Rtd208 Posted November 3, 2018 Author Share Posted November 3, 2018 Picked up 0.42" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Some rainfall totals: 000 NOUS41 KOKX 031325 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-040125- Public Information Statement Spotter Reports National Weather Service New York NY 925 AM EDT Sat Nov 03 2018 The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 25 hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation is extended to highway departments, cooperative observers, Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available on our home page at weather.gov/nyc ********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS RAINFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT CONNECTICUT ...Fairfield County... New Fairfield 2.78 630 AM 11/03 Trained Spotter Bethel 2.06 730 AM 11/03 Emergency Manager NEW JERSEY ...Bergen County... Oakland 2.09 700 AM 11/03 Trained Spotter Ridgewood 1.15 700 AM 11/03 Trained Spotter ...Passaic County... Bloomingdale 2.82 916 AM 11/03 Trained Spotter NEW YORK ...Orange County... Monroe 4.96 800 AM 11/03 Trained Spotter Blooming Grove 3.00 1200 AM 11/03 Trained Spotter ...Putnam County... Carmel 1.95 800 AM 11/03 Co-Op Observer ...Suffolk County... Baiting Hollow 1.48 800 AM 11/03 Co-Op Observer Upton 1.13 800 AM 11/03 NWS Office ...Westchester County... Somers 1.76 100 AM 11/03 Trained Spotter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 2.36” in the Davis 2.58” in the Stratus A leaf for stuck in the Davis and that’s why we have the Stratus as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 3.01 in the Davis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Mid November continues to look interesting on the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Strongest winds of the day here in SW Suffolk now. Nearly gusted to 60 mph out at Orient Point at 2:19 pm. At 2:19 PM EDT, Orient [Suffolk Co, NY] TRAINED SPOTTER reports NON-TSTM WND GST of M59 MPH mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/#OKX/20181… 12:29 PM - 3 Nov 2018 from Orient, NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeteorologicalFan Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 That GFS 18z run looked great for an early winter storm. 850’s are plenty of cold and storm track looks good. A bit of stale cold but I think if the storm comes in at night we can get some snow this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 1 hour ago, MeteorologicalFan said: That GFS 18z run looked great for an early winter storm. 850’s are plenty of cold and storm track looks good. A bit of stale cold but I think if the storm comes in at night we can get some snow this weekend. Gfs lost the cutters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 along with a lot of other things..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 4, 2018 Author Share Posted November 4, 2018 Larry Cosgrove holding his ground saying milder temperatures after Nov 13th until just after the new year in his weekly newsletter. But he does also mention that "could" change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 Next 8 days degs. averaging 51degs., or about 2degs. AN. RRWT is Normal for the next 30, and BN for the next 90 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 First 4 years in a row that NYC reached 70 degrees during the first week of November. # of 70 degree days in NYC Nov 1-7 since 1980: 2018....2 days so far 2017....2 2016....2 2015....5 2013....1 2005....1 2003....2 2001....1 1995....1 1994....4 1990....3 1987....1 1982....4 1981....2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 If NAM and ECMWF are most correct for Tuesday, would expect slight risk to get expanded into the region. Shear and forecast instability (for this time of year) are impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 Gefs is snowy for the interior in mid November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 Local rivers are all at near bankfull after most reached low to moderate flood stage yesterday. River flooding is going to be a major concern with more threats of heavy rain this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 November beach day. Dogs invited too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 Blue skies nothing but blue skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 Euro is cold next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 28 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Euro is cold next weekend Got rid of that late week cutter, looks like a transient but very cold shot of air. We saw something like this last year that obliterated any plant left standing. There's a legit shot at some snow too near mid-month. It's almost that time of year where threats are worth looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 Eps has some snow hits for our area near mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Got rid of that late week cutter, looks like a transient but very cold shot of air. We saw something like this last year that obliterated any plant left standing. There's a legit shot at some snow too near mid-month. It's almost that time of year where threats are worth looking at. That freeze last year was nuts. My veggie garden went from thriving to gone in a couple hours. Still haven’t had an official freeze in southern Nassau. A couple of 34s with frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 Pattern is as good as can be for mid month snow chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 Some photos from today’s balmy late autumn day: Armonk, NY Armonk, NY Larchmont, NY Larchmont, NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 49degs., or just about NORMAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 These November -EPO cold shots have been more common since 2013. Looks like the one this year will arrive just in time for the weekend. They also occurred in 2017, 2014, and 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 On 11/2/2018 at 5:41 PM, jfklganyc said: Driving through Queens today… Anybody else notice how astounding the colors are? I can’t remember a nicer day if you want to see color around the city. And right on schedule if not slightly early Yeah, in the 5 boros it seems almost completely devoid of color then it's like a switch flipped overnight to peak color. Early Nov is normal peak for NYC but to me it was much less gradual than usual. It went from next to nothing to amazing colors in a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 2 hours ago, bluewave said: These November -EPO cold shots have been more common since 2013. Looks like the one this year will arrive just in time for the weekend. They also occurred in 2017, 2014, and 2013. The new Euro Seasonal makes that it`s 3 month focal point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 4 hours ago, CIK62 said: Next 8 days averaging 49degs., or just about NORMAL. The next 3 days are AN then this is what follows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 24 minutes ago, PB COLTS NECK NJ said: The new Euro Seasonal makes that it`s 3 month focal point. Yeah, I just saw the new Euro monthlies. Another winter with a wall of -EPO/+PNA blocking. The Euro monthlies highest skill scores are with the EPO/PNA. But for some reason, the skill scores are lower on the Atlantic side with the NAO/AO phases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, I just saw the new Euro monthlies. Another winter with a wall of -EPO/+PNA blocking. The Euro monthlies highest skill scores are with the EPO/PNA. But for some reason, the skill scores are lower on the Atlantic side with the NAO/AO phases. My analogs this winter have been 02/03 - 13/14 - 14/15. Just look at where we have been stuck since AUG It is very hard for me to find anything wrong so far. The Euro seasonal runs the table and the PAC says it has merit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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