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November 2018 General Discussion


snowlover2

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I had a light dusting in the morning before it melted around 1 pm. Second accumulating snow of the season.

This has now happened 3-4 times just this week where out of the blue the sun will come out fully right at 12:30 pm EDT! Its been totally overcast any other time of this week. Usually it'll be for a few minutes and each time its lasted around 5-7 minutes before going back under thick clouds. I think this is more than a coincidence, its +/- 4 minutes from 12:30 and yesterday it was dead on that minute. Today it was 12:27 pm. It shouldn't have happened on a day like this at all. It must have something to do with the peak sun "angle" of the day or exact mid-point of daylight and effects the climate briefly. Any ideas?

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48 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Currently 17/4 here tonight. Bitterly cold by November standards for sure. 

Record low at ORD for the 10th is 18F (1986 and 2017), which is one of the warmer record lows in November.  Already 20 there so could get interesting.

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RECORD EVENT REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1230 AM EDT SUN NOV 11 2018

...RECORD DAILY COLD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT SOUTH BEND...

 A RECORD COLD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 29 DEGREES WAS SET AT SOUTH 
BEND ON SATURDAY NOVEMBER 10. THIS BREAKS THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 31 
DEGREES SET IN 2017.
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7 hours ago, Met1985 said:

3 inches of snow and counting.  Current temp is 17 degrees. Feels and looks like deep winter.

I'm with ya! Low temp early in the night was 9 degrees, then flurries and clouds moved in.  After the storm and hard blow, noticed portions of the roof have 2'+ drifts already.   "Winter is here again oh lord"

IMG_7697.thumb.JPG.4c9e484d197888b5ed1f4067516593a6.JPG

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1 hour ago, weatherbo said:

 

I'm with ya! Low temp early in the night was 9 degrees, then flurries and clouds moved in.  After the storm and hard blow, noticed portions of the roof have 2'+ drifts already.   "Winter is here again oh lord"

IMG_7697.thumb.JPG.4c9e484d197888b5ed1f4067516593a6.JPG

Starting the Winter long snowcover the 2nd week of November is certainly not uncommon up there, but is it unusual to have this much snow this early?

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29 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Starting the Winter long snowcover the 2nd week of November is certainly not uncommon up there, but is it unusual to have this much snow this early?

Each year has been different. Nov 11-12 of 2014 32” fell. It was the wind that made this so impressive. A foot of snow I’d say is pretty common here in Nov tho.

 

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On 10/27/2018 at 10:51 AM, Hoosier said:

Gotta post the CFS.  You know me...

Looks like we won't have the cold north and west/warm south and east gradient like October, unless this is completely wrong.

 

summaryCFSv2.NaT2m.201811.thumb.gif.e1f63b2dd68ccecc722dc1d7f24388e4.gif

This CFS forecast now looks pretty silly. +2 deg C (+4 deg F) is so wrong for the entire Midwest, and a bunch of the country. The Nov 1-12 anomales are:  -6 deg F in Illinois!

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1 hour ago, Chinook said:

This CFS forecast now looks pretty silly. +2 deg C (+4 deg F) is so wrong for the entire Midwest, and a bunch of the country. The Nov 1-12 anomales are:  -6 deg F in Illinois!

Yeah, it will warm up later this month but not enough to overcome the cold.  Gonna be a spectacular fail almost everywhere in the CONUS by the looks of it.  Usually when it's off, you can at least point to it being right in other regions... or getting the general character of the month right or picking up on sharp temperature gradients even if they end up a bit misplaced, but not this time.

Hope it doesn't have a cold December I guess?  :devilsmiley:

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Now that we're well past the last 80+ day on record...It's safe to mention 2018 will finish tied for the 3rd most 80+ days in a year for Chicago, with 101 such days.

Most 80+ Days In A Year:
103 - 2005
102 - 2007
102 - 1953
101 - 2018
101 - 2012
101 - 1963
101 - 1944
100 - 1991
98 - 2010
98 - 1987
98 - 1955

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