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Mid-Atlantic winter 2018-19 snowfall contest


PrinceFrederickWx
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6 hours ago, yoda said:

Richmond gets more snow than DCA and IAD?  Bold call there sir 

Well it did happen last year (17/18)... and only missed IAD by 0.2" the year before (16/17)...

I don't have complete snowfall data for Richmond so I wonder how often that really does happen- if I had to guess, it would be more likely in low snow total winters where its more subject to random variation. 

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About five days left to enter- we have 48 contestants so far.

Notable absences include @Bob Chill , super weenie @attml and previous champions @Stormpc and @olafminesaw

Also some of you (like @George BM ) need to post an actual forecast. I'm actually not sure if @WxWatcher007 forecast is a troll or serious at this point though. :lol:

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1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

About five days left to enter- we have 48 contestants so far.

Notable absences include @Bob Chill , super weenie @attml and previous champions @Stormpc and @olafminesaw

Also some of you (like @George BM ) need to post an actual forecast. I'm actually not sure if @WxWatcher007 forecast is a troll or serious at this point though. :lol:

Sure, why not

DCA: 17.3"

BWI: 19.4"

IAD: 23.5"

RIC: 9.8"

SBY: 8.7"

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On 11/13/2018 at 7:51 PM, PrinceFrederickWx said:

This happened last year too around this time- all the forecasts were going higher and higher (95-96 REDUX!!!111”) ...then it started looking like crap and a few people cliff jumped and edited the forecasts back on Nov 30.

Happening again this year lol

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On 11/6/2018 at 3:24 PM, showmethesnow said:

First Guess:

BWI: 47
DCA: 32
IAD: 52
RIC: 23

Tiebreaker (SBY ): 21

Woof! Woof!

******************************

Second Guess: (aprox. Nov 12th)

First Call: (aprox. Nov 19th)

Second Call: (aprox. Nov 26th)

Final Call: 

BWI: 50
DCA: 34
IAD: 54
RIC: 24

Tiebreaker (SBY ): 17

@PrinceFrederickWx Here's the final call.

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On 11/5/2018 at 6:34 AM, mattie g said:

BWI: 34.6”
DCA: 6.1”
IAD: 43.7”
RIC: 19.9”

SBY: 89.4”

* I may or may not make changes before submitting for good

Oh...we’re doing IMBYs, too? Then 377.1” IMBY.

Updates (being just a little more realistic):

BWI: 30.6”
DCA: 21.1”
IAD: 38.7”
RIC: 13.9”

SBY: 10.4”

 

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If you enjoy predicting snowfall, two other opportunities:

(a) 18th annual NE-US snowfall contest at

http://www.newx-forecasts.com/#RULES

(during the season, 20th annual storm forecast contests, lots of fun, numerous AmWx members involved)

firm deadline end of Friday 30th, season is only Dec 1 to Mar 31 so ignore current totals. ... 25 locations around the eastern U.S. incl the four we have here and SBY.

and

(b) Great Lakes - Ohio valley regional forum snow contest, over in that forum

not a firm deadline (I set this one) and you could enter on Dec 1 or 2 -- the current totals are in the entry form and they count towards contest totals.

worth a visit if you want to see snowfalls to date in the Midwest (42" MQT). 

-------------------------------------------------------

Looking forward to this one and the Dec 21-22 snowstorm (8-12")

 

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On 11/6/2018 at 8:11 PM, Cobalt said:

Yeah, and I'm making sure I don't do that.. by revising it right now

 

BWI: 28.4"

IAD: 35.2"

DCA: 20.4"

RIC: 14.4"

 

Tiebreaker - SBY: 8.8"

Nothing better than updating this 2 minutes before deadline!

 

BWI: 33.2"

IAD: 39.4"

DCA: 26.9"

RIC: 16.8"

 

Tiebreaker - SBY: 12.1"

  • Haha 1
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