Whineminster Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 7:43 PM, dendrite said: Hopefully this entire post is sarcasm. Otherwise there will be some anger. Expand I'm kinda serious I guess....I don't mean damaging ice, not the set up for that....but maybe like 1/4" stuff. Always gets underplayed. And I don't care what people say, it's called using my eyes and personal experiences. A 10 degree frozen ground is way easier to accumulate on than a 40 degree saturated water mess....laws of thermodynamics. Try it. Take some ice and throw it on a 40 degree soaked carpet.....and a 10 degree carpet....what lasts longer? Now if it starts to pound down....well the game changes. Ok rant over :-). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:18 AM, ineedsnow said: 0Z NAM looks like it will be good also.. out to 42 Expand Further east then the 18z run though and a tad slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:23 AM, Whineminster said: I'm kinda serious I guess....I don't mean damaging ice, not the set up for that....but maybe like 1/4" stuff. Always gets underplayed. And I don't care what people say, it's called using my eyes and personal experiences. A 10 degree frozen ground is way easier to accumulate on than a 40 degree saturated water mess....laws of thermodynamics. Try it. Take some ice and throw it on a 40 degree soaked carpet.....and a 10 degree carpet....what lasts longer? Now if it starts to pound down....well the game changes. Ok rant over :-). Expand Can you do it on your living room carpet and take a video? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:27 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Can you do it on your living room carpet and take a video? Expand That ice demonstration, Right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Nam is a bit less aggressive with the front end thump but also a bit E with the coastal low and colder at the surface through 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:29 AM, dryslot said: That ice demonstration, Right? Expand lol yes, not the nasty adult thing. I’m curious of said expiriment but I only have hardwood throughout. Would like to see his carpet soaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Both 12k and 3k have a nice thump south of pike and then translate north. It even starts the cape as snow it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Agree on 18z euro. Btw check out the 3k NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Congrats PF, Dendrite and Jeff on that NAM run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:16 AM, CTValleySnowMan said: 500k plus, damaging ice storm for many. Expand Don't forget about the high wind gusts tonight and tomorrow. Potential for major grid damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:23 AM, Whineminster said: I'm kinda serious I guess....I don't mean damaging ice, not the set up for that....but maybe like 1/4" stuff. Always gets underplayed. And I don't care what people say, it's called using my eyes and personal experiences. A 10 degree frozen ground is way easier to accumulate on than a 40 degree saturated water mess....laws of thermodynamics. Try it. Take some ice and throw it on a 40 degree soaked carpet.....and a 10 degree carpet....what lasts longer? Now if it starts to pound down....well the game changes. Ok rant over :-). Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:36 AM, weathafella said: Agree on 18z euro. Btw check out the 3k NAM. Expand Thumper dumper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:23 AM, Whineminster said: I'm kinda serious I guess....I don't mean damaging ice, not the set up for that....but maybe like 1/4" stuff. Always gets underplayed. And I don't care what people say, it's called using my eyes and personal experiences. A 10 degree frozen ground is way easier to accumulate on than a 40 degree saturated water mess....laws of thermodynamics. Try it. Take some ice and throw it on a 40 degree soaked carpet.....and a 10 degree carpet....what lasts longer? Now if it starts to pound down....well the game changes. Ok rant over :-). Expand Take a look at the airmass coming in for tomorrow and Thursday. Good luck on a skin temp of 40F. Also, the sun angle is crap this time of year. We're a little over a month from the solstice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:36 AM, CoastalWx said: Both 12k and 3k have a nice thump south of pike and then translate north. It even starts the cape as snow it seems. Expand That H position is in a nice position to provide a northerly drain of cold air into the region as a precursor. Sure it retreats but the damage is done for most. Could be a classic SWFE, thump to brief period of rain then shutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 NAM is pretty snowy down here. Prob a solid 2-3”... we take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:23 AM, Whineminster said: I'm kinda serious I guess....I don't mean damaging ice, not the set up for that....but maybe like 1/4" stuff. Always gets underplayed. And I don't care what people say, it's called using my eyes and personal experiences. A 10 degree frozen ground is way easier to accumulate on than a 40 degree saturated water mess....laws of thermodynamics. Try it. Take some ice and throw it on a 40 degree soaked carpet.....and a 10 degree carpet....what lasts longer? Now if it starts to pound down....well the game changes. Ok rant over :-). Expand Spoiler Alert Reveal hidden contents Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:44 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: That H position is in a nice position to provide a northerly drain of cold air into the region as a precursor. Sure it retreats but the damage is done for most. Could be a classic SWFE, thump to brief period of rain then shutoff. Expand The skiing in Western Maine is going to be off the charts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 12:01 AM, geo1 said: Seems like you think you moved to epping your one town north? Expand 10-12 miles and 30 minutes north...I'm not sure what you're smoking, but that is a decent difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:44 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: NAM is pretty snowy down here. Prob a solid 2-3”... we take Expand As we've already discussed via texts, its gravy to get any real accumulations here before Dec. Enjoy whatever falls. It's not going to stick around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:45 AM, sbos_wx said: The skiing in Western Maine is going to be off the charts Expand Yeah, T-Giving is looking to be pretty solid for the resorts that are running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Pretty epic fronto band on the 3k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:46 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 10-12 miles and 30 minutes north...I'm not sure what you're smoking, but that is a decent difference. Expand Especially in a coastal front area. Not to mention the fact Methuen is a good ride from Wilimington. Ray is two towns from live free or dying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:48 AM, sbos_wx said: Especially in a coastal front area. Not to mention the fact Methuen is a good ride from Wilimington. Ray is two towns from live free or dying. Expand There were countless storms I experienced a good difference from Ray when I lived in N Andover. That was only probably 7-10 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:46 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 10-12 miles and 30 minutes north...I'm not sure what you're smoking, but that is a decent difference. Expand Comparable to my location vs BOX on the other side of Taunton/Norton. Their location adds another 4" and is typically on the W side of CF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:48 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah, T-Giving is looking to be pretty solid for the resorts that are running. Expand Starting this weekend, They will be running 7 days/wk, SR and the Loaf anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:48 AM, Ericjcrash said: Pretty epic fronto band on the 3k Expand Thump to dry-slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:48 AM, sbos_wx said: Especially in a coastal front area. Not to mention the fact Methuen is a good ride from Wilimington. Ray is two towns from live free or dying. Expand About 2 miles... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Anyone got 700mb omega graphics? This has the looks of an omega thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 For Jerry's RPM fetish....you know it's a winter threat again when I post these for him... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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