dilly84 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Guess I'm the only one not excited. Hard to get excited about 1-3" of snow. Unless you live in Southwest Ohio this looks to be a dud. Hope not, but that's the way it looks to me as of now. 0z nam gives a 2" across most of central Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 11 minutes ago, dilly84 said: Guess I'm the only one not excited. Hard to get excited about 1-3" of snow. Unless you live in Southwest Ohio this looks to be a dud. Hope not, but that's the way it looks to me as of now. 0z nam gives a 2" across most of central Ohio. OP NAM has been killing the snow much faster than any of the other models. 0z 3K NAM has 4-5" for central OH and up to 6" my way. 0z RGEM which only goes to 48 hours is very 3k like. Seems a good bet OP NAM is shutting off snows to quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 12z Euro and 06z NAM are much better for central OH. But man, the precip really hits a brick wall. I keep telling myself the trend is our friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 2 hours ago, vespasian70 said: 12z Euro and 06z NAM are much better for central OH. But man, the precip really hits a brick wall. I keep telling myself the trend is our friend. Think you mean 0z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 WWA for 3-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 12 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: Think you mean 0z Euro Yup. Looking better. Hopefully the trends continue today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 1 minute ago, CoachLB said: A nice coating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Most models held agreement and held steady overnight and it looks like the HRRR 36hr 0z came north a tad to agree with the rest. I’m confident in a solid 2 inches for us now. Winter weather advisory is up for 2-6 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Looking for a slight north trend but not seeing it. I think I'm going to be too far NE to get into the good stuff. Buckeye and the rest of you south and west of me have a good chance of seeing a decent thumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 21 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: Looking for a slight north trend but not seeing it. I think I'm going to be too far NE to get into the good stuff. Buckeye and the rest of you south and west of me have a good chance of seeing a decent thumping. Yep. You, Steve and myself all looking at 2-3" per most models. Nothing really to write home about. Hopefully it holds together a little longer to get us in some good stuff, but at this point I'd say 2-3, anything extra is just a bonus. Columbus and points west I'd guess up to 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Just now, dilly84 said: Yep. You, Steve and myself all looking at 2-3" per most models. Nothing really to write home about. Hopefully it holds together a little longer to get us in some good stuff, but at this point I'd say 2-3, anything extra is just a bonus. Columbus and points west I'd guess up to 6" Amazing how quickly this thing falls apart once it's in OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 9 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: Amazing how quickly this thing falls apart once it's in OH. Yeah. Weakens then gets shredded. Where we are, hoping it overperforms, won't be surprised if it underperforms though with every model tearing it to shreds fairly quickly once it reaches central Ohio. Can only hope for the best lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 16 minutes ago, dilly84 said: Yep. You, Steve and myself all looking at 2-3" per most models. Nothing really to write home about. Hopefully it holds together a little longer to get us in some good stuff, but at this point I'd say 2-3, anything extra is just a bonus. Columbus and points west I'd guess up to 6" Good luck and Happy Belated Birthday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: Good luck and Happy Belated Birthday! Thanks. Appreciate it. 3k was better. Puts us in 4-6" range. Significant tick up from op. After recent winters I've become a pessimist lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 11, 2019 Author Share Posted January 11, 2019 Been laying low... don't trust this storm at all... Just seems to dry up the further east it goes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 13 minutes ago, Steve said: Been laying low... don't trust this storm at all... Just seems to dry up the further east it goes... Agreed. Big bust potential. I think 2-4 is still safe call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 7 minutes ago, Angrysummons said: Good example of how the "northwest trend" effects cutters or as I call it, the back building bias hurting Ohio. The inverted trough will be further west in peak intensity. Not like we didn't know that earlier, but Ohio is going to get hurt. Probably 3-5 max over southwest ohio, 1-3 over the rest. Good luck to snowlover, he is in the best spot. I'm not so sure about a 3-5 max in SW OH. I am 3 miles from the OH border and a lot of the models are showing around 6 here. West Central OH is under a Winter Storm Warning for 4 to 7 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 11, 2019 Author Share Posted January 11, 2019 So our WWA just went from 3 to 5 inches to 3- 6 inches.. yes not a huge difference but it is a slight upward tick..keep it coming!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Just now, Steve said: So our WWA just went from 3 to 5 inches to 3- 6 inches.. yes not a huge difference but it is a slight upward tick..keep it coming!! You would think 6 inches would require a Warning ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 11, 2019 Author Share Posted January 11, 2019 What is a warning?? We have not had one of them in such a long time I forget what they are 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 WSW for 4-7 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 2 hours ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: You would think 6 inches would require a Warning ! Warning criteria in the northern half of the ILN area is different than the southern half. Northern: 6 inches of snow or 1/2 inch of sleet in 12 hours or 8 inches of snow in 24 hours. Southern: 4 inches of snow or 1/2 inch of sleet in 12 hours or 6 inches of snow in 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 7z HRRR has system significantly more North. Has Cincinnati changing to rain with sweet spot through i70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Feeling pretty optimistic for 4-5” in Franklin County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I've got around 1/2 of pixy dust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 26 minutes ago, CoachLB said: I've got around 1/2 of pixy dust. You look to be in the sweet spot. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 19 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: You look to be in the sweet spot. Good luck! Thanks. Any snow is better than no snow lol. Hopefully everyone can cash in on a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 12 minutes ago, CoachLB said: Thanks. Any snow is better than no snow lol. Hopefully everyone can cash in on a few inches. I'm hoping for 4" or 5" ... we shall see. Pixie dust right now and roads covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 Light snow right now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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