ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 8:03 PM, weathafella said: But it’s been in this time frame (d14-15) and so far no closer. So with the pattern we see we’d probably verbatim start paying mid month. And 6-10 looks good. Expand Yeah it's not a certainty. There's actually still some weakness north of AK...if that stays there then you can still keep the cold supply intact ala Dec 2007. The one eyed pig isn't quite fully in force on that run...but the trend is toward one by mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Of course it doesn’t mean zero snow chances. Especially in the interior. Just means it could relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 8:13 PM, CoastalWx said: Of course it doesn’t mean zero snow chances. Especially in the interior. Just means it could relax. Expand I would still watch the 1st week of December for a little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 8:15 PM, Snow88 said: I would still watch the 1st week of December for a little snow. Expand Good luck out on the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Dec is likely lost for SNE . It’s time to face reality unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 8:22 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Dec is likely lost for SNE . It’s time to face reality unfortunately Expand Hang in there buddy, you can do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 8:13 PM, CoastalWx said: Of course it doesn’t mean zero snow chances. Especially in the interior. Just means it could relax. Expand In and up, in and up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 I still have faith for December, we’ll wait and see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 8:25 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hang in there buddy, you can do it. Expand Time to fire up the lawn thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 8:22 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Dec is likely lost for SNE . It’s time to face reality unfortunately Expand Based on past history, mark this down as the moment things begin to change for the better, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 4:59 PM, Snow88 said: Gfs is much better than 6z The blocking is doing the work on this run. The op runs will change alot. The interior should watch the storm for early next week. The models are starting to pop the coastal low earlier. I seriously read this and thought blizzard24 posted it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Nam GW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 8:01 PM, ORH_wxman said: Looking somewhat putrid by 12/9. Def seems like a period of one eyed pig is going to happen. The hope is that it is transient and doesn't plant itself for weeks. Expand It looks very temporary. Recent 12 EPS ensemble showing more cold air pressing forward more quicker than the 00Z EPS ensemble. The GEFS would agree as well bring the cold back by Dec 5th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 8:52 PM, leo2000 said: It looks very temporary. Recent 12 EPS ensemble showing more cold air pressing forward more quicker than the 00Z EPS ensemble. The GEFS would agree as well bring the cold back by Dec 5th. Expand It’s later in the 11-15day Uncle Leo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Oh does any one have the 11-15 day EPS? Because the GEFS is not showing it. Neither is the CFS weekly and monthly. The GEFS has us in the freezer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 The gefs has it like day 13 to 15 just like the eps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 Keeping it in the far extended would be a good sign. Once it gets inside of d10 it’s more likely a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 8:59 PM, leo2000 said: Oh does any one have the 11-15 day EPS? Because the GEFS is not showing it. Neither is the CFS weekly and monthly. The GEFS has us in the freezer. Expand But the pattern globally is kind of bad by d15 so beyond that is vulnerable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 8:49 PM, dryslot said: Nam GW Expand Things very few care about. Much rather worry about December in the November thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 We can’t get blocking to last more than 20 minutes, but watch this feature stick around for 6 weeks. Longer range has been bad recently but you know how that goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Watch that clipper around the 1st of December, could spark a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 7:32 PM, powderfreak said: Euro with the blue paste in the mountains. Looked real marginal in the lowest levels. Expand On 11/24/2018 at 7:54 PM, dryslot said: It’s close here I have 1-12”. Lol Expand I’m selling ec’s 4” at pit2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 10:37 PM, moneypitmike said: I’m selling ec’s 4” at pit2. Expand I have 0.5" at IWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 10:12 PM, powderfreak said: Things very few care about. Much rather worry about December in the November thread. Expand Times like these where we a split region and thus two sub regions would make more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 10:40 PM, OceanStWx said: I have 0.5" at IWI Expand I might sell that, too. fun times for Jeff and Brian, methinks. Still plenty of time for adjustments in borderline areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Gfs is great Cold and stormy More closer to reality based off the teleconnections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 18z GFS shows how the 12/2-3 system could succeed. Euro hasn't been buying that type of evolution but it's still over a week out so it's not impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 10:47 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Times like these where we a split region and thus two sub regions would make more sense. Expand Haha, everyone is above normal snowfall and below normal temps this month... in fact I'd bet a good chunk of SNE has a higher percentage above normal snowfall for this winter so far than up north . To me it just reads like winter started early but if expectations were for deep winter and Arctic shots from here on out...well that's on the user. ORH and Fella keep reminding folks what climo is right now lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 LOL, 18z gfs shows us the one-eyed pig's arse hole: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 On 11/24/2018 at 11:18 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: LOL, 18z gfs shows us the one-eyed pig's arse hole: Expand That doesn’t really remind me of a text book position for the “one eyed pig” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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