RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 First regionwide event unfolding. Big snows for the north with mostly rain for SNE, but not before many get thou first inch, maybe even two for the lucky ducks in elevated hilltops. Yes, damaging icy conditions too, why not. Discuss.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GansettBay Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 I’m excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 We snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 We onset mix quickly to rain here in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Waxing the skis now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Looks progressive thankfully, I believe SNH can get in on this one from Salem N and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 GGEM continued to be almost like a SWFE, even switching up here over to mix/rain after half a foot of snow. Goes nuts just north of the border though...wow that's close to being real big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Looking forward to first flakes-and timing on Raymond’s bday and his by may do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Most people guaranteed frozen precip from the WAA part of this system at the onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNurse Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 I'm hoping for this thing to cancel school! We've had a very favorable early season up here with october snows. I'm hoping for more Snowvember! Already more snow on the ground than there was in February of '16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Anyone see the ukie? Nice hit for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Euro similar to other 12Z guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Euro similar to other 12Z guidance. Euro is coming in colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Euro is coming in colder Similar to other models. SWFE type event it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 We gonna snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Similar to other models. SWFE type event it seems. Colder for the coast also Most likely sleet accumulations but I will take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: Colder for the coast also Most likely sleet accumulations but I will take it. I think it starts as a nice snow thump. Not bad for this point in November! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Even a coating before Thanksgiving is gravy. We gratefully accept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: GGEM continued to be almost like a SWFE, even switching up here over to mix/rain after half a foot of snow. Goes nuts just north of the border though...wow that's close to being real big. If you look at the progression of temps in the mid-levels, 850-700 warm pretty quickly even as the surface might have some CAD for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 You wonder if this turns into an icing event in the usual spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 For strictly snow -focused winter enthusiasts ... hate to say but the previous two cycles were better by a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Good Euro look there tracking over the Canal for interior New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Good Euro look there tracking over the Canal for interior New England. I think most in NNE do well and interior northern SNE (maybe 20 miles north of the pike) too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Looks like white rain and regular rain here, as expected this time of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 This isn't happening until Will chimes in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 I'm a little intrigued... mainly because as that deep layer vortex opens up in the western TV area ...it transforms into vaguely negative tilted wave with vestigial ...albeit potent vorticity maximum. The wind pips are haulin' major azz there...some 110 to 120 knots at 500 mb. I mean, ...that sort of mechanical forcing riding over the interface between the near coastal waters and the land is like giving three points automatically to the home team. Plus, the low level thickness packing is probably too amorphous compared to reality with that polar high exceeding 1035 cresting through NNE like that. That plays a role... and important one. The 900 to 700 mb frontal slopes (elevated) can end up particularly steeply sloped and as the wind max than unzips over head, the UVM is then less sloped and more upright oriented in free space. That makes diabatic heat release a bit more proficient... destablizing the column further and causing more lift --> deeper surface pressure and well... 2005 Dec taught that lessen rather nicely. We may not know the exact or precise physicality of these important variables until nearer terms. Not trying to over state this events potential.. but, you have a strong, mid troposphere wind max passing 1.5 or so latitude S of LI with a relatively fresh boundary layer's dome-wall situated nearby just to the N - that usually doesn't end well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 15 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think most in NNE do well and interior northern SNE (maybe 20 miles north of the pike) too. Right now looks to be a decent advisory level event for many, 2-6" type stuff. Even in NNE it's very progressive so getting more than 4-6" may be challenging. Would be nice to get everyone at least a front end 1-2" to cover the ground before WAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Right now looks to be a decent advisory level event for many, 2-6" type stuff. Even in NNE it's very progressive so getting more than 4-6" may be challenging. For mid November that’s good even for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: For mid November that’s good even for NNE. Been some great skiing up north past few winters for our friends in NNE. I remember ten years ago, every year it seemed the story was no snow at the resorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: Been some great skiing up north past few winters for our friends in NNE. I remember ten years ago, every year it seemed the story was no snow at the resorts. How quickly we forget 2015-16... worst winter on record for most of VT, and probably up there for NH/ME... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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