TalcottWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Maybe powderfreak sees over a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Congrats PF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherexpert Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 I’m seeing a couple small changes from the data yesterday. The first being it will be slightly colder. The second being it will be slightly wetter. However no big changes to the snow map... but we might be on the upper end of the range by the time it ends... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Whats another foot on top of 2'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 3:47 PM, ORH_wxman said: 12z RGEM.... Expand Will, so much more than the GFS. Why is the GFS lacking so much in qpf? This would make sense for WSW for interior Maine while GFS is not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 3:49 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: It does have to do with the mid level warmth....if the omega "shunts east", then it takes longer to gain latitude, while the mid level warmth continues to encroach. Whatever.......4-8". Expand BOx just updated our regions to .....4-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 The whole north/south shunt thing doesn’t mean a whole lot north of the pike. But it means a lot more for south coast areas of Connecticut through mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 BOX got Hayden in there who is a great met. That guy on the overnight is the biggest Debbie they’ve got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Like Taunton map much better now. Congrats tblizz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 NWS now has my area increased to the forecast that Ryan was talking yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 3:53 PM, CoastalWx said: The whole north/south shunt thing doesn’t mean a whole lot north of the pike. But it means a lot more for south coast areas of Connecticut through mass. Expand Yea, I don't get that anxiety... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 3:53 PM, wxeyeNH said: Will, so much more than the GFS. Why is the GFS lacking so much in qpf? This would make sense for WSW for interior Maine while GFS is not Expand GFS is weakening the WCB and shunting it east....I don't think its right with the magnitude of that weakening. RGEM is also more aggressive with the developing CCB/deformation in your area from the ULL passing underneath,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 An old man STILL begging for RPM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 3:50 PM, wxsniss said: Box upped map significantly, matching the majority of more bullish guidance (and discussions here!) Expand Kiss of death when they do, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 3:59 PM, weathafella said: An old man STILL begging for RPM. Expand Out to 5 hours on 15z run....I'll post when its past about 16 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Snowing pretty good on the CNN live hit in DC. *Edit - Location* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:01 PM, ORH_wxman said: Out to 5 hours on 15z run....I'll post when its past about 16 hours. Expand Thanks! My Jones overwhelmed me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Could be right could be wrong. It's not the end of the world. A GOOD START anyway you slice it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:00 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Kiss of death when they do, Expand lol. Yup. Sometimes it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:00 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Kiss of death when they do, Expand Hey, I did say last night to conservatively stay at 2-3" for Taunton, MA and that there was always room to add if needed. The BOX map looks good, they are predicting 4-6". Sound a little high, BUT, if the colder solutions win out it may be somewhat possible. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:03 PM, ROOSTA said: Could be right could be wrong. It's not the end of the world. A GOOD START anyway you slice it! Expand What and where is that from? Is that showing snow depth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 3:48 PM, moneypitmike said: Can a brother get an interpretation? This looks to be near the warm point for me. Does that low-level warmth suggest rain? Expand Bump. Sorry I’m all alone up here.:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:05 PM, moneypitmike said: Bump. Sorry I’m all alone up here.:) Expand Prob wet snow at that point...still pretty damned cold at 925mb and even still below freezing down to around 975mb....sfc is prob too warm on that depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Thanks for the input on GFS, Will, Dryslot. Congrats on you SNE guys on getting in on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:04 PM, Cold Miser said: What and where is that from? Is that showing snow depth? Expand Homegrown. Made it using photoshop. Snow-depth valid Sat morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:06 PM, ORH_wxman said: Prob wet snow at that point...still pretty damned cold at 925mb and even still below freezing down to around 975mb....sfc is prob too warm on that depiction. Expand Thanks, Will. Fingers crossed warm tongues stay away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 3:52 PM, CoastalWx said: Congrats PF. Expand Been a consistent signal of it for 2 days now. Follow the midlevels and you shall find feet of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:05 PM, moneypitmike said: Bump. Sorry I’m all alone up here.:) Expand Mike, permanently in Bath now? Hope your family is doing great. If you're just getting to know how these things usually end up at the coast, focusing on those ice cold 925mb temps will always help. If there is enough lift, will easily overcome a temperature like 35F. I also find the surface dewpoint charts to be a great help. Rarely stay snow once DP gets over 35. Good delineation of coastal front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 4:08 PM, ROOSTA said: Homegrown. Made it using photoshop. Snow-depth valid Sat morning. Expand Wow. Pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 3:49 PM, wxeyeNH said: GFS has been consistant of .10-.30" qpf up here in Central NH. Just a no big deal. Should I believe this? NAM,EURO is in the .6-.7" range? Expand What Jeff said. GFS has been drastically low-balling NNE qpf for this one since the get-go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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