Cobalt Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Awesome!!! I am perfectly positioned for the KU we get in a little under a week and a half. You all won't know what hit you. You and me both, except I'm looking for a March KU which screws Richmond. Let's make it happen! (sorry Richmond peeps, but not really) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 I mean, can you imagine what would happen if I won my own contest, having already pissed off The Reaper and ShowMe? I'd be ducking tomatoes as I exit! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Just now, Cobalt said: You and me both, except I'm looking for a March KU which screws Richmond. Let's make it happen! (sorry Richmond peeps, but not really) Think I would much rather have my KU then yours. Yours would be a foot/foot and a half through Balt/DC whereas mine would be upwards of 3 feet. I know which I would prefer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Just now, PrinceFrederickWx said: I mean, can you imagine what would would happen if I won my own contest, having already pissed off The Reaper and ShowMe? I'd be ducking tomatoes as I exit! I just knew this whole thing was rigged. I want my money back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Just now, showmethesnow said: Think I would much rather have my KU then yours. Yours would be a foot/foot and a half through Balt/DC whereas mine would be upwards of 3 feet. I know which I would prefer. I'd be perfectly fine with being out of the contest for that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 This one is stupid too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Who’s the idiot that went 29.2 at RIC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Just now, T. August said: This one is stupid too Thanks for playing. You can see yourself out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Just now, showmethesnow said: Thanks for playing. You can see yourself out. I’m kidding man. I lost this one too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 This contest is fake news, all rigged people! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: This contest is fake news, all rigged people! All rigged by "Big Snow" to get people to buy copious amounts of snow shovels and snowblowers. A sham, all of it! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 36 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: @leesburg 04 For me personally, you have replaced Phineas as the funniest poster on this forum! @nj2va You and a lot of others are gonna need a March 1960 lol @leesburg 04 just has more money to spend on better writers. Without them he is just another Hack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 I should be the reaper in this thread- if any of you high guessers wanna jump I’ll gray you out. You can’t come back though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 As a soon to be 2 time winner, I take no pleasure in hoping it doesnt snow again. Just send me my trophy back. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 1 hour ago, RodneyS said: I believe I could theoretically win with 4.4" at BWI, assuming DCA gets shut out and RIC gets no more than 0.2". However, if BWI gets 4.4" or more, isn't it very likely that IAD will get at least 3.6"? And if that happens, Bob Chill will close me out. So I have to thread the needle in a very unlikely manner. As our President might tweet: SAD! Oh I forgot to respond to this- you're right, I was 0.1" off for what you need to win at BWI (that's what I get for doing it in my head instead of running it through the spreadsheet!) For example, a system that drops 4.5" at BWI, 3" at IAD, 1" at DCA and nothing at RIC would make you a winner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 lmao george BM airport totals are the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Oh I forgot to respond to this- you're right, I was 0.1" off for what you need to win at BWI (that's what I get for doing it in my head instead of running it through the spreadsheet!) For example, a system that drops 4.5" at BWI, 3" at IAD, 1" at DCA and nothing at RIC would make you a winner. I think the DCA and RIC parts are plausible. The BWI and IAD parts -- not so much, particularly regarding the greater amount of snow that has to fall at BWI in a moderate area-wide event (or events). However, at this point in the snow season, almost everyone who is not mathematically eliminated can cling to a thin strand of hope, so that's what I'll do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 We're just going into the fourth quarter, and Belichek is whispering stuff in Tom Brady's ear, and he's smiling that smile. Current leaders, enjoy what little time you have left. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 31 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: We're just going into the fourth quarter, and Belichek is whispering stuff in Tom Brady's ear, and he's smiling that smile. Current leaders, enjoy what little time you have left. Be quiet Roger. You don't know nothing about nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Have updated the files back on page five that give the overview against RIC and DCA actuals. Working on the list of snowfall required, as we have the full list now from Prince Fred wx, I am checking it against that, so far down to 15th place and it all matches up. Will go faster now that I am past most of the adding on type errors, down to the thundering herd of reducing errors. But will we find that distant watering hole? Coach Belichek says yes, the secondary looks tired and this play should work Tom ... and Tom says yeah, I can do this. (on three, KU wide right cut to the left sidelines). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 9 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Have updated the files back on page five that give the overview against RIC and DCA actuals. Working on the list of snowfall required, as we have the full list now from Prince Fred wx, I am checking it against that, so far down to 15th place and it all matches up. Will go faster now that I am past most of the adding on type errors, down to the thundering herd of reducing errors. But will we find that distant watering hole? Coach Belichek says yes, the secondary looks tired and this play should work Tom ... and Tom says yeah, I can do this. (on three, KU wide right cut to the left sidelines). Yeah I think from now on, due to popular demand, I'm just gonna post the entire list each time. Let me know if you find any differences between your list and mine- I am appointing you Special Counsel to overlook any possible malfeasance in this contest committed by its president. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 I just knew this whole thing was rigged. I want my money back. Same man. How much you get hit for? . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 29 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Yeah I think from now on, due to popular demand, I'm just gonna post the entire list each time. Let me know if you find any differences between your list and mine- I am appointing you Special Counsel to overlook any possible malfeasance in this contest committed by its president. :-) Just finished, Mr President, no foreign interference found anywhere. My list is back on January 14th, since you've posted the entire list, I won't bother moving it to this page but it has pretty colors to look at. By the way, LYH added 3.2" and is at 19.6" now. SBY was still missing as of last check, did it snow over there? They were at 5.0" before this event. All kidding aside, just one big storm and this whole exercise becomes academic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 32 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Same man. How much you get hit for? . The money I lost in Vegas? Peanuts to what I have invested in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 57 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: All kidding aside, just one big storm and this whole exercise becomes academic. Yeah, I was thinking about what the theoretical max is at this point- you get a March 1892/1960 + April 1915/1924 and it’s probably like another 20-30” at the airports. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 The money I lost in Vegas? Peanuts to what I have invested in here. Dang man. He jipped you! . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Dang man. He jipped you! . Hey- he was supposed to pay me off a few weeks ago to have his records expunged, now he's all back in today just because the FV3 gives him a BECS at like 1,000 hours out! All sales are final! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 I just added 12" at BWI-IAD, 8" at DCA and 4" at RIC, which is the over-under on what I expect this pattern to produce now to end of contest. That gives the following top six: 1. Shadowzone ___ 6.1" 2. BTRwxT-G _____8.2" 2. Prestige ww ___ 8.2" 4. NorthBaltiZen __ 8.4" 5. Mappy ________ 8.6" 6. wxwatch007 ___ 9.9" The maximum that could conceivably be added might be 20" at BWI-IAD, 15" at DCA and 8" at RIC. That gives this top six finish: 1. OnceinaLifetime2009 ____ 12.0" 2. southMDwatcher ________12.1" 3. budice2002 ____________ 13.0" 4. Roger Smith ___________ 13.1" 5. Jakkelwx ______________ 13.6" 6. High Stakes ____________13.8" Half way from the over-under to the extreme, it's Cobalt in the lead but mostly the same leaders as above. So there's a group around 30th to 40th place now who could do quite well with perhaps one big storm or two moderate ones and a few minor top ups. Let's say there's just one more event and it goes south, so I add 2" to the northern three and 12" to RIC, then this is the outcome: 1. stormPC _____________ 14.2" 2. Grothar in Herndon ____ 16.3" 3. Prince Frederick wx ____ 16.5" 4. weather53 ___________ 20.7" 5. Chris78 ______________21.0" 6. RodneyS _____________22.3" __________________________________________________ How about an oddball event that nails IAD and is skimpy at BWI? Adding 2" at BWI, 4" at DCA, 8" at IAD and 2" at RIC gives this outcome: 1. NorthArlington101 ____ 12.1" 2. winterwxluvr ________ 12.8" 3. wxwatcher007 _______ 13.7" 4. millvillewx ___________14.0" 5. Yoda _______________14.4" 6. gopper _____________ 14.7" ______________________________________________________ 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 my path to victory has been determined and it will occur 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 12 hours ago, Stormpc said: As a soon to be 2 time winner, I take no pleasure in hoping it doesnt snow again. Just send me my trophy back. +/- 0.1 for us at DCA. Closet to pin I think! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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