vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Everyone holding their breath for Dr No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Euro looks great. Has some good winds as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:17 AM, dilly84 said: Euro looks great. Has some good winds as well. Expand Wow. Pretty consistent. Nice run for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Euro is not going to change inside 60 hours....that didn't happen other than some wobbles. Now we wait for the gfs to fold goodnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Night buck. Hopefully you wake up to the GFS cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:18 AM, vespasian70 said: Wow. Pretty consistent. Nice run for us. Expand Great! But is that all snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Not a bad run of models for us tonight. I'll take the Euro/Ukie/(and now CMC?) combo any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:25 AM, chuckster2012 said: Great! But is that all snow? Expand Pulled this off another forum. Yea looks like all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:26 AM, vespasian70 said: Not a bad run of models for us tonight. I'll take the Euro/Ukie/(and now CMC?) combo any day. Expand Yep. Mainly because lows are similar, outcomes way different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:29 AM, dilly84 said: Yep. Mainly because lowes are similar, outcomes way different. Expand I think we have the general track, now it's up to how the models handle the thermals. One false move and we will be in a bad ice storm. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aallen Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:31 AM, vespasian70 said: I think we have the general track, now it's up to how the models handle the thermals. One false move and we will be in a bad ice storm. Fingers crossed. Expand I think for us,anyone within 30 miles either way of I70 are safe form any ice. Fingers crossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:38 AM, Aallen said: I think for us,anyone within 30 miles either way of I70 are safe form any ice. Fingers crossed Expand Perhaps. but never underestimate the WTD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6z nam sure is a thing of beauty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 ILN buying into the Euro, Point and click has me at 6"-12" Sat and Sat night. Still snowing Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 11:31 AM, CoachLB said: Expand Very rare to see that kind of map from ILN. One for the ages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Yeah that's what I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 And let's not forget today's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Reading NWS Wilmington AFD. Sounds like there not buying what GFS is selling. Riding euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 12:25 PM, CoachLB said: Reading NWS Wilmington AFD. Sounds like there not buying what GFS is selling. Riding euro. Expand It will be interesting to see what suite of models cave to the other. Historically a Euro/Ukie combo was enough for no worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 06z euro ticked slightly north and dried up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I tend to think the 6z/18z runs being bad rule is over-emphasized once inside of a couple of days, but for some reason the "off hour" Euro runs have bumped north the last two days only for the next 12z or 0z run to come back south. The 6z Euro was a tick north but will be curious to see if the 12z holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I think we're all collectively holding our breaths for today's runs knowing the storm is now being sampled lol. I know I'm a tad nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 12z NAM is around 25 miles south with the surface low at 48. Good sign. Rather it be a tick south than moving north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 2:20 PM, dilly84 said: I think we're all collectively holding our breaths for today's runs knowing the storm is now being sampled lol. I know I'm a tad nervous. Expand That's the problem with being in the bullseye 2 days out - - nowhere to go but down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy12 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Although it is south. It appears to speed up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I don't like how this movie ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 2:24 PM, Cincy12 said: Although it is south. It appears to speed up a bit. Expand Very tiny tick. But the rain/snow line makes it closer to i70 but never gets there. Exhale lol. It's also much stronger. 996mb in central KY this run compared to 1001mb on 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 2:28 PM, dilly84 said: Very tiny tick. But the rain/snow line makes it closer to i70 but never gets there. Exhale lol. It's also much stronger. 996mb in central KY this run compared to 1001mb on 6z Expand Was just about to comment on the strength. We'll see if that is a trend with the others or NAM being NAM. Going to analyze the 2m, 850, and 925 temps in a second, but I'm at least liking the deform band that is now showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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