nycwinter Posted October 4, 2018 Share Posted October 4, 2018 50 minutes ago, sferic said: With all this warmth, let's go back 31 years ago to October 4th, 1987 Huge snowstorm north and NE of NYC NW Jersey and Northern Westchester had 3 inches while further North way over a foot. I remember just 30 to 40 miles up the thruway from NYC it was snowing as I was in it. WCBS AM also reported a sleet pellet in Hicksville NY What a storm i remember that storm it happened on the last day of the regular season in baseball.. nyc got down into the upper 30.s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 4, 2018 Share Posted October 4, 2018 Cities from Washington, DC southward saw numerous 90° readings today. Washington's high of 90° was its first 90° temperature in October since the thermometer reached 91° on October 6, 2013. Atlanta (91°) and Tampa (92°) tied their daily record high temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 4, 2018 Share Posted October 4, 2018 9 hours ago, bluewave said: ^^^^^^^ Don, it looks like we are on track for another top 5 latest date like last October. Latest NYC dates to drop below 50 degrees: #1...10-20.....2005 #2...10-16.....2017....1995....1955 #3...10-15....1969....1898 #4...10-14....2002 #5...10-12....2007....1910...1909 It looks that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 5, 2018 Author Share Posted October 5, 2018 Current temp 76/DP 71/RH 85% Pretty impressive for this time of night in October IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: Current temp 76/DP 71/RH 85% Pretty impressive for this time of night in October IMO. I agree. Very humid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Next 7 days averaging 71degs., or about 12degs. AN. RWTT still does not indicate any trough in the northeast until maybe the second week of Nov. I do not think any drop off during the 15th. to 19th. holds. Halloween costumes should be light colored and loose fitting. lol! RWTT has ridgeing here with big anomaly at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 DT in 70s temp 74 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 5 hours ago, sferic said: With all this warmth, let's go back 31 years ago to October 4th, 1987 Huge snowstorm north and NE of NYC NW Jersey and Northern Westchester had 3 inches while further North way over a foot. I remember just 30 to 40 miles up the thruway from NYC it was snowing as I was in it. WCBS AM also reported a sleet pellet in Hicksville NY What a storm I actually drove up north from LI that morning to see where the accumulations were. I believe it was a Saturday morning. There was a coating on grassy surfaces from about central Westchester on north however it was just cloudy. I drove up I-684 to I-84 going west to see how accumulations were in the high country to the west of Brewster. Once I started going up that grade accumulations started to increase rapidly. I don’t think I got as far as Stormville before being forced to turn around due to heavy snow. At that point there was at least 6” on the ground. It was a classic early season elevation event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 It feels like a mid summer night outside 73F and high humidity, AC is running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 2 hours ago, CIK62 said: Next 7 days averaging 71degs., or about 12degs. AN. RWTT still does not indicate any trough in the northeast until maybe the second week of Nov. I do not think any drop off during the 15th. to 19th. holds. Halloween costumes should be light colored and loose fitting. lol! RWTT has ridgeing here with big anomaly at that time. I don't buy any drop off either, models already showing more ridging next weekend. Anomalies will be through the roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Next 8 days are averaging 71degs., or about 12degs. AN. Could be +11 by the 13th. at this rate. That would mean the last 19 days of the month must be under about +5, or we will set a new monthly record. I had 75.5degs. at 10PM last night. It is under 65degs. , now (5am). Still another 8 or 9 days of double digit 850mb. T's. By mid-month, 7C is normal, and it has been single digit since Oct. started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Perfect fall morning. Just missing the smell of wood smoke; but with yesterday's warmth that's too be expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 18 minutes ago, bluewave said: The models are showing a trough split around the middle of October. So rather than a deep trough coming east, a piece gets left behind near the West Coast. Any cool down looks brief as the piece of energy near the West Coast helps pump the ridge over the East later in October. New run Old run SO no seasonable weather this month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 a couple of average days and then back to the torch....The run of dry weekends continues which is great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: a couple of average days and then back to the torch....The run of dry weekends continues which is great Even when the highs are closer to normal, we start the day with warm minimums again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 2 hours ago, Brian5671 said: a couple of average days and then back to the torch....The run of dry weekends continues which is great Yes, weekends have been great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 5 hours ago, CIK62 said: Next 8 days are averaging 71degs., or about 12degs. AN. Could be +11 by the 13th. at this rate. That would mean the last 19 days of the month must be under about +5, or we will set a new monthly record. I had 75.5degs. at 10PM last night. It is under 65degs. , now (5am). Still another 8 or 9 days of double digit 850mb. T's. By mid-month, 7C is normal, and it has been single digit since Oct. started. Wasn't last October record warm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 19 hours ago, snywx said: I would say the change in color up here has been noticeable for about 2 weeks now. Its starting to pick up steam now Believe it or not I saw some color change on the Thruway in Westchester at the end of August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Several stations are already in the top 5 highest number of 60 degree minimums with more to come over the next week or so. Notice how many of the top years were in the 2010's. 60 degree or warmer minimums through 10-4 White Plains #1...98 days....1959 #2...96 days....2012...2011 #3...94 days....2018....so far #4...93 days....2016 #5..92 days.....2015 Islip #1...109 days...2015 #2..107 days....2011 #3..105 days....2017 #4..103 days...2016 #5..102 days....2018 so far LGA #1...137 days....2007 #2....133 days...2016 #3....132 days...2012...2010 #4...131 days...2018 so far #5..129.days....1991 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Wasn't last October record warm? first half was a dry blowtorch-turned cooler/wetter 2nd half of month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 30 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Believe it or not I saw some color change on the Thruway in Westchester at the end of August. There are always some trees that turn very early. Whether it's due to soil chemistry or something else I don't know but, there are a few trees that change early every year by me and it's always the same trees or at least the same group of trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 12z GFS showing a Friday cooldown, now at 168 hours. CMC about 20 hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: There are always some trees that turn very early. Whether it's due to soil chemistry or something else I don't know but, there are a few trees that change early every year by me and it's always the same trees or at least the same group of trees. sometimes it's diseased or stressed trees that go early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 2 hours ago, RedSky said: Wasn't last October record warm? October 2017 was among three warmest Octobers in many cities in the Northeast. Select average temperatures and rankings: Allentown: 60.1° 2nd warmest October Atlantic City: 62.4° 2nd warmest October Boston: 61.4° 2nd warmest October Bridgeport: 62.3° warmest October on record Harrisburg: 61.2° 4th warmest Hartford: 59.9° warmest October on record Islip: 61.9° warmest October on record New Brunswick: 60.6° 3rd warmest New York City: 64.1° warmest October on record Newark: 63.8° warmest October on record Philadelphia: 64.5° 2nd warmest Providence: 61.2° 2nd warmest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 3 hours ago, NJwx85 said: Believe it or not I saw some color change on the Thruway in Westchester at the end of August. This tree is always early to the party. This crappy photo doesn’t do this sugar maple justice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 3 hours ago, bluewave said: Several stations are already in the top 5 highest number of 60 degree minimums with more to come over the next week or so. Notice how many of the top years were in the 2010's. 60 degree or warmer minimums through 10-4 White Plains #1...98 days....1959 #2...96 days....2012...2011 #3...94 days....2018....so far #4...93 days....2016 #5..92 days.....2015 Islip #1...109 days...2015 #2..107 days....2011 #3..105 days....2017 #4..103 days...2016 #5..102 days....2018 so far LGA #1...137 days....2007 #2....133 days...2016 #3....132 days...2012...2010 #4...131 days...2018 so far #5..129.days....1991 This might be the most depressing set of stats regarding tri state climate I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 4 hours ago, gravitylover said: There are always some trees that turn very early. Whether it's due to soil chemistry or something else I don't know but, there are a few trees that change early every year by me and it's always the same trees or at least the same group of trees. It seems like standalone specimen trees and those near roads/streams/other breaks in the landscape show signs of color first, and remain well ahead of the pack until stick season. Driving up NY 28 up to Woodstock and beyond this week you'd think the area was squarely at peak, but chuck the drone up somewhere and the forests are still like 85% green. Some of the old faithful trees you talk about are as vibrant as ever this year so far, at least up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 22 hours ago, sferic said: With all this warmth, let's go back 31 years ago to October 4th, 1987 Huge snowstorm north and NE of NYC NW Jersey and Northern Westchester had 3 inches while further North way over a foot. I remember just 30 to 40 miles up the thruway from NYC it was snowing as I was in it. WCBS AM also reported a sleet pellet in Hicksville NY What a storm I was out in CO that year and we had a very early season round of snow in September that put down enough that we were skiing off the divide in top of the boots deep on 9/20 and by the 23rd it was deep enough to be out on snowmobiles and doing some decent backcountry skiing. The first couple of days we were using 4x4's to do shuttle runs and on the 22nd I was one of the last trucks off the pass in my Landcruiser FJ55 with snow up to the hood by the end of the day. Fun times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Here comes El Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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