JayPSU Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Well good news is it wasn’t worse than 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 Why is it we're always on the edge.. why can't we just get a huge snowstorm?? I don't get it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 it's subtle but I thought the 5h was a nice improvement on the 18z in that the hp/northern stream was pushing further south and lowering heights in front of the storm much better. You can really see it starting at 90 hours on tt. If that were to continue, the eventual result would be a further east and south solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, Steve said: Why is it we're always on the edge.. why can't we just get a huge snowstorm?? I don't get it!! We weren't on the edge with this last snowstorm. Well, I wasnt anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Something has got to shake loose soon - either this storm cuts north or heads south otherwise we are in deep doo doo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: Something has got to shake loose soon - either this storm cuts north or heads south otherwise we are in deep doo doo. To stay out of deep doo doo we need deep thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: Something has got to shake loose soon - either this storm cuts north or heads south otherwise we are in deep doo doo. Has anyone dug into soundings to see if the freezing rain is a real threat or is it going to be mostly sleet in the area between snow and rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, vespasian70 said: To stay out of deep doo doo we need deep thunder. anyone have verification scores on this bad boy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, buckeye said: Has anyone dug into soundings to see if the freezing rain is a real threat or is it going to be mostly sleet in the area between snow and rain? No, I haven't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, vespasian70 said: No, I haven't. I haven't either, but I would bet sleet is the bigger precip type in the transition zone. Just a hunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, buckeye said: Has anyone dug into soundings to see if the freezing rain is a real threat or is it going to be mostly sleet in the area between snow and rain? This is during the heaviest period of what appears as zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, buckeye said: anyone have verification scores on this bad boy? So we have the Ukie and Deep thunder heading south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 6 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: So we have the Ukie and Deep thunder heading south. Yeah... I think I-70's in Deep Sh**. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 So let's just go ahead and shine some light on the 800lb gorilla in the corner of the room. Cause we're all thinking it.... it's 8am Saturday morning, sleet starts pinging on the windows....an hour later rain drops mix in....by 10am we have a steady driving rain with 30mph winds and 37 degrees. Meanwhile Marion, points north are under a blizzard warning. Face your fears gentlemen....face your fears. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 51 minutes ago, Angrysummons said: The Super Bowl storm may have been one of the worst "north trends" inside 60 hours I had ever seen. Lima,Findlay ete ete all went from 12-18 inches to almost nothing in hours. This is more of a "cutter" than that one but the example remains. This storm is a real stinker for I-70 in many respects. For snowstorm, it needs to be weak and wimpy 4 inch CMH special. If it develops into a 12+ inch beast, it is rain. Then you have current trends, which is in the middle of that.........I-70 ice storm. Probably the best to be beast or a wimp. Don't middle around. edit: I am waiting for JB to declare victory soon and say he was just off on the locations........that is the one downside to the pattern change we knew was coming. JB flubbed up in style pretty bad. A little off topic here-- which year's Super Bowl snow? 2018? 2017? 2016? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, buckeye said: So let's just go ahead and shine some light on the 800lb gorilla in the corner of the room. Cause we're all thinking it.... it's 8am Saturday morning, sleet starts pinging on the windows....an hour later rain drops mix in....by 10am we have a steady driving rain with 30mph winds and 37 degrees. Meanwhile Marion, points north are under a blizzard warning. Face your fears gentlemen....face your fears. I was already there yesterday afternoon. This is all too common for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 53 minutes ago, Angrysummons said: The Super Bowl storm may have been one of the worst "north trends" inside 60 hours I had ever seen. Lima,Findlay ete ete all went from 12-18 inches to almost nothing in hours. This is more of a "cutter" than that one but the example remains. This storm is a real stinker for I-70 in many respects. For snowstorm, it needs to be weak and wimpy 4 inch CMH special. If it develops into a 12+ inch beast, it is rain. Then you have current trends, which is in the middle of that.........I-70 ice storm. Probably the best to be beast or a wimp. Don't middle around. edit: I am waiting for JB to declare victory soon and say he was just off on the locations........that is the one downside to the pattern change we knew was coming. JB flubbed up in style pretty bad. I think the best screwjob analog for this storm would be February 13,2007. VERY similar set up. In that situation we were suppose to get a foot of snow but it quickly changed to a sleet fest. Indiana, (Hoosier), got himself a full blown blizzard. I've been looking at those maps. The set up is similar but the main difference I found was the ridge axis out west was more broad and further west. There was more room for that storm to deepen and gain latitude....not by much, but it didn't take much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 So close, but yet so far away ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: So close, but yet so far away ... Looks like the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, JayPSU said: Looks like the Euro. Didn't the FV3 do better with the last system than the op GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 7 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: Didn't the FV3 do better with the last system than the op GFS? I think I remember reading several posts saying that it did. I know the op GFS had the heaviest snow too far north. It had us in the jackpot area until a day away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 hour ago, vespasian70 said: So close, but yet so far away ... Damn this has my area at 15 inches?...while CMH is at less than six? Damn. I hate these type of borderline storms. ANYTHING but an ice storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 hour ago, vespasian70 said: So close, but yet so far away ... Nice but not accurate. Majority of what it's counting as snow would be freezing rain and sleet all the way to near Delaware county and east. There is accurate snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 ^^ Dammit I really do not want ice. But I guess it could be worse: from the Sierra Nevada... Quote Wednesday Night Snow. Low around 26. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind 95 to 105 mph, with gusts as high as 145 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 21 to 27 inches possible. Quote Thursday Snow. High near 26. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind around 85 mph, with gusts as high as 130 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 25 to 31 inches possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 9 minutes ago, sojitodd said: ^^ Dammit I really do not want ice. But I guess it could be worse: from the Sierra Nevada... Seen that. Calling for 9 feet lmao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Perhaps the only way we are going to get all snow. A Mexican low. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I realize I'm extrapolating an 84 hr nam...but for no other reason then it being a perfect example of what would not only save us but might even go too much in the opposite direction. PV pressing down hard. A subtle version of that trend is what we need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, buckeye said: I realize I'm extrapolating an 84 hr nam...but for no other reason then it being a perfect example of what would not only save us but might even go too much in the opposite direction. PV pressing down hard. A subtle version of that trend is what we need. Perhaps it and the Ukie are sniffing out something? Not that I think that Mexican low is correct! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 ICON with an extreme north jump. May be a rain storm on it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, dilly84 said: ICON with an extreme north jump. May be a rain storm on it lol. Just saw that....polar opposite of what the nam would do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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