry RI. That’s a first, someone did their homework. It’s 725ft there. Snow Seems high to me I will say 5 Expand I always liked how it could be raining on Rt 102/117 intersection and snowing at the top of Waterman Hill. Cool little microclimate spots in Coventry, West Greenwich, Scituate, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Bit of a rollercoaster on the snow forecast from gyx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 5:00 PM, tunafish said: PWM at 8", i'm gonna sell that Expand Agree it's a bit high. I like 3-6" range here and there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:56 PM, SR Airglow said: Does that cut off at 23:30 tonight or tomorrow? Seems really light for NNE. Think the warnings from BOX are aggressive but I can see where they're coming from with it being the first event of the season and bad timing. I really like the map that @WxWatcher007 put out for us this morning for CT, otherwise take a consensus blend and throw out the op GFS and I think we're in a good place. Seems like the consensus for a general 4-8" for interior SNE and all of NNE is solid. I'll go 1.5" at Logan and 3" here (Mission Hill, about 4 miles inland). Expand Looks like 9:30 am tomorrow (1430z) to me if i'm reading that right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 5:04 PM, WxBlue said: Agree it's a bit high. I like 3-6" range here and there. Expand Sounds right to me. I really don't understand the flip flopping from them. Perhaps @OceanStWx will enlighten us at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 5:03 PM, bobbutts said: Bit of a rollercoaster on the snow forecast from gyx. Expand Same with BOX, from 1-3, to 3-7 in Enfield , LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 15, 2018 Author Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:57 PM, Sn0waddict said: Curious us to see if Upton ups their totals as well. They are currently forecasting less than one inch for HVN which seems a little ridiculous to me. 2-4 seems more reasonable. Expand They are an awful office, for many years now. I know they do their best and it’s easy to play monday morning QB but holy moly they need help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 5:05 PM, tunafish said: Sounds right to me. I really don't understand the flip flopping from them. Perhaps @OceanStWx will enlighten us at some point. Expand Have not seen him posting for a bit, I inquired earlier but didn't get the answer i was looking for, I don't see him in the AFD's either up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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