poolz1 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Pretty nice cluster of tropical rains developing and pushing north toward central/western areas.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 14 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Pretty nice cluster of tropical rains developing and pushing north toward central/western areas. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pouring here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 14 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Pretty nice cluster of tropical rains developing and pushing north toward central/western areas. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Total weenie radar wish-casting here, but if you look at the 17z HRRR it has Charlottesville as the cutoff of the heavier precip amounts. On radar, the northern band seems like it will set up north of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Pouring here now.Absolutely dumping rain in Cville. Flash Flood Warning just issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Yea...but you can see on radar evidence that the front is already in Garrett Co. starting to influence the northern trajectory of the returns. I doubt any heavy returns make it to my yard but the metros on se should get a soakin.Completely agree...western side is drying up as the front pushes in. I was hoping that the circulation would hold the front up just a bit and allow a more nw movement of the rains. Radar actually looked like that was happening an hour or so ago. I love tropical rains but they are so rare....out this way especially. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 As of 3:10 pm, Washington, DC had received 0.17" rain. That brings 2018's total precipitation to 50.00". 2018 is the 19th year on record that saw 50.00" or more precipitation fall in Washington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Here comes all the heavy rain and embedded storms from the SW... even a STW that was up near EZF a few minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Squeeze-play is on out here with that mass to our south and the front approaching from the west. Will it get here in time to shunt the rain to my east? I hope so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Here comes all the heavy rain and embedded storms from the SW... even a STW that was up near EZF a few minutes ago Good. I just cut and seeded my lawn yesterday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Yea...but you can see on radar evidence that the front is already in Garrett Co. starting to influence the northern trajectory of the returns. I doubt any heavy returns make it to my yard but the metros on se should get a soakin. I'm hoping we get in on some good stuff from Michael but it's not moving that fast and the kick is coming in hot and heavy. It's going to be a race but it seems like it will just approach DC and then get shunted east. OCMD area should be fun tonight. I could see gusts close to hurricane strength with a half foot or more of rain down there. Looks like close but no cigar here again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Oh so close. another 3 hours and we would be in business! I just need a good soaking so I can make it until the forecast rain for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Some thunder and light rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 24 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Squeeze-play is on out here with that mass to our south and the front approaching from the west. Will it get here in time to shunt the rain to my east? I hope so. Me too. My 2 week old grass is struggling. With all the trees still in full summer mode and sucking all the moisture out of my well drained soil, no amount of reasonable watering allows the root system to get established deep enough. Still no significant rain today so far- that's nearly 2 weeks now with less than a tenth. My yard needs a legit soaking, ASAP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 DP Down to 51f in frostburg. Getting close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Instantaneous rain rates of 4.5"/hr at home right now. Almost 0.5" after 0.45" this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 8 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Instantaneous rain rates of 4.5"/hr at home right now. Almost 0.5" after 0.45" this morning. That would be perfect for just 30 minutes. All I need is about 2 inches of steady rain. Looks like I might make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 23 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: DP Down to 51f in frostburg. Getting close! Ridiculous. I really need to move. Don't understand why it's so dam hard to keep the 80s around until thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 If this storm were 100 miles north we'd all be winning. Soooo close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: If this storm were 100 miles north we'd all be winning. Soooo close. It's borderline overperforming right now. Maybe we get surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: If this storm were 100 miles north we'd all be winning. Soooo close. Yep...so close to scoring with this one. SE of 95 looks to be in for a real deluge. Its almost painful to watch the radar down in VA.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Decent looking couplet near Amelia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 .38” so far. Bring more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 6 minutes ago, Tater Tot said: Decent looking couplet near Amelia. TOG near Scotts Fork/Mannboro Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Wakefield VA 532 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018 VAC007-112145- /O.CON.KAKQ.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181011T2145Z/ Amelia VA- 532 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN AMELIA COUNTY... At 532 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Scotts Fork, or near Mannboro, moving northwest at 40 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornado will be near... Scotts Fork around 535 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Earls and Ammon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3733 7796 3734 7785 3734 7780 3732 7780 3731 7781 3731 7780 3729 7777 3727 7776 3727 7774 3719 7775 3720 7779 3719 7780 3722 7789 TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 151DEG 33KT 3727 7790 TORNADO...OBSERVED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, yoda said: TOG near Scotts Fork/Mannboro Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Wakefield VA 532 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018 VAC007-112145- /O.CON.KAKQ.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181011T2145Z/ Amelia VA- 532 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN AMELIA COUNTY... At 532 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Scotts Fork, or near Mannboro, moving northwest at 40 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornado will be near... Scotts Fork around 535 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Earls and Ammon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3733 7796 3734 7785 3734 7780 3732 7780 3731 7781 3731 7780 3729 7777 3727 7776 3727 7774 3719 7775 3720 7779 3719 7780 3722 7789 TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 151DEG 33KT 3727 7790 TORNADO...OBSERVED I'm surprised it was even visible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 2.61 so far today. / 2 in in about 15 minutes a little while ago. As far as I'm concerned and where I am located, this storm is not a miss. Further north Maybe but not along I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Jason from CWG did a good job explaining Hurricane Michael on MSNBC today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Wakefield VA 536 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018 The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Cumberland County in central Virginia... Western Amelia County in central Virginia... Southwestern Powhatan County in central Virginia... * Until 600 PM EDT. * At 535 PM EDT, a tornado producing storm was located over Amelia Courthouse, moving northwest at 40 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic storm will be near... Morven around 550 PM EDT. Tobaccoville and Ballsville around 555 PM EDT. Cumberland and Sunnyside around 600 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Paineville, Maplewood, Grays Siding, Lodore, Truxillo, Clinton and Winterham. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Please report severe weather by calling 757-899-2415, posting to the NWS Wakefield Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSWAKEFIELDVA. && LAT...LON 3726 7792 3725 7797 3749 7827 3758 7809 3733 7790 TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 143DEG 36KT 3731 7795 TORNADO...OBSERVED HAIL...0.00IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Wind advisories just came flying from LWX for I-95 corridor and into S MD and NE MD... Anne Arundel/Calvert/St. Mary's is under a wind advisory as well, but for winds 25-35 mph and gusts to 55 mph URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 547 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-016-503>506-508-VAZ040-052>054-057-501-505-506- 120600- /O.EXB.KLWX.WI.Y.0007.181012T0200Z-181012T1000Z/ District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Charles- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford- Rappahannock-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-King George-Northern Fauquier- Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Washington, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, St. Charles, Waldorf, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Aberdeen, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Dahlgren, Warrenton, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Sterling 547 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 10 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Friday. * TIMING...Tonight. The strongest winds will be late this evening and overnight. * WINDS...Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages are expected. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 45 to 55 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Wakefield VA 601 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR PRINCE EDWARD, SOUTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND, NORTHWESTERN LUNENBURG, NORTHWESTERN NOTTOWAY, AND WEST CENTRAL AMELIA COUNTIES... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Southwestern Cumberland County in central Virginia... Prince Edward County in central Virginia... Northwestern Lunenburg County in south central Virginia... Northwestern Nottoway County in south central Virginia... West central Amelia County in central Virginia... * Until 900 PM EDT. * At 554 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated very heavy rain continuing to fall across the warned area. Rainfall amounts in excess of four inches of rain have already fallen across the warned area. Numerous roadways are impassible or will become impassible making travel extremely dangerous. An additional 3 to 4 inches of rainfall is possible in the warned area. This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Farmville, Hampden Sydney, Hampden Sydney College, Longwood University, Burkeville, Rice, Green Bay, Raines Tavern, Prince Edward Station, Briery, Arvins Store, Twin Lakes State Park, Kingsville, Meherrin, Deatonville, Worsham, Briery Creek Lake, Burkes Tavern, Scholfield and Moran. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Power already went out briefly here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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