beavis1729 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Well, the arctic outbreak disappeared on the 12z FV3. You just gotta laugh. Sure, it was 11-14 days out, but it was also showing up strongly on EPS ensembles over the past few days. It looks like the PV doesn't come as far south as modeled before...and it also goes more into New England instead of the Midwest. I guess it may come back...but, in the meantime, what happened?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The 18z GFS has a pretty extreme upcoming 8 days for those along/north of I70. With widespread 20+ inch totals between I90 and I80. 3 separate big systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, hlcater said: The 18z GFS has a pretty extreme upcoming 8 days for those along/north of I70. With widespread 20+ inch totals between I90 and I80. 3 separate big systems. and then we go in the freezer lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, hlcater said: The 18z GFS has a pretty extreme upcoming 8 days for those along/north of I70. With widespread 20+ inch totals between I90 and I80. 3 separate big systems. what a fun run that was/is, lol. temps below 10 with that storm 180ish. active pattern coming up. hopefully it doesn't shit the bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, IllinoisWedges said: what a fun run that was/is, lol. temps below 10 with that storm 180ish. active pattern coming up. hopefully it doesn't shit the bed I've never seen snow in the single digits, let alone a significant snowstorm like that run shows. Imma gonna go with a no on that particular setup. There may be a storm, but not with temps at 5 degrees above. Though the modeled baroclinic zone means business. Goes from 40 degrees to single digits in 150 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 hour ago, hlcater said: I've never seen snow in the single digits, let alone a significant snowstorm like that run shows. Imma gonna go with a no on that particular setup. There may be a storm, but not with temps at 5 degrees above. Though the modeled baroclinic zone means business. Goes from 40 degrees to single digits in 150 miles. Stuff that legends are made of... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Now that the winners and losers have been ferreted out for the weekend storm (big L here), I glanced ahead. The GFS looks like Josh's dream as it depicts a clipper train from hour 150 right through the end of the run. Guess I'll once again be nickle and diming my way toward climo snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 That is some truly mind-numbing, 1994-esque cold there on the Euro, 850 mb temp anomalies of -30˚C, only this time with a major winter storm along with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Yeah the Euro is insane....worthy of the 21 bun salute. That bitter arctic air has been sitting there in southern Canada for awhile, waiting to be tapped. Maybe this is it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 It's one things when it's the new FV3, but the Euro raises some eye brows! That's epic stuff within a week. Crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 The wild thing is how the first storm triggers the madness at 9-10 days.That's a pretty strong indicator that it's a cascade failure in the model data.Sent from my Nexus 5X using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 The GFS's response to the Euro. 480 thickness over IA/IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 0C down to the Keys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Skilling mentioning a snow system for the area Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 39 minutes ago, Hoosier said: 0C down to the Keys Imagine if it snowed in Miami? I believe that happened in January 1977? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 And so attention turns to the clipper train that looks to start late week and continue for some time. Any chance we get some overperformers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 between the tuesday system and the clipper parade, 12z GFS dumps 2 feet of snow over central WI in the next week or so intense clipper in about a week..will change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 I was saying it this time last year and I'll say it again...I'm not loving the cold, but we need a decent (climo) snowpack built up to make sure we don't dry out in the spring. Although, with all the rain late last summer maybe we don't need so much this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 2 hours ago, janetjanet998 said: between the tuesday system and the clipper parade, 12z GFS dumps 2 feet of snow over central WI in the next week or so intense clipper in about a week..will change Make that south central wisconsin and we're golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 6 hours ago, mimillman said: And so attention turns to the clipper train that looks to start late week and continue for some time. Any chance we get some overperformers? I hope so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Next Monday looks fairly interesting for (atm) northern sections of the subforum... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 18Z GFS total run has to be one of the best of all time for southern Wisconsin with close to 35 inches of snow I know it won’t happen but that snow map is unbelievable!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 21 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: 18Z GFS total run has to be one of the best of all time for southern Wisconsin with close to 35 inches of snow I know it won’t happen but that snow map is unbelievable!!! Any images? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, Geoboy645 said: Any images? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 hours ago, Malacka11 said: Next Monday looks fairly interesting for (atm) northern sections of the subforum... LOT mentions this in their most recent AFD most global guidance does indicate a stronger clipper/northern Pacific hybrid system cutting into the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes region, which would steer a tighter baroclinic zone and stronger forcing back over the area for possibly a more robust snow maker somewhere in the region. Obviously at nearly a week out in this active pattern, confidence is low at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 hours ago, Malacka11 said: I would literally die from a heart attack. Both from joy and the shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Street Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Good ol' central Indiana bubbles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Hoping the Friday night clipper trends wetter. We have the Friday/Saturday rule in effect for the forum, has done well past couple storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 8 hours ago, mimillman said: Hoping the Friday night clipper trends wetter. We have the Friday/Saturday rule in effect for the forum, has done well past couple storms That sure looks like a cold clipper. Probably first of many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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