ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 Rgem looks decent for Sunday night Berks, N ORH, and into S NH...even Ray's new digs could get a burst before 925 warms too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 We need a faster cyclogenesis further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Rgem looks decent for Sunday night Berks, N ORH, and into S NH...even Ray's new digs could get a burst before 925 warms too much. You got a map my fellow weather friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 So based on Mets here. This BOX map is way wrong ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 42 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: We need a faster cyclogenesis further south. NAM for Tues is of course OTL. 12z GFS is zoning in on the “right” evolution imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said: Got to slow down the Wed kicker too coming in fast behind it. Not worried about that as much as I am the lead wave (Sunday) intensifying to the point that it will dampen heights behind it...Small risk, but it’s an important one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 2 hours ago, mreaves said: During this wet stretch, I’ve thought of you saying this often. Have fun today and hope your recovery is coming along. Thanks back to work Dec 3rd. Doing good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 From NWS updates winter forecast. Is the Low pressure in the GOA the dreaded one eye pig? http://www.weathernationtv.com/news/updated-winter-outlook-from-noaas-climate-prediction-center/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I thought you like cold and wind. At Yankee stadium for a football game yea no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 I’d gladly take a whiff on Sunday to see what Tuesday’s wave can do with less interference. Tuesday has big potential imo; Sunday moderate at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 Tuesday needs a ton of improvement... gets going to late for everyone. That’s a big ask at 3-4 day lead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2018 Author Share Posted November 17, 2018 Tuesday looks somewhat promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Tuesday needs a ton of improvement... gets going to late for everyone. That’s a big ask at 3-4 day lead I disagree. It’s already close for eastern areas. Trend has also been favorable. 72 hrs is plenty of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 6 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I disagree. It’s already close for eastern areas. Trend has also been favorable. 72 hrs is plenty of time. I love potentials when you are optimistic JB. You are good meteorologist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 I like the shortwave that comes through on Tuesday, looks extremely promising, might be too warm still for me, but areas just west of the canal could pick up a good amount of snow from this low. Most GEFS members show a strengthening low to the southeast of ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2018 Author Share Posted November 17, 2018 Even Tuesday as currently modeled would be wet vs white for far SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2018 Author Share Posted November 17, 2018 34 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: From NWS updates winter forecast. Is the Low pressure in the GOA the dreaded one eye pig? http://www.weathernationtv.com/news/updated-winter-outlook-from-noaas-climate-prediction-center/ That’s not a depiction of the pig. Otherwise AK would be much colder and they have it warm. Basically it’s standard nino climo without nuance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 There is a sustainable source of cold air not too far northwest of the region, I think we can get on the northwest side of the coastal low, the intensifying low could bring down that cold air to the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: That’s not a depiction of the pig. Otherwise AK would be much colder and they have it warm. Basically it’s standard nino climo without nuance. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: So based on Mets here. This BOX map is way wrong ? Looks too south to me but it's not implausible. I'd prob lift everything about 25 miles north on that. It's possible that guidance is a little too aggressive with the BL warmth but you'd like to see some colder solutions. It will prob start as some light snow in N CT late Sunday PM/evening but then by overnight it's too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: At Yankee stadium for a football game yea no Football games how they used to and should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Rgem looks decent for Sunday night Berks, N ORH, and into S NH...even Ray's new digs could get a burst before 925 warms too much. I might be at Pit1 during the week. Nice for sunday, not so much for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 12z EURO is looking better for Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2018 Author Share Posted November 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 12z EURO is looking better for Tuesday No it isn’t. 0z and 6Z were better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: No it isn’t. 0z and 6Z were better Yes, it does, the surface low is further southeast off the coast, while it may be too far southeast at this time, there is plenty of runs left for it to move favorably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2018 Author Share Posted November 17, 2018 While it reduces Tuesday significantly it does keep a festive flakes in the air look Tuesday night verbatim for eastern sections of MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: While it reduces Tuesday significantly it does keep a festive flakes in the air look Tuesday night verbatim for eastern sections of MA. It still has the threat Jerry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2018 Author Share Posted November 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Yes, it does, the surface low is further southeast off the coast, while it may be too far southeast at this time, there is plenty of runs left for it to move favorably. Going in the wrong direction on the euro James. We have a little time but not much. That said, the euro is he outlier se so toss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: Going in the wrong direction on the euro James. We have a little time but not much. That said, the euro is he outlier se so toss? Even the NAM is way northwest, but that is outside its range, Jerry the OES event potential looks high for Thanksgiving, again that is only a Cape Cod event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Even the NAM is way northwest, but that is outside its range, Jerry the OES event potential looks high for Thanksgiving, again that is only a Cape Cod event. Congrats. Snows were it should snow, where it is deserved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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