Hoosier Posted October 7, 2018 Author Share Posted October 7, 2018 On 10/7/2018 at 6:12 PM, michsnowfreak said: Sounds like there is much more color here than your area, and you are just slightly south. Far northern indiana right? Expand Yeah I do see more color in other types of trees around the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted October 7, 2018 Share Posted October 7, 2018 On 10/7/2018 at 4:38 PM, Hoosier said: Anyone catch this on the FV3 GFS? Yeah, not likely, but a sign of the seasonal shift more than anything. Expand If this were to somehow pan out, going from the mid 80’s to snowflakes in 3 days would be a little scary lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 7, 2018 Author Share Posted October 7, 2018 On 10/7/2018 at 6:35 PM, CoalCityWxMan said: If this were to somehow pan out, going from the mid 80’s to snowflakes in 3 days would be a little scary lol Expand Still on the 12z run. Even getting flakes mixed in would be noteworthy especially coming off the warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 7, 2018 Author Share Posted October 7, 2018 The Euro too?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 7, 2018 Share Posted October 7, 2018 On 10/7/2018 at 6:48 PM, Hoosier said: Still on the 12z run. Even getting flakes mixed in would be noteworthy especially coming off the warmth Expand lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 7, 2018 Author Share Posted October 7, 2018 On 10/7/2018 at 8:25 PM, IWXwx said: lol Expand Hey, if Oct 1989 can happen, so can this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 7, 2018 Share Posted October 7, 2018 The s word is now being mentioned in the new point. Let's do it. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Friday A chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 48. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Friday Night A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 8, 2018 Author Share Posted October 8, 2018 1.83" PWAT on the 00z ILX sounding. Believe it or not that is not even close to the October record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 8, 2018 Author Share Posted October 8, 2018 A lackluster performance by the HRRR in and around northern IL today. Even the most recent runs have temps generally 80 or below, when in reality it is 2-4 degrees warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 88 here. The record of 93 set back in 2007 will obviously be safe. After Wednesday I’m hoping to be done with the heat for the rest of the year. I have 30s in my forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 80/71 currently, it is a bit thick outside... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 Holiday today so had off. What a beautiful day outside. 82 and sunny. Played some tennis and took the dog for a walk along the water. Have to enjoy the last few days of summer this week while we can. Probably the last few 80 degree days until next spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 8, 2018 Author Share Posted October 8, 2018 LOT is forecasting 69 tonight at ORD, which would break the record high min of 68. Fwiw, the latest 70 degree low came on October 21, and that is the only one to occur after October 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 On 10/8/2018 at 9:05 PM, Hoosier said: LOT is forecasting 69 tonight at ORD, which would break the record high min of 68. Fwiw, the latest 70 degree low came on October 21, and that is the only one to occur after October 6. Expand DTW has never had a low of 70 for October. Forecast of 67 tonight, we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 8, 2018 Author Share Posted October 8, 2018 On 10/8/2018 at 9:08 PM, Stebo said: DTW has never had a low of 70 for October. Forecast of 67 tonight, we shall see. Expand Low of 70 in October has happened several times in Chicago. The October record is 71 degrees. I think that one will be tough to match but we'll see. It is a fairly moist airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 83 today. What a change compared to the previous few days. Looks like the snow chances for Fri have crapped the bed. Typical early season mirage stuff showing up on the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 8, 2018 Author Share Posted October 8, 2018 On 10/8/2018 at 9:36 PM, cyclone77 said: 83 today. What a change compared to the previous few days. Looks like the snow chances for Fri have crapped the bed. Typical early season mirage stuff showing up on the guidance. Expand Maybe we can get the northern stream to phase with what's left of Sergio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 From the local news last night. This was a cell that blew up near Fisher, about 18 miles NW of Champaign. No damage reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 8, 2018 Author Share Posted October 8, 2018 On 10/8/2018 at 9:26 PM, Hoosier said: Low of 70 in October has happened several times in Chicago. The October record is 71 degrees. I think that one will be tough to match but we'll see. It is a fairly moist airmass. Expand I changed my mind. I'd give a 50/50 shot of that 71 being tied... and holding through Tuesday... with some chance (although significantly lower) of 72. I'm about 75% confident the low won't drop below 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 On 10/8/2018 at 11:08 PM, Hoosier said: I changed my mind. I'd give a 50/50 shot of that 71 being tied... and holding through Tuesday... with some chance (although significantly lower) of 72. I'm about 75% confident the low won't drop below 70. Expand Eat your arm confident? lol, couldn't help it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 8, 2018 Author Share Posted October 8, 2018 On 10/8/2018 at 11:23 PM, Jackstraw said: Eat your arm confident? lol, couldn't help it Expand No, have to be at least 99% confident for eat my arm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 On 10/8/2018 at 5:35 PM, (((Will))) said: I can't believe the difference between here and areas like northern Ohio. It's almost 90 there - yet its been day in, day out drizzles and temps in the 40s here for what seems like a month. Even had snow twice now. Expand Old man winter is on our doorstep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 It felt weird this afternoon to drive along exploding colors of Fall with the sauna like atmosphere. After 2 more days, the coldest air of Fall awaits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 On 10/7/2018 at 6:51 AM, Stebo said: I know it wasn't DTX, but DTW maxed at 72 for the dewpoint today on the 5 min obs, which would have also destroyed the record for the month. No sounding has had a dewpoint over 70 before, it looks like we have more chances though this week. Expand And broken, 00z sounding tonight 76/70 at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 Pretty impressive to see 12" probabilities showing up on the WPC forecast this early in the season outside of the Rockies or lake belts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 9, 2018 Author Share Posted October 9, 2018 On 10/9/2018 at 4:51 AM, cyclone77 said: Pretty impressive to see 12" probabilities showing up on the WPC forecast this early in the season outside of the Rockies or lake belts. Expand Biggest 12" area ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 9, 2018 Author Share Posted October 9, 2018 Still 75 at Midway and 73 at ORD as of 1 a.m. central. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 On 10/9/2018 at 6:13 AM, Hoosier said: Still 75 at Midway and 73 at ORD as of 1 a.m. central. Expand 70 at DTW 75 at DET, quite a spread there. So far we have stopped at 70 though at DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 CMH stats from ILN: -Today (and tomorrow) will be day #127 (and #128) of the year with a high temperature of at least 80F. Old record was 126 days in 2007. -Yesterday was day #96 of the year with a low temperature of 65F or above. Today will likely be #97. Old record was 80 days in 1881. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 9, 2018 Author Share Posted October 9, 2018 Looks like a low of 70 at ORD. Overnight tonight could be similarly warm but it's not going to hold through tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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