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Is Tropical Storm Michael a threat to New England???????


USCAPEWEATHERAF

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6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

You could make that argument, and it's not a soft argument either. 

Might be upgraded post landfall like Andrew was.

IMO the standards for a Cat 5 are too high- in the Pacific a 150 mph is considered a "super typhoon"- it should be the same in the Atlantic.  157 mph is just a very odd number to use, I believe in rounding everything in geometric steps (70 mph Cat 1, 90 mph Cat 2, 110 mph Cat 3, 130 mph Cat 4, 150 mph Cat 5.) It would fix the 111 mph Cat 3 problem too, when a 110 mph hurricane falls 1 mph short......

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May be a situation where if this had another 20 miles of sea surface to cross the wind merely hasn't responded to the pressure nadir -  up to this point this system's been pretty tightly in sync with typical pressure to wind relationship so 919 ....mm one can make a case. 

We'll probably get some post-mortem clarity (maybe) based upon building science - 

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Quite a pressure drop into that eyewall.

METAR KPAM 101708Z AUTO 06071G103KT 1/8SM R14/1000V1400FT +RA FG SQ M 25/25 A2750 RMK AO2 RAB1658 PRESFR SLP315 CHINO RWY32 $ =
METAR KPAM 101647Z AUTO 06047G71KT 3/4SM R14/3000VP6000FT +RA BR SQ BKN007 25/25 A2828 RMK AO2 VIS 3/4V1 1/4 LTG DSNT SE CIG 007V009 PRESFR SLP579 $ =
                                                 
                               
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5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

May be a situation where if this had another 20 miles of sea surface to cross the wind merely hasn't responded to the pressure nadir -  up to this point this system's been pretty tightly in sync with typical pressure to wind relationship so 919 ....mm one can make a case. 

We'll probably get some post-mortem clarity (maybe) based upon building science - 

Thats what I was saying and might strengthen a bit right as it hits land, some storms tend to do that over marshy land right near the coast.

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