Ser Pounce Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 1 minute ago, yotaman said: Anyone know of any webcams in the area? http://www.calypsowebcam.com/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 Glad we didn’t do a late trip to Panama City Beach this year. Were there this time last year. Wonder what places like gulf world, which is only across the street from the beach, are doing with such little notice of one of the strongest hurricanes ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 Love to camp and hike around the tall dunes at St. Joseph Peninsula State Park in Florida...it's that super thin strip Micheal's aiming for...hope to go there in March and hopefully the dunes will hold. Winds currently at 150, so that's like what....5 from a cat 5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 Good Morning Folks... Lets say, It's getting Breezy Down here in the Coast, Already.. "Michael" being,, Hours away, the Baroclinity is starting to have "Effects" up here.. This Snapshot I just took is @ LOW TIDE.. We have a ESE Flow and the water/fetch is Piling up already.. There are First Row Homes Directly behind this Rock Wall If you were to Pan back to the right 180.. (Cam won't Capture that far right).. Winds are SUSTAINED at 22~23 MPH peak gust @ 30mph When Michael comes up this way with US being on, (As some Folks like to say),, On the Dirty Side,, These Homes,,, First & Second Rows, what Florence didn't get,, Mikey will.. Conditions are pretty Sporty NOW.. Waves & Surf 6 to 8 footers Already.. Mind you this is LOW TIDE.. Next High Tide incoming will be interesting.. Heres a snapshot.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 30 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: RDU is failing big time on this one IMO. After overhyping Florence, we're under hyping one of the strongest storms to ever hit the Gulf Coast that will be rocketing up through eastern NC. Unreal. Most people I work with have no clue what there in store for. 50-75mph winds is not joke. Florence barely reached 40MPH in Raleigh. Ive been wanting to say this since yesterday. Made it a point to read point and click along with forecast discussion. My highest wind gust per rah nws should be 23mph. Wind gust. Thats this a.m discussion. Lot of dynamics and metorology at play here besides the decaying circulation and deciding whos on the rihgt side and whos on the left. Forward speed ,front interaction, turning extra tropical etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 5 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Ive been wanting to say this since yesterday. Made it a point to read point and click along with forecast discussion. My highest wind gust per rah nws should be 23mph. Wind gust. Thats this a.m discussion. Lot of dynamics and metorology at play here besides the decaying circulation and deciding whos on the rihgt side and whos on the left. Forward speed ,front interaction, turning extra tropical etc I know us NC guys are focusing on what we may see because of how close this is on the heels of florence. The real story is the likelihood of hurricane force gusts through most of southern Georgia and catastrophic winds in Florida. Gonna be millions and millions of people out of power for a very long time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 I'm still pissed at McMaster... Dropping the ball on Florence (and blowing the whistle by calling SoE as early as he did) this is gonna be so much worse for the SC Midlands and he hasn't declared crap 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 42 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: RDU is failing big time on this one IMO. After overhyping Florence, we're under hyping one of the strongest storms to ever hit the Gulf Coast that will be rocketing up through eastern NC. Unreal. Most people I work with have no clue what there in store for. 50-75mph winds is not joke. Florence barely reached 40MPH in Raleigh. In addition, the ground is already saturated across the state with the leading rains and it's a healthy cat. 4, just a few from a 5. Hope everyone has their milk sandwiches ready. Seriously though, folks in the path need to be prepared for potential flooding, power outages and falling trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 This. I'm no Josh but I have been in quite a few canes. The best way I can describe it is although the measured wind velocity may be the same a strengthing cane feels much more violent. It swings wildly and very quickly from less wind to more. It is almost like taking repeated punches from a professional fighter(don't ask me how I know that). A weakening cane may have the same amount of variety in wind speed but it feels much more smoothed out. It raises and lowers much slower than a strengthing cane.As a long time resident of Eastern NC (Elizabeth City) and having worked as a lifeguard on the OBX in my late teens, I agree. I also agree with it feeling like taking punches from a professional fighter. I know what that feels like as well since I fought MMA for the AFL and at one time held their Light Heavyweight title.Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 The amazing part with Florence was the loss of power well inland with what I felt like weren't overly impressive winds. In Johnston county I lost power for days. People are not prepared for this one in the middle of Georgia, or South Carolina. It really doesn't take much to lose power and the power crews aren't really in place are they? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersNotComing Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 1 minute ago, Orangeburgwx said: I'm still pissed at McMaster... Dropping the ball on Florence (and blowing the whistle by calling SoE as early as he did) this is gonna be so much worse for the SC Midlands and he hasn't declared crap He doesn't deal with natural disasters nearly as well as Nikki Haley did. He either goes back and forth on the severity of the situation or he does what he's doing now and says nothing at all. Also, is it just me or does our NWS office not seem up to par with others in the region? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 Brett Adair in prime position to watch a bunch of sailboats capsize and sink at the marina in Port St Joe. Must see tv! Already hurricane force gusts ripping the docks to pieces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 To add to it. Twc will be gold next half hour to hour and half. Can see things really ramp up right before commercial break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 8 minutes ago, WintersNotComing said: He doesn't deal with natural disasters nearly as well as Nikki Haley did. He either goes back and forth on the severity of the situation or he does what he's doing now and says nothing at all. Also, is it just me or does our NWS office not seem up to par with others in the region? Not at all, I called them out on Twitter during the Coastal Clipper back in January (one of the proudest moments of my life) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 918.3mb Eyewall on both sides have damn near 140kt winds at Flight Level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 So how are the 12z models looking on track? Havnt seen any mentioned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 Haven't heard much talk about the threat of tornados... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 1 minute ago, WeatherHawk said: Haven't heard much talk about the threat of tornados... STP for Thursday afternoon. Big threat IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 DT just posted on his Facebook page that Michael is now at 915mb and 160mph. Cat 5.Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 3 minutes ago, tramadoc said: DT just posted on his Facebook page that Michael is now at 915mb and 160mph. Cat 5. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Because of course he did. Hype machine in full effect. Whether it's winter with 2 foot snow storms or tropical armageddon, it makes headlines. Not saying he's wrong, but I don't see it anywhere else....yet. Not sure how he can always be "first to know" on literally all things weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 Because of course he did. Hype machine in full effect. Whether it's winter with 2 foot snow storms or tropical armageddon, it makes headlines. Not saying he's wrong, but I don't see it anywhere else....yet. Not sure how he can always be "first to know" on literally all things weather.Take it with a grain of salt. It is after all, DT. I have looked elsewhere as well and see no mention of it.Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Because of course he did. Hype machine in full effect. Whether it's winter with 2 foot snow storms or tropical armageddon, it makes headlines. Not saying he's wrong, but I don't see it anywhere else....yet. Not sure how he can always be "first to know" on literally all things weather. He's basing it off of the extrapolated pressure of 915 mb... which is nowhere in the data file that I can see... Last pass was 919 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 10, 2018 Author Share Posted October 10, 2018 17 minutes ago, WeatherHawk said: Haven't heard much talk about the threat of tornados... SevereStudios @severestudios 51s52 seconds ago Tornadoes likely today in the Southeast... spawned by Hurricane Michael Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 3 minutes ago, jjwxman said: He's basing it off of the extrapolated pressure of 915 mb... which is nowhere in the data file that I can see... Last pass was 919 mb 918.3, they won't make it back in time for landfall pressure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 Recon just measured a 918.3 hPa extrap and 161mph flight level winds. Waiting for confirmed numbers and dropsonde.Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 this station is gusting to 130mph http://ds.weatherflow.com/storm/michael#29.968,-84.265,9,8,180980,1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 ABC news is live and looks to be in the eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 No lie.....I am seriously concerned for Brett Adair. Dude is trapped and is making one bad decision after another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 Just now, kvegas-wx said: No lie.....I am seriously concerned for Brett Adair. Dude is trapped and is making one bad decision after another. Yeah, he's in serious trouble right now. I'm going to TWC. Not interested in watching someone die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 10, 2018 Author Share Posted October 10, 2018 @wxbrad 2m2 minutes ago That 919 mb pressure at landfall is lower than Andrew and Katrina. #Michael Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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