EastCoast NPZ Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Weird, but it turned calm once the line went through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 The dewpoint is dropping like a rock and the wind picked up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Snowing at snowshoe. Watching resort webcam now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Gusted to 37 here. Tough driving on beltway around 10 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 gusted up to 25mph here 10 stories up in west end DC - started blowing my patio furniture around a bit tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 4 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Snowing at snowshoe. Watching resort webcam now. Yup looks to be ripping snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Got really windy around 2 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Had a 42 mph gust just after midnight here. Love looking at the cameras....'Shoe, Canaan, Wisp winners Snow up in Highland county on 511 camera too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Weird to see snow and leaves on the trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Legit wind for a few minute around 10 or so last night. Smaller trees were completely bending over. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Few flurries on the road SW of Scranton. Headed to VT so I hope I can see something up there. Amazing that the trees are still mostly green up into central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 20 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Interesting the latest Euro for next Sunday tries to establish a semblance of a banana high with a coastal resulting in only 30s for highs n+w and some wet flakes even in northern Md . Gfs in contrast maintains some strong energy to the west northwest . I'm sure details will change being 7 days out but a coastal is looking more and more possible next weekend. Hopefully the beginning of many coastals this season Yeah, I was jumping through the EPS and its decent for late October. Seen less active times in the midst of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Will probably get frost tonight, tonight's lows are forecast to be around 35 degrees. Wouldn't surprise me if the air thermometers record lower readings. Gonna need a frost advisory here, why haven't the NWS expanded them yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 CMC going nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 2 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Interesting the latest Euro for next Sunday tries to establish a semblance of a banana high with a coastal resulting in only 30s for highs n+w and some wet flakes even in northern Md . Gfs in contrast maintains some strong energy to the west northwest . I'm sure details will change being 7 days out but a coastal is looking more and more possible next weekend. Hopefully the beginning of many coastals this season Giving us good practice for coastal tracking this winter. ❄️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 8 minutes ago, nj2va said: Giving us good practice for coastal tracking this winter. ❄️ Heck, GFS has a Saturday coastal now, the two that are strongest and coastal to the coast get some snow in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Man give me this look in December.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 I have no idea if establishment of a pattern is a thing, but let’s establish the pattern anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Day 6/7 need to be watched for our first chance at a trackable storm for the Western burbs, and maybe a 'first-flakes' thing for others as well. There is a signal and EPS members jumped on board a little at 12z. Nothing to hype up but something I'll be watching carefully, especially given that I now live closer to the western burbs. EURO Control: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Few counties changed from Frost Advisories to Freeze Warnings per LWX: URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 209 PM EDT Sun Oct 21 2018 VAZ050>052-055-056-501-502-220215- /O.UPG.KLWX.FR.Y.0004.181022T0400Z-181022T1400Z/ /O.EXA.KLWX.FZ.W.0008.181022T0400Z-181022T1400Z/ Orange-Culpeper-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Stafford- Spotsylvania-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier- Including the cities of Orange, Gordonsville, Culpeper, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Warrenton, and Turnbull 209 PM EDT Sun Oct 21 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT MONDAY... The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington has issued a Freeze Warning, which is in effect from midnight tonight to 10 AM EDT Monday. The Frost Advisory is no longer in effect. * TEMPERATURES...As low as 32. * IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures could kill sensitive vegetation and damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 2 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Euro verbatim would be fun Saturday evening. Heavy rain with temps west of 95 low to mid 40s with wind gusts over 50 mph CMC never fails to impress...has a 967 low over @C.A.P.E. house. High elevation snows and 2-4" of rain over the region....gale/storm force winds. Will be fun to track the first coastal of the season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 second frost of October incoming.... in patches anyways. Might be more widespread than last time. Currently brrr outside with a 46/32 split Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Day 6/7 need to be watched for our first chance at a trackable storm for the Western burbs, and maybe a 'first-flakes' thing for others as well. There is a signal and EPS members jumped on board a little at 12z. Nothing to hype up but something I'll be watching carefully, especially given that I now live closer to the western burbs. EURO Control: GEFS getting onboard... surprised less chatter, even though I realize odds are stacked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 More counties added to Freeze Warning URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 704 PM EDT Sun Oct 21 2018 MDZ003-004-503-VAZ505-506-220715- /O.UPG.KLWX.FR.Y.0004.181022T0400Z-181022T1400Z/ /O.EXA.KLWX.FZ.W.0008.181022T0400Z-181022T1400Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Northwest Montgomery-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Germantown, Damascus, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Sterling 704 PM EDT Sun Oct 21 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT MONDAY... The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington has issued a Freeze Warning, which is in effect from midnight tonight to 10 AM EDT Monday. The Frost Advisory is no longer in effect. * TEMPERATURES...In the low 30s. * IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures will likely kill sensitive vegetation and could damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 2 am temps: DCA 43 BWI 36 IAD 34 RIC 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 More freeze warnings towards Richmond. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 813 PM EDT Sun Oct 21 2018 VAZ048-062-064-509>511-220815- /O.CON.KAKQ.FZ.W.0003.181022T0600Z-181022T1200Z/ Fluvanna-Goochland-Caroline-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa- Western Hanover- Including the cities of Goochland, Louisa, Mineral, and Ashland 813 PM EDT Sun Oct 21 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Parts of Central Virginia northwest of Richmond. * HAZARDS: Freezing Temperatures. * TEMPERATURES: Lower 30s. * TIMING: Early Monday morning. * IMPACTS: Crops and other sensitive vegetation may be killed if left exposed. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 Update: IAD hit 31 at 3 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 LWX now including that 4-letter word in their Saturday/Sunday forecast. (snip)Friday into Saturday, the upper level ridge to the north will start to break down as a upper level trough builds into the Tennessee River Valley and the Smokey Mountains. A broad upper level trough will be positioned over eastern Canada and northern Maine. The upper level trough over Tennessee and Kentucky is forecast to broaden and expand further southward into Mississippi and Alabama. This will lead to a tapping of the warm and moist air from the Gulf Mexico. The models are pointing to a low pressure system forming over the Gulf of Mexico on Thursday and moving east to northeastward toward Florida and Georgia early on Friday. This low pressure system is expected to get caught up on the east side of the upper level trough and move northward along the eastern sea board. Both the 00Z GFS and Euro agree that a coastal storm will form and move northward along the east coast. The GFS takes the upper level trough and kicks it eastward forcing the coastal storm further off the coast while the Euro keep the trough further inland over Arkansas and Tennessee. The Euro is wetter and faster than the GFS. The Euro brings the coastal storm northward and moves precipitation into our region by 18Z (2pm) on Friday. The GFS brings the outer bands of precipitation into the region around 6Z (2am) Saturday morning and remains further off the coast leading to lesser rain event. Both models agree that some semblances of precipitation will likely occur on Saturday with there being a chance for precipitation starting sometime late Friday afternoon into evening. The 1000 to 500mb thicknesses seem to indicate that this weather event should be mainly a rain event with some snow potential late Saturday into Sunday for the higher elevation areas. A slight warm up will occur Friday into Saturday as winds become more southerly. Sunday, the coastal storm will shift further northeastward out of our area. Some lingerings rain and snow showers over the higher elevations will be possible on Sunday. The GFS tries to bring a secondary cold front Sunday afternoon while the Euro tries to keep this boundary mainly dry.(snip) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 First sub-freezing night. 30/29. The central peninsula gets really cold at night here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 Frost on the pumpkin here. 29F. Impressive I must say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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