BlizzardNole Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Capital Weather Gang article Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Likely for you, yes. Borderline for the M-D line zones probably. right. HWO ugly beige for NOVA I bet...east of 81 at least. Still, frozen of any kind is a win in my book especially in Nov. in my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 23 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Can you post a link? Thanks https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/11/13/messy-mix-snow-sleet-rain-likely-thursday-accumulation-slick-travel-possible-colder-locations/?utm_term=.3cf4a6207bbb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 EPS mean. Ever-so-slighty a step back from 0z by a factor of about ~.5" when looking at the DC Metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: EPS mean. Ever-so-slighty a step back from 0z by a factor of about ~.5" when looking at the DC Metro. That's more realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 14 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/11/13/messy-mix-snow-sleet-rain-likely-thursday-accumulation-slick-travel-possible-colder-locations/?utm_term=.3cf4a6207bbb Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Per other websites, euro soundings support 4-6hrs of snow near BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Daytime snow in November. What a start to winter. I guess we have DST to thank for the earlier start of the snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, Jandurin said: Daytime snow in November. What a start to winter. I guess we have DST to thank for the earlier start of the snowfall. in this case it gets light earlier in the AM so it's hurting us. Always sumpin I tell ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Per other websites, euro soundings support 4-6hrs of snow near BWI. Uh oh... expecting MBY questions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 I don't think this will embed... 1hr EURO intervals: https://imgur.com/01uUKbY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: in this case it gets light earlier in the AM so it's hurting us. Always sumpin I tell ya Warm soil for everyone... sorry no accums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 NAM is going from more W-E to N-S gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I don't think this will embed... 1hr EURO intervals: https://imgur.com/01uUKbY Thanks for posting that... looks nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 9 minutes ago, yoda said: Thanks for posting that... looks nice yea, most impressive part is the 32 degree line running right along 95 at onset. If that happens and ptype is right then accums could surprise more than a few people. I'm still very skeptical but not totally ignoring the possibility of measurable even in my yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 18z NAM is faster with precip arrival compared to 12z... probably by about 3-6 hours IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, yoda said: 18z NAM is faster with precip arrival compared to 12z... probably by about 3-6 hours IMO faster? lol....thats a huge jump lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, yoda said: 18z NAM is faster with precip arrival compared to 12z... probably by about 3-6 hours IMO Warm air advection precipitation waits for no man. We see that with the juicier storms, the leading edge comes in 3 - 6 hours earlier and surprises everyone. Good to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 DCA just about to flip at 18z THUR to rain... so 18z NAM suggests a good 6-8 hours of frozen at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Hmmm... 18z NAM has a dry slot coming in during the evening... I-81 corridor stays frozen... Blue Ridge probably stays frozen... I-95 is close... probably 34 and rain after the flip but its only a few hours of rain then drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Snow depth map vs. the 10-1 is just crazy in how different it is. Could be a lot of frozen precip (i.e., sleet, frza) on top of any snow. Depth: 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, yoda said: Hmmm... 18z NAM has a dry slot coming in during the evening... I-81 corridor stays frozen... Blue Ridge probably stays frozen... I-95 is close... probably 34 and rain But more ice than anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 NAM has low pressure south of Raleigh now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Snow depth map vs. the 10-1 is just crazy in how different it is. Could be a lot of frozen precip (i.e., sleet, frza) on top of any snow. Depth: 10:1 just take the 2 and divide by .5 and then call Bob Chill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 From PIT re Garrett County fwiw: Quote URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 324 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018 MDZ001-WVZ514-140430- /O.NEW.KPBZ.WS.A.0005.181115T0900Z-181116T1200Z/ Garrett-Eastern Tucker- Including the cities of Mountain Lake Park, Oakland MD, Grantsville, Davis, Thomas, and Canaan Valley 324 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch are possible. There is still uncertainty regarding precipitation types and amounts with this system. * WHERE...In Maryland, Garrett County. In West Virginia, Eastern Tucker County. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ji said: just take the 2 and divide by .5 and then call Bob Chill Nice Winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Nice Winter amazing snowcover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 12k NAM at 18Z has almost 1.25" QPF falling here with the surface below freezing. The majority of that is with temps below 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, WVclimo said: 12k NAM at 18Z has almost 1.25" QPF falling here with the surface below freezing. The majority of that is with temps below 30. whats helping this storm is that we go by Met Winter which is dec1st instead of Dec 21 winter. So when this storm hits, we are technically 2 weeks away from winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 3k at onset. Very small warm nose. Could be mangled flakes instead of ice. Also not far from all snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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