buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 euro is only a bit further north then 00z. If you're looking for big changes....probably not happening. Gets mix line close to 70 if not on it briefly....??? SV caveat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, buckeye said: euro is only a bit further north then 00z. If you're looking for big changes....probably not happening. Gets mix line close to 70 if not on it briefly....??? SV caveat Yay I was accurate lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 between hours 54 and 57 the 850 line comes in line with I70 before quickly dropping southeast again. Track looks like Central TN, e.KY, Clarksburg WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Through 66 temps never go above freezing on the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, dilly84 said: Through 66 temps never go above freezing on the surface Yep, I'm sure there's gonna be some sort of taint in there for a few hours but so far looks to be mostly snow for cmh and nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 We're alive!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, buckeye said: Yep, I'm sure there's gonna be some sort of taint in there for a few hours but so far looks to be mostly snow for cmh and nearby. Yea but hey, you aas wrong about ukie and euro. They're actually almost the same. So now you can go back to being an optimist lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 amounts trimmed back a bit but heaviest axis goes from Dayton to N. of pitt. Franklin county is 11" north end to 7" south. IMPRESSIVE run to run consistency overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, dilly84 said: Yea but hey, you aas wrong about ukie and euro. They're actually almost the same. So now you can go back to being an optimist lol No doubt. I'm as surprised about this euro run as I was with the gfs run. Neither budged. I don't know if a compromise wins or one folds to the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 looks alot like yesterday's 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, buckeye said: No doubt. I'm as surprised about this euro run as I was with the gfs run. Neither budged. I don't know if a compromise wins or one folds to the other. Think we should keep this system today in mind. Gfs has consistently showed a mix or plain rain. I'm getting moderate snow. And it could also be screwing with models still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy12 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I'm not tossing until 00z tonight. Hoping for that south trend! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 17 minutes ago, buckeye said: amounts trimmed back a bit but heaviest axis goes from Dayton to N. of pitt. Franklin county is 11" north end to 7" south. IMPRESSIVE run to run consistency overall. Meh... Zilch for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Based on this map issued by CLE, it appears ILN is backing down on the higher totals for I-70 and shifted the heaviest totals north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 so it's snowing nicely. why should that matter? GFS consistently showed rain for today....euro and nam consistently showed snow just say'n Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, osubrett2 said: Based on this map issued by CLE, it appears ILN is backing down on the higher totals for I-70 and shifted the heaviest totals north. probably a good move. I'd still go with 4-8" for CMH... 2-4 if we mix significantly. I'll be curious if ILN hoists any watches. I could see them maybe going with the northern tier counties and holding til tomorrow for Franklin on south....which could end up advisories too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTXYankee Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 35 minutes ago, osubrett2 said: Based on this map issued by CLE, it appears ILN is backing down on the higher totals for I-70 and shifted the heaviest totals north. I saw this. Then I saw the weird cutoff at Licking County. They may just be trying to highlight their zone. Point and click forecast for near Westerville still has totals from this morning of total storm accumulation around 12 inches for higher end possibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, NTXYankee said: I saw this. Then I saw the weird cutoff at Licking County. They may just be trying to highlight their zone. Point and click forecast for near Westerville still has totals from this morning of total storm accumulation around 12 inches The cutoff between Licking and Muskingum County is the difference in forecasts between ILN and PBZ. The CWA border is also ID'ed south of Millersburg/Canton/Youngstown. ILN issued 2 banks of WSW. First, 4-8" along I-70 and I-71. Second, 6-10" for the typical far NW counties south of Lima. I agree with their "initial" assessment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 52 minutes ago, buckeye said: so it's snowing nicely. why should that matter? GFS consistently showed rain for today....euro and nam consistently showed snow just say'n Just skipped right over me saying that earlier eh lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Looks like the 18Z NAM caved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy12 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, JayPSU said: Looks like the 18Z NAM caved. Not sure what you mean by caved? It was an over all good run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 WSW 4-8. Heavy mixing? Up to 1/10 of ice. 6-10 for county north of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 although 18z nam looks pretty similar on the surface as 12z, there were subtle enough differences, (trend?) on the 500h map that if it were to continue would probably lead to a flatter solution similar to the euro. Less phasing of the northern stream and a broader trough. frustrating I can't post maps/images for us central ohioans.... subtle = HUGE In the end it's going to be those tiny nuances in the northern and southern stream and the development of the trough that could sink this 20 miles one way or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Icon with it's best run for us yet. Low through south central KY. Keeps i70 north all snow. Less moisture but at this point maybe it's best. Think we'll see better than 10:1 regardless if we get snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, dilly84 said: Icon with it's best run for us yet. Low through south central KY. Keeps i70 north all snow. Less moisture but at this point maybe it's best. Think we'll see better than 10:1 regardless if we get snow. Whether it's correct or not, it's snow area is finally making sense with the track of the low. There would probably be a sleet/frz rain zone along there somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 nice to see a watch posted. how long has it been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KM_F Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Winter is returning to Iowa as well. Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, buckeye said: nice to see a watch posted. how long has it been? February 2015? Last warning was 2/28/2015-3/1/2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 GFS is a bit south with the rs line. Could it be a sign of caving to the king? Low is 50 miles south and weaker. Its caving. Significantly weaker, must less moisture but a step in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 The snow doesn't want to give it up here in Newark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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