USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 It looks like the coastline gets their chance at accumulating snows over the weekend. Something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS How mild? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 12z GFS shows OES for CC on the 22nd, that is Thanksgiving with 850mb temps near -16C and northerly winds, we could see some accumulations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Probably not James...but it’s coming for you soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 I heard the weeklies look very good moving forward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 That’s encouraging...hope it pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I heard the weeklies look very good moving forward They do . Overall a -EPO/-AO/-NAO thru Christmas with a small break in between Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Sunday night's light event looks appetizing on the 06z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 We have to cash in with the ridging in the high lats. We just have to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We have to cash in with the ridging in the high lats. We just have to. It will be blocky with slow moving storms (similar to last March maybe?). Interior locations favored. More rain than anything for me and those along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Looks like a potentially snowy Monday AM commute on the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Anecdotal/symbolic content follows, but ... First it gets warm, then it gets cold - boom! That's the adage way things go. Holistically, a warm up near or shy of 'Giggedy, then turning colder sets stage, because the colder incursion thereafter tends to" overcompensates" ... and the ensuing correction nest(s) the event(s). If you think about it ... that intuitive model is really just backing into the H. Archembault statistical method and conclusions therein, whereby it is shown that index modulation/inflections are when/where larger scaled precipitation anomalies take place. It's really one in the same conception-wise. Anyway, ...I still see a very interesting winter signal for the last week of November onwards, as I'm sure others probably do as well.. Hard to say if a preceding warm up... magnitude and transience notwithstanding, would related to that in sort of a 'sloshing' hemisphere, but, I like the look of the PNA spiking months end with an EPO that is also going the other direction. Meanwhile, the AO/NAO are both tanked! Having said all that...it's tough really buy-in when the operational model runs are outside the wheel-house of even seeing it. They may (more likely not...) show events and dailies that fit that complexion until such time as something is legit and latched onto - ... there's also 'tweener' systems that can happen, which today's ...really was of that ilk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Possibly substantial differences coming than what is modeled in the 3-8 day, as an ENSO subsurface warming trend is happening which is almost impossible for -PNA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 44 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: It will be blocky with slow moving storms (similar to last March maybe?). Interior locations favored. More rain than anything for me and those along the coast. As gung-ho as my outlook was, I can envision higher seasonal snowfall totals and more expansive....I think there is an avenue for a 1995-1996 orgy the length of the coast, from the VA capes to Eastport, ME....but would probably require el nino to have one last good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 48 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Looks like a potentially snowy Monday AM commute on the 12z GFS. Yeah Sunday night has looked good for a few days now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 49 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Looks like a potentially snowy Monday AM commute on the 12z GFS. 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah Sunday night has looked good for a few days now You talking about this putrid looking thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: You talking about this putrid looking thing? I said potentially.....snow in the air, coating for elevations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: You talking about this putrid looking thing? As of right now it certainly doesn't seem like that leads to a snowy morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 O6z Euro was a little more bullish on the monday clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Euro looks pretty good for north of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 It’s a littl toasty at 925 until near NH border, but probably would give a little snow to higher el north of pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro looks pretty good for north of the pike. Hopefully I can gran an inch or two....haven't even looked at it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Definitely cooler than 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s a littl toasty at 925 until near NH border, but probably would give a little snow to higher el north of pike. I wish I was on the damn 325' hill near me....it taunts me like 2 mi to my ssw....its like the ORH of Methuen...always flipping me the bird at like a degree colder...scoffing at my meager 154'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Wow, the GFS cranks up a massive, and I mean massive, Aleutian low as we head into December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wish I was on the damn 325' hill near me....it taunts me like 2 mi to my ssw....its like the ORH of Methuen...always flipping me the bird at like a degree colder...scoffing at my meager 154'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Wow, talk about big changes on Euro for T-day...frigid this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Yea, you're damn right....it was a spot that I scouted when doing topographical recon of the area, and I should have held out, but the wife wanted to move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wow, talk about big changes on Euro for T-day...frigid this run. lol -20C 850s We can't even do that on Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wish I was on the damn 325' hill near me....it taunts me like 2 mi to my ssw....its like the ORH of Methuen...always flipping me the bird at like a degree colder...scoffing at my meager 154'. All we need is an elevation event and a Cranberry Bogger’ and we should see some fireworks from you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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