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Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowlover2
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9 minutes ago, RogueWaves said:

In other words, SMI is left watching from the sidelines, eh?

Yeah it wasn't terribly great for us, some of the individual members had good amounts but some were whiffs too. The signal is better further south, though tbh the EPS has brought us about 50" of virtual snow already this winter, so use at your own discretion.

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12 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Yeah it wasn't terribly great for us, some of the individual members had good amounts but some were whiffs too. The signal is better further south, though tbh the EPS has brought us about 50" of virtual snow already this winter, so use at your own discretion.

 What was the actual EPS means snowfall for DTW?

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1 minute ago, michsnowfreak said:

Sadly at this point I would take it. Specifics side, with a colder regime almost imminent, as long as we get some snow on the ground I will be happy. First things first lol, then I will worry about a big storm

It's like a 5th place ribbon, nothing to write home about.

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6 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

You'd like the 00z GEFS mean much more.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
 

I'll have to check it out, my fear is that this system this week sets a storm track to our south for a while with the baroclinic zone and we deal with scraps up here. Which is partly why I am rooting for a stronger further north solution as those to the south would have more opportunities later on.

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5 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

And now the euro has the Missouri-Ohio Valley biggie next weekend.  Wash, rinse, repeat.  :gun_bandana::devilsmiley:

Not sure how much of a capacity that has to go north since nearly every model has a 1035-1040mb high pressing down from Canada. Feels so weird to have such a warm winter and yet have all these opportunities miss to the south. 

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13 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

And now the euro has the Missouri-Ohio Valley biggie next weekend.  Wash, rinse, repeat.  :gun_bandana::devilsmiley:

It would be nice to have at least a little bit of snow cover everywhere within the sub-forum and upstream of us by January 20th.  2", 4", 12", whatever.  There are some signs (although never guaranteed, of course) that the PV is going to come crashing down at some point, so it would be great to maximize the cold potential. :snowman: 

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40 minutes ago, hlcater said:

Not sure how much of a capacity that has to go north since nearly every model has a 1035-1040mb high pressing down from Canada. Feels so weird to have such a warm winter and yet have all these opportunities miss to the south. 

Models have and will continue to be all over the place with this one. Prepare for many changes. The important thing is the signal for a storm is there.

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1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said:

And now the euro has the Missouri-Ohio Valley biggie next weekend.  Wash, rinse, repeat.  :gun_bandana::devilsmiley:

This is exactly the worry I had, basically 09-10 only displaced a bit west. Where everything misses here and Toronto, instead of Toronto and Ottawa that year.

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