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Let's Talk Winter!!


Steve
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25 minutes ago, vespasian70 said:

06z GFS looks like a decent hit for the southern half of OH. Just don't look at the 06z NAM. :facepalm:

Lol...wow.  The nam has been slowly narrowing the snow band more and more and now it goes 'poof'

It's easy to say "it's just the nam being the nam". But it does have a history of correctly being the first to lose a threat.  As of now it's still far enough out on the nam that it's probably bunk.

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5 minutes ago, Angrysummons said:

Shows how desperate we are, looking at 192-240 stuff lol..........that will change a billion times in 3 days.

I said eps...not op.   I also said 'signal'.   It's also been holding that general idea for that timeframe for last 3 days....  so not quite a billion.

but thanks.

also, please don't take my post the wrong way.  I'm thankful for your reply, you've taught me that weather changes.

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41 minutes ago, buckeye said:

I know the euro op was weak sauce for the day 10 threat but the eps has an unusually strong signal around days 8-10 for a nice hits (around next weekend).   Lots of pornographic ensemble members still showing up.

How pornographic are we talkin'?.....is it just Stormy Daniels hot?....or really steamy?

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59 minutes ago, buckeye said:

I know the euro op was weak sauce for the day 10 threat but the eps has an unusually strong signal around days 8-10 for a nice hits (around next weekend).   Lots of pornographic ensemble members still showing up.

Interesting. There has been a signal on gefs for days centered on that weekend as well. 

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18 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said:

Why didn't they issue a Winter Weather Advisory ?

Its going to be Saturday early morning when it starts around here so I can understand the holding off. They will likely issue that at the 4am update tonight or if the 0z runs continue what appears to be a trend today increasing amounts they might go right to a warning without the watch. It's happened many times here in the past.

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6 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said:

I mean they weren't slow to issue a Watch for some areas. I would think they would issue Advisories for the areas adjacent to the Watch areas.

Would agree. I've noticed it depends on who is doing AFD at times on if you get them all at once.

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4 hours ago, buckeye said:

I know the euro op was weak sauce for the day 10 threat but the eps has an unusually strong signal around days 8-10 for a nice hits (around next weekend).   Lots of pornographic ensemble members still showing up.

I make this post every year, next weekend the 19th is the Old Man's/Ash Cave Annual Winter Hike in Hocking county the state puts on and right now there is zero snow and ice formations.  This is our 30th year in a row renting a big cabin/lodge and we wish every year to get snowed in while we're there (i.e. we get back to Dayton/work when we get back)! lol  PS - we missed by 1 day back in Jan of '96 as that years big storm hit the Monday after we got home and dumped 2ft in Hocking county that would have been perfect!

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