MikeB_01 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, ChalkHillSnowNut said: Latest trend went north tho....I’m hoping we can all get at least 3-4” 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: Which model? Everything I’m seeing shows maybe 3 inches max, maybe 4 in souther AGC. I did notice the 3K went a little NW. Very slight. HRRR and RAP are all very similar. KPIT holding steady with its 4-6 in idea though. Even made a statement on twitter about how nothing has changed to their numbers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: I did notice the 3K went a little NW. Very slight. HRRR and RAP are all very similar. KPIT holding steady with its 4-6 in idea though. Even made a statement on twitter about how nothing has changed to their numbers. Come on mikeB....we need to keep the trend NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 18 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: I did notice the 3K went a little NW. Very slight. HRRR and RAP are all very similar. KPIT holding steady with its 4-6 in idea though. Even made a statement on twitter about how nothing has changed to their numbers. The text forecasts in Westmoreland and Fayette actually say 4-8” total (I don’t mean aggregating the point and click numbers like people erroneously do, that is their actual stated total in the forecast). So we’ll see. I’ve absolutely seen it a ton of times where a storm “slightly too far SE” outperforms guidance here. But the speed of this system scares me too much to bet on it. I hope they are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Still expecting 4-6" here tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Expecting at least 2”-4” Going down with the ship on this one, take it or leave it I’m going all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Model trends are better esp for the southern counties. RAP and GFS both have 6” well across the border, with a lot of areas in the 4”-5” range. RAP with 5 ish” in to AGC and PIT, and throwing up around 7” at LBE Im going to say that the warm air advection has been slightly underdone, which in this case is to our advantage NWS went to Adv locally and kept the warning in Morgantown. Very strange how that was done. nice little snow tongue sneaking up the Mon valley 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 hour ago, Burghblizz said: Model trends are better esp for the southern counties. RAP and GFS both have 6” well across the border, with a lot of areas in the 4”-5” range. RAP with 5 ish” in to AGC and PIT, and throwing up around 7” at LBE Im going to say that the warm air advection has been slightly underdone, which in this case is to our advantage NWS went to Adv locally and kept the warning in Morgantown. Very strange how that was done. nice little snow tongue sneaking up the Mon valley Nice to wake up o this news! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I see we were downgraded to an Advisory. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I see we were downgraded to an Advisory. lol With pretty much no change to the forecast. Kinda makes me wonder if someone over at the NWS took a little too much authority in making that call for the WSW. I don’t know the procedures but I’m sure a lot of people were shaking their heads at that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 18 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: With pretty much no change to the forecast. Kinda makes me wonder if someone over at the NWS took a little too much authority in making that call for the WSW. I don’t know the procedures but I’m sure a lot of people were shaking their heads at that . It was weird. A warning 24 hours out with a sub warning forecast. So basically they knocked an inch off their forecast and gave the correct headline....now most of the guidance aligns with it. Should be a nice afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Snow has begun.... glad to see it in the day regardless of totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrsH Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 In Washington County near Bentleyville. A few flakes here so far, so small they can barely be seen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 TWC has someone in Pittsburgh, it seems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 27 minutes ago, Mailman said: TWC has someone in Pittsburgh, it seems. With Verizon TWC has been a no go for a few years. Would be nice to have it back sometimes. I'd rather be about 100 miles SE with this storm, but we might get clipped by some of the good rates later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 hour ago, ChalkHillSnowNut said: Snow has begun.... glad to see it in the day regardless of totals This is my outlook, enjoy what you get. Never know when the last snow of the season will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Euro actually gives us 5 inches. That is a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 will be interesting to watch the battle between the snow rates and the sun today. Been snowing for a little while here and starting to stick to the grass. Really struggling to stick on anything else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Bit of a dry slot in the region, hopefully we get in on some banding later on as the system consolidates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Bit of a dry slot in the region, hopefully we get in on some banding later on as the system consolidates.Trying to understand where the dry air is coming from. All levels of atmosphere appear to be saturated. Any ideas??. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 It's been snowing for several hours in Cranberry, but just started to accumulate on grass and deck about 30 minutes ago when the rate picked up. Street and sidewalks just wet. 30F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 50 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said: Bit of a dry slot in the region, hopefully we get in on some banding later on as the system consolidates. I noticed the better rates had decreased a good bit, radar shows best returns into Butler and Armstrong. Can't say I expected that, hopefully we can get that to fill back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 This is going to be another massive let down for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 we asked for snow, and we got a day of snow. next time we need to ask for accumulating snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1.5 so far. That’s it. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Looks like we’ve been sucker holed here in the metro. Better lift in convergence zone to the north, and developing coastal to the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Seeing lots of reports of rain in the MA forum, seems the system is strengthening faster than anticipated and the severe component down south is over performing. Doubt it means much for us though, but interesting. Roads are starting to get covered now, expect with sunset approaching conditions will get slick pretty rapidly on untreated surfaces. Totals aside its a very picturesque winter scene out there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I’ve been stuck in this super fine mist of a snow for the last 2 hours. Probably somewhere around 2” so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Took quite a while before the roads caved. Light snow in general. Definitely been in a subsidence zone most of the day. Doubt we verify on the high end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Looks like some good returns in the WV panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 31 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: I’ve been stuck in this super fine mist of a snow for the last 2 hours. Probably somewhere around 2” so far . I had a couple hours of big fatties, but then same story. Super fine needle flakes that never could get rolling. Have about 3” on the back porch, which is north facing and somewhat shaded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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