PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 11, 2019 Author Share Posted February 11, 2019 No additional snow in the daily reports so the chart I posted above is still correct. @MN Transplant remains the leader! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 7 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: This was as of midnight, and will likely have additional snowfall. @MN Transplant is barely ahead- just a bit more at IAD will put @RodneyS in #1, while a bit more at DCA may keep MN in the lead for now. @WEATHER53 is up to 3rd now. I don't see my name on the leader board. What's up with that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 12, 2019 Author Share Posted February 12, 2019 @leesburg 04 I'm sorry but it looks to me that the latest accumulation at DCA yesterday has now mathematically eliminated you. Even if you were to get BWI and IAD exactly right, that would still put you in second place behind Rodney by 1.3". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 12, 2019 Author Share Posted February 12, 2019 Was running the numbers some more- of that top ten list, MN, RodneyS, Weather53, biodhokie, olaf and Stormpc can still win. Everyone below the top ten should also still be in play except George BM I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 If I win, this place will have burned down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 17, 2019 Author Share Posted February 17, 2019 It’s interesting to me that @MN Transplant and @RodneyS - -the two biggest stat guys in the extreme run thread- are currently winning this. Was there anything leading into this winter that gave you both pause? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 2 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: It’s interesting to me that @MN Transplant and @RodneyS - -the two biggest stat guys in the extreme run thread- are currently winning this. Was there anything leading into this winter that gave you both pause? Well, winning with ~a month of potential winter still to go isn't that impressive. The leaderboard will look different by Wednesday evening, I'd guess. With so many people going high, it seemed that the safer bet was closer to climo. So, I was playing the board as much as playing the game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 10 hours ago, MN Transplant said: Well, winning with ~a month of potential winter still to go isn't that impressive. The leaderboard will look different by Wednesday evening, I'd guess. With so many people going high, it seemed that the safer bet was closer to climo. So, I was playing the board as much as playing the game. 13 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: It’s interesting to me that @MN Transplant and @RodneyS - -the two biggest stat guys in the extreme run thread- are currently winning this. Was there anything leading into this winter that gave you both pause? In my case, you're correct -- my snow forecasts were based significantly on historical averages for weak El Nino winters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 17, 2019 Author Share Posted February 17, 2019 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’m coming You’re not allowed to reap in this thread... at least I don’t think you are (gotta check the rulebook on that one). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 18, 2019 Author Share Posted February 18, 2019 Wednesday will almost certainly be a game-changer unless there’s a total bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 7:27 AM, PrinceFrederickWx said: Wednesday will almost certainly be a game-changer unless there’s a total bust. And don't forget about our new big snow month of March afterwards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 Haven’t been able to update this because I don’t know if RIC got anything or not- Wakefield’s daily report lists “MM” which I think means “pending”? @Roger Smith am I right on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Yeah it will be there by tomorrow, won't be much (0.4" or so ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Looks like it was a mere 0.1" for RIC ... will update my tables for all locations back in the thread later Thursday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 Here's the totals I have: BWI: 15.6" DCA: 16.6" IAD: 24.9" RIC: 13.1" Top ten list is attached (those who have been mathematically eliminated are grayed out). Look at that top three now- @Stormpc is in the lead, with Rodney and Olaf just 0.1" and 0.4" behind- close game! Myself, nw baltimore wx and Bob Chill have now entered the top ten. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Grayed out....story of my life 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Here's the totals I have: BWI: 15.6" DCA: 16.6" IAD: 24.9" RIC: 13.1" Top ten list is attached (those who have been mathematically eliminated are grayed out). Look at that top three now- @Stormpc is in the lead, with Rodney and Olaf just 0.1" and 0.4" behind- close game! Myself, nw baltimore wx and Bob Chill have now entered the top ten. I think the odds are better than 50-50 that either Stormpc, olafminesaw, or Bob Chill wins. I'm in the sad position of "so near, and yet so far." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 25 minutes ago, RodneyS said: I think the odds are better than 50-50 that either Stormpc, olafminesaw, or Bob Chill wins. I'm in the sad position of "so near, and yet so far." You would need at least 4.5" at BWI to win outright (4.6" if you assume DCA gets snow at the same time). You actually have a bit of a cushion at IAD since most of the leaderboard has busted on it. The key for you is making sure RIC gets shut out in the process. You have an outside chance, but it's definitely not impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Would you mind posting the entire standings? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 @nj2va Tried to get this all in one screenshot- RIC Airport is a little cut off at the bottom but he's the last place one. If you click on the picture, it should pop up bigger on your screen to read better (at least it does for me) 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 6 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: @nj2va Tried to get this all in one screenshot- RIC Airport is a little cut off at the bottom but he's the last place one. If you click on the picture, it should pop up bigger on your screen to read better (at least it does for me) Well I see why osfan24 is upset with this winter now 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: @nj2va Tried to get this all in one screenshot- RIC Airport is a little cut off at the bottom but he's the last place one. If you click on the picture, it should pop up bigger on your screen to read better (at least it does for me) Thanks! I forgot how high I went with my predictions...the 2 BECS we get in March will get me close to the top. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 @leesburg 04 For me personally, you have replaced Phineas as the funniest poster on this forum! @nj2va You and a lot of others are gonna need a March 1960 lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 @WxWatcher007 You’re right, I forgot you and @showmethesnow frequently have me LMAO Leesburg is the master of the one-line deadpan though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: You cut me deep...you cut me real deep just now. Yeah, I was a little hurt as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Just now, PrinceFrederickWx said: @WxWatcher007 You’re right, I forgot you and @showmethesnow frequently have me LMAO Leesburg is the master of the one-line deadpan though No, kissing and making up will not work now. You are officially on my S*** List. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: You would need at least 4.5" at BWI to win outright (4.6" if you assume DCA gets snow at the same time). You actually have a bit of a cushion at IAD since most of the leaderboard has busted on it. The key for you is making sure RIC gets shut out in the process. You have an outside chance, but it's definitely not impossible. I believe I could theoretically win with 4.4" at BWI, assuming DCA gets shut out and RIC gets no more than 0.2". However, if BWI gets 4.4" or more, isn't it very likely that IAD will get at least 3.6"? And if that happens, Bob Chill will close me out. So I have to thread the needle in a very unlikely manner. As our President might tweet: SAD! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 O....k..... think I’ll be stepping away now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 26 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: @nj2va Tried to get this all in one screenshot- RIC Airport is a little cut off at the bottom but he's the last place one. If you click on the picture, it should pop up bigger on your screen to read better (at least it does for me) Awesome!!! I am perfectly positioned for the KU we get in a little under a week and a half. You all won't know what hit you. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: O....k..... think I’ll be stepping away now... Yep, stir the pot then walk away. Typical. eta: And no, you are not on my List. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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