Mailman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Seems as though the warnings tomorrow will be a bit more specific. Latest disco... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stjbeautifulday Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 So what’s the next storm in the pipeline? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stjbeautifulday Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 hours ago, jwilson said: AFAIK, Al Roker isn't even a meteorologist. He has a B.A. in Communications. The people behind the scenes are probably using the GFS mostly, or some kind of blend. Right now, though, most of the models aren't on our side if you're looking for heavy snowfall. He’s not-I looked him up. But Dylan Dreyer is. I prefer her anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, stjbeautifulday said: So what’s the next storm in the pipeline? This one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 19 minutes ago, stjbeautifulday said: So what’s the next storm in the pipeline? After this one it looks like we get some rain ahead of another arctic front on Wednesday and maybe a clipper next weekend. Sometimes clippers end up being some of our better storms. Still a ways out things can change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Jackpot, just barely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 20 minutes ago, north pgh said: After this one it looks like we get some rain ahead of another arctic front on Wednesday and maybe a clipper next weekend. Sometimes clippers end up being some of our better storms. Still a ways out things can change. Yeah.. GFS has had a wave of clippers on the most recent model runs. Hard to say how that'll look a week from now. I like clippers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 hours ago, ChalkHillSnowNut said: What about in Chalk Hill? I’m in the screw zone this time with maybe 2” with the warm tongue I honestly don't know much about your area. Had to google the town. Are you near Uniontown? What's your local microclimate like? It looks like you'd be in the ridges and susceptible to upsloping (orographic lift) thus more snow potential. If you get stuck in the warm sector like the rest of us south of Pittsburgh and west of the Apps, then you'll probably get no more than the city. Still waiting until 0Z, but right now even the meso models aren't promising. 3K NAM takes the line into Butler and almost north of Armstrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 8 minutes ago, jwilson said: I honestly don't know much about your area. Had to google the town. Are you near Uniontown? What's your local microclimate like? It looks like you'd be in the ridges and susceptible to upsloping (orographic lift) thus more snow potential. If you get stuck in the warm sector like the rest of us south of Pittsburgh and west of the Apps, then you'll probably get no more than the city. Still waiting until 0Z, but right now even the meso models aren't promising. 3K NAM takes the line into Butler and almost north of Armstrong. I live on the “mountain” up from Uniontown-about 2100 evelavation but according to the maps-elevation doesn’t seem to be a factor with this one? Our temperature is always about 4-6 degrees cooler up here than at the bottom of the sunmit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I live on the “mountain” up from Uniontown-about 2100 evelavation but according to the maps-elevation doesn’t seem to be a factor with this one? Our temperature is always about 4-6 degrees cooler up here than at the bottom of the sunmitYeah, I would think you'd do well with this one where you're at now. You managed to get out of the screw zone known as Bethel Park. You should be rewarded for that. LolSent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 hours ago, Mailman said: Seems as though the warnings tomorrow will be a bit more specific. Latest disco... I also had to LOL at the 3-12 but honestly with the information available right now it is an accurate representation of the situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 One more tick north and we are ****ed. Looks like it's just converging onto the general idea of ****ing us. Oh well, we should be used to it by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigO60 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I know we moan and groan about our area(and I’m originally from NJ and miss the nor’easters) but this from the weather channel picked up my mood just a tad this evening(I hate everything Boston!): https://weather.com/storms/winter/video/boston-has-had-less-than-one-inch-of-snow-this-winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I know we moan and groan about our area(and I’m originally from NJ and miss the nor’easters) but this from the weather channel picked up my mood just a tad this evening(I hate everything Boston!): https://weather.com/storms/winter/video/boston-has-had-less-than-one-inch-of-snow-this-winterHaha love it. Cry babies. They get blasted with a 2 foot storm at least every other year it seems. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 SREF mean for KPIT is almost 8 in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM looks to be a pretty huge shift south. Drawing me back in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM watching seems to be going better. L is closed over texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Yeah.. that's a pretty huge south shift by the NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 That's a 100-mile shift to the SE by hour 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 welp... Did we just get NAM'ed or could it be on to something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 RPM also colder and snow. Sampling makes a difference. That's a huge shift by the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 That is a huge shift on the Nam. Beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM is showing similar amounts to what it has been (at least non Kuchera) but the path there looks MUCH more believable with this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigBen89 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 More realistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Good start to the 00z everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Hmm... NAM could be a sampling issue, though I've noticed this "clipper" wave is coming in colder (maybe more south) than some of the models expected. I won't get too excited until we see if the GFS, among others, follow suit, or if the NAM simply flips right back north at 6Z. It led the way in 2016, so I won't totally discount it, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Even Kuchera is good. Much colder at the surface too, would imply very little plain rain from Allegheny north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3k is weenie porn for us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now