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Coldtober model and pattern disco


Damage In Tolland

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Doesn't matter how warm that pattern looks..  'Keep rollin' top-heavy high pressure over SE Canada, heights can balloon to a quasar if they want ...the atmosphere ends up right at normal. 

Tennessee Valley?  ...sure, hot as holy hell (relative to season) and probably historic and all that down in the Mason Dixie...

That all said ... yeah, I think it's possible if not plausible that the models are over doing the lower tropospheric jam up under the rim of the ridge just the same.  We'll have to see if/when that maintains crossing inside of D5.. The runs tend to over amp (even slightly matters here..) trough depth/wave spaces as they 'skip off the pond' at this sort of time range and just a little relaxation in that regard would concomitantly back off on confluence and less high ...blah blah more SW flow ... perhaps better fitting of that total appeal, would transpire. 

But, I've seen tall heights and ridges with temps 60 F at the bottom before so I'm not saying the over-top look would prevail either... 50/50

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lol

Today: Showers, mainly before noon. Patchy fog before 11am. High near 57. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Tonight: Showers, mainly after 9pm. Low around 46. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Tuesday: Showers. High near 53. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night: Showers, mainly before 3am. Low around 49. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers before 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. North wind around 5 mph.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.

Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 71.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 59.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 69.
 

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