Tatamy Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Will - Rutgers said: I hate this crap, it's like "FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR YOUR AREA" except the AREA is 25 miles away. We're well on the periphery of this. I don't really blame the people managing this, I know enough about weather to know I'm not in danger. It's basically for people who decide to go out driving, at least for my area. For these storms I'm not even sure we're getting rain. I have been under the FFW for over an hour now. Reports of many local roads under water and impassable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Just now, Tatamy said: I have been under the FFW for over an hour now. Reports of many local roads under water and impassable. Understood. I'm not giving any disrespect to the system in general, nor this event. Just that it's not the first cell phone explosion I got where I was way out of the way of the event. I'm not sure how these notifications are disseminated. It's seemed weird to me. Sometimes, oftentimes I'm underneath a really strong storm and get nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Will - Rutgers said: Understood. I'm not giving any disrespect to the system in general, nor this event. Just that it's not the first cell phone explosion I got where I was way out of the way of the event. I'm not sure how these notifications are disseminated. It's seemed weird to me. Sometimes, oftentimes I'm underneath a really strong storm and get nothing. It was like that back in July when a small area of queens had a tornado but everyone in the 5 boroughs got the alert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Rotation increasing a bit in NJ. Wouldnt be surprised if they extend the tornado warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 BTW the significant tornado parameter map posted much earlier today did very well. Lots of potential to the west that wasn't fully captured but overall, there's a tornado warning over my head I wasn't expecting 24 hours ago. I'm impressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Flood advisory just posted for my area of Orange County, Ny. Already have 1.72 in the bucket and advisory states another 1-2" expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 LOL @NycStormChaser I didn't even know that was you. Great spot. I saw the racing clouds and felt the temps and humidity and didn't think to check the sheer. And I don't know what TOR parameters there are besides. But it's amazing how many of these setups we have had. What a goofball summer/fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Will - Rutgers said: LOL @NycStormChaser I didn't even know that was you. Great spot. I saw the racing clouds and felt the temps and humidity and didn't think to check the sheer. And I don't know what TOR parameters there are besides. But it's amazing how many of these setups we have had. What a goofball summer/fall. There have been many articles recently on the setups we have had, more so new england, but our area too the past few months. It is quite interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EJ123 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Tornado warning just cancelled for central and northern Jersey. Just a special weather statement up at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 All of the action is out west, very uneventful. HRRR shows almost nothing in eastern half of NJ. Wet pattern has stabilized big time, October was even slightly below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 raking here right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 This area of rotation is tightening up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 18 minutes ago, NycStormChaser said: There have been many articles recently on the setups we have had, more so new england, but our area too the past few months. It is quite interesting. I dare say it, things are changing. We may be in for some interesting weather over the next Forever, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 ...aand here's the gust front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 andd heres the line breaking apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Wow absolute deluge out there... 2.48" so far here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Incredibly heavy rain.... Easily over 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 36 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Incredibly heavy rain.... Easily over 2". I have to see what rgwp says in the morning, but I must be near 3" now. Had some ripping downpours before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 I'm not sure how to describe this but this isn't the strongest gradient. Rather than a tight squall line, there's a significant gap between the mT and cP airmasses. Basically a thick front. Just instinctively it seems like strong CAA events like we'll experience tomorrow bring tighter squalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 2.80" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 1.20 on rain today. radar looked a lot worse than what actually fell from the clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Next.8 days averaging 52degs., or about 3degs. AN. The BN air that gets here near the 9th., never really sweeps across the coastal areas, and is petering out by the 18th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Just a steady moderate rainfall here past several hours totaling 0.64". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 3.52” storm total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 6 hours ago, winterwarlock said: raking here right now You’re better off waiting for the leaves to dry out first... 2.29” total, incredibly this happened even though no one started a separate storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 This remarkable late season severe pattern continues around the Northeast. It has gone along with record warm minimum temperatures. Islip has experienced the highest number of 60 degree or warmer low temperatures for the fall. Yesterday was also the 3rd highest minimum temperature on record for the month of November. ISP....highest number of fall 60 or warmer minimum temperatures #1....32 days....2018 #2....28 days....2017 #3....23 days....1971 Highest November minimum temperatures #1....65....1971 #2....63....1977 #3...62.....2018....2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 2,65 so far , yearly total of 63.96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Around 4-5” of rain here last night. All the local rivers are flooding and still rising. Pompton River is still rising at around the rate of 7” per hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 I know we are out one week...but I have never seen such conflicting TV forecasts for next Saturday. 49 to 67 for highs. Im assuming the new/old run differential is in play here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Recent model runs have extended the duration of this warm, stormy, and wet pattern. Notice how the next shot of cold has been delayed by several days as another cutter finds a way to sneak in. Gfs doesn't delay the cold as much, could be the Euro slow bias in play. However a delay wouldn't surprise me, that's been the story for months now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.