weathafella Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 If only cmc had an ounce of credibility.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:03 AM, CT Rain said: The follow up nuke on the GFS is weird on Friday. Sort of disjointed with the thump and then the coasta low. Expand It prob wrong...I feel like this will end up a bit more amped and hug the coast more like the other guidance mostly shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:05 AM, weathafella said: If only cmc had an ounce of credibility.... Expand What a run lol. Mid-level banding gone wild after a 6-hour thump. Widespread 4"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:06 AM, ORH_wxman said: It prob wrong...I feel like this will end up a bit more amped and hug the coast more like the other guidance mostly shows. Expand I agree. Maybe something a bit disjointed... but not like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:08 AM, powderfreak said: What a run lol. Mid-level banding gone wild after a 6-hour thump. Widespread 4"+. Expand Post it ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 But yeah the GFS is cold af. Those soundings are pretty impressive around Hartford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:08 AM, powderfreak said: What a run lol. Mid-level banding gone wild after a 6-hour thump. Widespread 4"+. Expand Yeah, CMC verbatim would argue wide spread 6"+ across higher elevations, starting as wind swept powder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:11 AM, CT Rain said: But yeah the GFS is cold af. Those soundings are pretty impressive around Hartford. Expand I def believe the cold front end look for sure...the high has been getting more impressive as we get closer and it's in the classic thump spot trying to hang out near Caribou right as the precip wall is entering the south coast. The upperlvels would suggest everything does tuck in close eventually...though we've seen the upper levels have trouble marrying the lower/midlevels before so we'll have to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 First measurable for the big 4 climo locales in SNE incoming I think . A little snow early Monday morning to boot. Here we go winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 That ULL is key. Drove GFS bonkers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:19 AM, weathafella said: First measurable for the big 4 climo locales in SNE incoming I think . A little snow early Monday morning to boot. Here we go winter! Expand Definitely gets more real when Will/ORH and Ryan show up posting all the sudden. Thats even a bigger indication of winter coming than the Tolland index flipping from +DIT to -DIT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:22 AM, powderfreak said: Definitely gets more real when Will/ORH and Ryan show up posting all the sudden. Thats even a bigger indication of winter coming than the Tolland index flipping from +DIT to -DIT. Expand Yup. All th players shaking off the summer rust.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:22 AM, powderfreak said: Definitely gets more real when Will/ORH and Ryan show up posting all the sudden. Thats even a bigger indication of winter coming than the Tolland index flipping from +DIT to -DIT. Expand Will and Ryan are the Major leagues...the Tolland index is anything but.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:11 AM, WinterWolf said: Post it ? Expand Canadian has an early season bowling ball right of center but obviously we wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Thanks Hippy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 If this was 3-4 weeks from now, we'd prob be talking solid warning criteria for most of SNE...its a pretty good setup for us in winter. The early calendar has us pretty marginal, but the synoptic players argue that we can hold in the cold enough for a few inches assuming there aren't any large scale changes between now and Thur night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 FV3 GFS is a big hit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:50 AM, ineedsnow said: FV3 GFS is a big hit! Expand Your enthusiasm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:39 AM, ORH_wxman said: If this was 3-4 weeks from now, we'd prob be talking solid warning criteria for most of SNE...its a pretty good setup for us in winter. The early calendar has us pretty marginal, but the synoptic players argue that we can hold in the cold enough for a few inches assuming there aren't any large scale changes between now and Thur night. Expand Yup. The nice thing is we are anomalously cold Thursday with that high and associated cold/dry BL. I have 18 Thursday am lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 This should bomb snow for a while in the interior, good step in to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Hmmm, maybe i will drive to the snow...Tenney Mtn pub is now open...might be a fun place to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:39 AM, ORH_wxman said: If this was 3-4 weeks from now, we'd prob be talking solid warning criteria for most of SNE...its a pretty good setup for us in winter. The early calendar has us pretty marginal, but the synoptic players argue that we can hold in the cold enough for a few inches assuming there aren't any large scale changes between now and Thur night. Expand Agreed..that high placement is nearly optimal for my new spot. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/11/right-on-cueregions-first-snows.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/12/2018 at 7:24 PM, weathafella said: Unrealistic. Look at the calendar. Expand A little snowfall in mid November is nothing out of the ordinary for your lattitude....and should be expected ☺ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 5:21 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agreed..that high placement is nearly optimal for my new spot. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/11/right-on-cueregions-first-snows.html Expand How much of an increase in yearly snowfall at the new location? A few inches I'm thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 6:01 AM, OSUmetstud said: How much of an increase in yearly snowfall at the new location? A few inches I'm thinking? Expand Negligible, really...maybe like 1-3". Main difference will be better retention further from the marine influence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 6:51 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Negligible, really...maybe like 1-3". Main difference will be better retention further from the marine influence. Expand Ahh, nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Euro map from tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 4:11 AM, WinterWolf said: Post it ? Expand Find it yourself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Euro was more colder and progressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 5:43 AM, Randy4Confluence said: A little snowfall in mid November is nothing out of the ordinary for your lattitude....and should be expected ☺ Expand It’s been so rare vs my childhood that I’ve grown to expect nothing until mid December. You should figure out a way to spend some winter time back here this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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