WxUSAF Posted September 29, 2018 Author Share Posted September 29, 2018 DCA: 11/24 BWI: 11/8 IAD: 11/8 RIC: 11/17 Tie: 4.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mordecai Posted September 30, 2018 Share Posted September 30, 2018 DCA: 11/7 BWI: 10/31 IAD: 10/31 RIC: 11/7 Tiebreaker: 3.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted September 30, 2018 Share Posted September 30, 2018 DCA: 12/4 BWI: 11/4 IAD: 11/2 RIC: 12/1 Tiebreaker: 5.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 30, 2018 Share Posted September 30, 2018 DCA: 11/30 BWI: 11/11 IAD: 11/2 RIC: 11/14 TB: 3.60" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 30, 2018 Share Posted September 30, 2018 Tricky contest this year. Easy to go late because well...it's been warm as F and warm enso is generally a mild fall pattern. Add is the ridiculous amount of saturated ground and everything points to a late start to cold season. However, a very cold Canada pattern looks to potentially lock in this month so intrusions could be pretty cold. Northern plains weenies may have a good October. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted September 30, 2018 Share Posted September 30, 2018 DCA: 12/5 BWI: 11/22 IAD: 11/12 RIC: 11/27 TB: 4.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted October 1, 2018 Share Posted October 1, 2018 1 hour ago, Bob Chill said: Tricky contest this year. Easy to go late because well...it's been warm as F and warm enso is generally a mild fall pattern. Add is the ridiculous amount of saturated ground and everything points to a late start to cold season. However, a very cold Canada pattern looks to potentially lock in this month so intrusions could be pretty cold. Northern plains weenies may have a good October. Lol Wait until after the deadline. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2010 extreme Posted October 1, 2018 Share Posted October 1, 2018 DCA: 11/15 BWI: 10/25 IAD: 10/21 RIC: 11/9 Tiebreaker: 3.42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 1, 2018 Share Posted October 1, 2018 DCA: 11/12 BWI: 11/11 IAD: 10/30 RIC: 11/12 Tiebreaker: 3.93" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 14, 2018 Author Share Posted October 14, 2018 34 entries this year. Our average values are: DCA: 11/17/18 BWI: 11/3/18 IAD: 10/30/18 RIC: 11/16/18 Tie: 4.03" So a week to 10 days past climo for the most part. DCA value is close to climo I believe. Looks like next week has the first legit threat, particularly for the non-DCA locations. IAD has 1.02" of rain to date for reference. 2018 First Freeze Contest.xlsx 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 On 9/29/2018 at 9:17 AM, WxUSAF said: DCA: 12/6 BWI: 11/14 IAD: 11/14 RIC: 12/1 Tie: 0.5" See above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 16, 2018 Share Posted October 16, 2018 May be some mega busts here. If you believe some of the models I'm seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 16, 2018 Author Share Posted October 16, 2018 48 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: May be some mega busts here. If you believe some of the models I'm seeing. Yeah could be. Don’t think anyone gets to 32 this week but next week is probably an even money or better chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 16, 2018 Share Posted October 16, 2018 29 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah could be. Don’t think anyone gets to 32 this week but next week is probably an even money or better chance. Not good news . Might need to do sod now under the trees , or my wife will kill me . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted October 19, 2018 Share Posted October 19, 2018 Dulles hit 33 this morning, close call. I suspect will reach 32 Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 19, 2018 Share Posted October 19, 2018 Some of us still underestimate the radiational cooling of Richmond. BWI got down to 35 this morning, DCA to 43, and RIC to 38. For DCA to hit 32, they almost need an arctic blast, while RIC can do it with the passage of a mid-fall cold front followed by clear skies and calm winds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 19, 2018 Share Posted October 19, 2018 35 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Some of us still underestimate the radiational cooling of Richmond. BWI got down to 35 this morning, DCA to 43, and RIC to 38. For DCA to hit 32, they almost need an arctic blast, while RIC can do it with the passage of a mid-fall cold front followed by clear skies and calm winds. I would think that the water around DC matters in the early fall too. I don't know what the temp of that water is, but I imagine it's still pretty warm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 19, 2018 Share Posted October 19, 2018 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I would think that the water around DC matters in the early fall too. I don't know what the temp of that water is, but I imagine it's still pretty warm. It's about 58 degrees per this site: https://waterdata.usgs.gov/dc/nwis/uv?cb_00010=on&cb_00010=on&cb_00010=on&cb_00010=on&cb_00095=on&cb_00095=on&cb_00400=on&format=gif_default&site_no=01646500&period=&begin_date=2018-10-12&end_date=2018-10-19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 Darn it I went early on the prediction and IAD made 33. iI think Sunday night it will and BWI close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 LWX note about where yesterday's freeze was: PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1021 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2018 ...GROWING SEASON ENDED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN MARYLAND, EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA, THE NORTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... WIDESPREAD SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES WERE OBSERVED THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MARYLAND, EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA, THE NORTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. THEREFORE, THE GROWING SEASON HAS ENDED, AND FROST AND FREEZE HEADLINES WILL NO LONGER BE ISSUED THIS YEAR FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: EASTERN AND WESTERN ALLEGANY COUNTY MD CLARKE COUNTY VA EASTERN AND WESTERN HIGHLAND COUNTY VA FREDERICK COUNTY VA PAGE COUNTY VA ROCKINGHAM COUNTY VA SHENANDOAH COUNTY VA WARREN COUNTY VA BERKELEY COUNTY WV EASTERN AND WESTERN GRANT COUNTY WV EASTERN AND WESTERN MINERAL COUNTY WV EASTERN AND WESTERN PENDLETON COUNTY WV HAMPSHIRE COUNTY WV HARDY COUNTY WV JEFFERSON COUNTY WV MORGAN COUNTY WV $$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 IAD has reached 32. BWI and RIC both at 33 as of 6 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PCT_ATC Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 30 degrees here in Warrenton this am . forgot to bring in the hoses, they froze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 22, 2018 Author Share Posted October 22, 2018 BWI hit 32 on the intrahour. RIC fell short. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 56 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: BWI hit 32 on the intrahour. RIC fell short. I'm pretty impressed. I always go with BWI and RIC on or around the same dates, and didn't think we'd get enough of a cool down to get BWI there just yet. Hopefully Richmond can hold off for a couple more weeks. DCA...forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 Hit Bwi and IAD bullseye, Richmond misses by 1 degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 DCA and Ric on 10Th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted November 8, 2018 Share Posted November 8, 2018 On 11/6/2018 at 1:20 AM, Tenman Johnson said: DCA and Ric on 10Th? The actual date would be the 11th. NWS is calling for RIC to hit it. It's warmed up to 31F at DCA, so close call. What a switch since 11 Oct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted November 10, 2018 Share Posted November 10, 2018 On 11/8/2018 at 3:31 AM, arlwx said: The actual date would be the 11th. NWS is calling for RIC to hit it. It's warmed up to 31F at DCA, so close call. What a switch since 11 Oct. Update: NWS is calling for 30F for DCA and 27F for RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 May hit 32 at RIC before midnight. Was 34 at 10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 24 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: May hit 32 at RIC before midnight. Was 34 at 10pm. RIC officially at 32 now and since it's before midnight date goes down as 11/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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