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November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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HRRR this run just this hour has 0.5-0.75" rain hugging the S CT coast, less north and the same delusion of heavy rain on the NJ coast only and into NYC/western LI. The heavy rain band is to the MA border, LI is dryslotting and the CCB area of rain is rotting over W NJ. Maybe the N NJ rain pivots back east but it seems to just be rotting there. Seems like about an inch of rain so far around here. 

Definitely an exciting and dynamic system but awful performance by short-term models this close in. 

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41 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Over an inch of rain so far here in SW Suffolk. The NAM did a good job with the heavy rain and strong wind potential over the last few days. 

ATLANTIC CITY INTL,NJ (ACY) ASOS reports gust of 56 knots (64.4 mph) from N @ 0321Z
7:34 PM - 24 Nov 2018 from Pomona, NJ

Just an FYI, that airport is about ten miles inland. (Pomona/Galloway Twp.)

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Lightning earlier, and a very heavy steady rain.  Some gustier winds now too.

The prodigious precipitation this year has been something amazing.  Was forky correct when he said we're becoming a snowier Atlanta?  It's probably the most apt description of the 2010s climate I've heard so far.  But we're more prone to being in the rain shield because of our latitude.  This has been a relatively unusual extratropical cyclone.  Very potent, compact, but slow-moving.

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2 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

Lightning earlier, and a very heavy steady rain.  Some gustier winds now too.

The prodigious precipitation this year has been something amazing.  Was forky correct when he said we're becoming a snowier Atlanta?  It's probably the most apt description of the 2010s climate I've heard so far.  But we're more prone to being in the rain shield because of our latitude.  This has been a relatively unusual extratropical cyclone.  Very potent, compact, but slow-moving.

Absolutely potent and compact.   Rain like this has many more lulls than tonight’s rain

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58 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

HRRR this run just this hour has 0.5-0.75" rain hugging the S CT coast, less north and the same delusion of heavy rain on the NJ coast only and into NYC/western LI. The heavy rain band is to the MA border, LI is dryslotting and the CCB area of rain is rotting over W NJ. Maybe the N NJ rain pivots back east but it seems to just be rotting there. Seems like about an inch of rain so far around here. 

Definitely an exciting and dynamic system but awful performance by short-term models this close in. 

Pouring here still.   Roads are flooded.

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8 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

Lightning earlier, and a very heavy steady rain.  Some gustier winds now too.

The prodigious precipitation this year has been something amazing.  Was forky correct when he said we're becoming a snowier Atlanta?  It's probably the most apt description of the 2010s climate I've heard so far.  But we're more prone to being in the rain shield because of our latitude.  This has been a relatively unusual extratropical cyclone.  Very potent, compact, but slow-moving.

Not that slow moving, but just maturing and banding in the same exact spots as the Mar 7th storm this winter. And warmer than that storm was. Rained hard for an hour or so here, but it'll probably be showery from here on out from NYC east, maybe a band or two can make it east of the Hudson. The dynamics from this peaked over NJ/E PA. Crazy how even the HRRR could've gotten that so wrong. Lucky it's late November and not a few degrees colder when that difference would mean another 12" of snow from what was predicted over N NJ. The models got the general storm right but the short term a bust. 

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9 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

Lightning earlier, and a very heavy steady rain.  Some gustier winds now too.

The prodigious precipitation this year has been something amazing.  Was forky correct when he said we're becoming a snowier Atlanta?  It's probably the most apt description of the 2010s climate I've heard so far.  But we're more prone to being in the rain shield because of our latitude.  This has been a relatively unusual extratropical cyclone.  Very potent, compact, but slow-moving.

Didn’t see any lightning.   Some very gusty winds-much more than expected.    And the rain has in my eyes over performed.   Usually these prodigious storms fall short of their predictions

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2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Select cities reporting record daily rainfall for November 24 (through 11 pm):

Allentown: 1.55" (old record: 1.41", 1961)
Reading: 1.62" (old record: 1.51", 1907)
Wilmington, DE: 2.54" (old record: 1.08", 1911)
Wilmington, NC: 1.64" (old record: 1.16", 1983)

Probably lots of snowmelt in the Poconos and Catskills where it was below zero a couple of days ago.

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