Cfa Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 Low of 33 here, no freeze yet. Early Nov doesn’t look very cold either, so the “growing season” continues here. No frost this morning, oddly enough, we had a ton yesterday and the low was 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 Models are wet for the next 2 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Models are wet for the next 2 weeks 88 we want " WHITE " not " wet " lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 27 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: 88 we want " WHITE " not " wet " lol 2011 and 2012 are a difficult act to follow even in this new extreme snowfall era. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: 2011 and 2012 are a difficult act to follow even in this new extreme snowfall era. Bluewave, yeah I get it. Conditions have to be so right for it to happen at this time of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 26, 2018 Author Share Posted October 26, 2018 Started a November thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Models are wet for the next 2 weeks Been the theme for awhile now...we get these short stretches of dry weather followed by a very wet period again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 10 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Bluewave, yeah I get it. Conditions have to be so right for it to happen at this time of the year. Our new contest should be guess the next year that NYC sees 1"+ of snow by November 8th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 26, 2018 Author Share Posted October 26, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 54 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Any correlation between this and us here not in Siberia ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 58 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Any correlation between this and us here not in Siberia ? Without butchering his theory too much...Siberian snow cover extent portends a significant source of cold air. With the right conditions, a cross-polar flow in the winter months, should help to deliver the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 4 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Without butchering his theory too much...Siberian snow cover extent portends a significant source of cold air. With the right conditions, a cross-polar flow in the winter months, should help to deliver the goods. It's bad for us, promotes a strong PV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 26, 2018 Author Share Posted October 26, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeteorologicalFan Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 4 hours ago, Snow88 said: Models are wet for the next 2 weeks I would watch the hours for 180-200 for a snowstorm even close to home I’d say up to mahopac area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 9 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It's bad for us, promotes a strong PV Uh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 38 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It's bad for us, promotes a strong PV No it doesn't, rapid expansion of snow cover in October has been correlated with strong periods of -AO in the winter, which promotes cold and snowy weather. If you look at the chart, some of the highest snow cover years included 2014 and 2009, two cold/snowy winters. The worst was 2011, which happened to be the worst winter in recent memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 42 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Uh? you beat me to the "UH " I was thinking more along the lines of " say what " but Snowski was on top of things lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 26, 2018 Author Share Posted October 26, 2018 43 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Uh? 10 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: No it doesn't, rapid expansion of snow cover in October has been correlated with strong periods of -AO in the winter, which promotes cold and snowy weather. If you look at the chart, some of the highest snow cover years included 2014 and 2009, two cold/snowy winters. The worst was 2011, which happened to be the worst winter in recent memory. Seriously guys, stop playing into his hand, he does this every year. Just ignore him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 2 hours ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Any correlation between this and us here not in Siberia ? It has a weak correlation with the predominant state of the winter AO, but it has missed badly in recent years. Given the magnitude of recent misses, it’s increasingly an open question as to whether it is any more skillful than climatology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 2 hours ago, MeteorologicalFan said: I would watch the hours for 180-200 for a snowstorm even close to home I’d say up to Mahopac area. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 Very little wind thus far on the UWS. I was even up high and outside as seen in this pic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Very little wind thus far on the UWS. I was even up high and outside as seen in this pic... Starting to gust a little here on the south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 Last 5 days of Oct. averaging 54degs., or 1deg. AN. Month to date is +1.5[59.2]. Should end Oct. at +1.5[58.4]. All 8 days averaging 55degs., or about 2degs. AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 18 hours ago, Brasiluvsnow said: 88 we want " WHITE " not " wet " lol Too early 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Not out of the question that the warmest spots in the DCA-EWR corridor see a rare Halloween 70. November doesn't look warm at all during the 1st week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 5 hours ago, CIK62 said: Last 5 days of Oct. averaging 54degs., or 1deg. AN. Month to date is +1.5[59.2]. Should end Oct. at +1.5[58.4]. All 8 days averaging 55degs., or about 2degs. AN. It's 40* here, I'd guess it doesn't hit 50 even if the bulk of this storm clears through by mid afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 16 minutes ago, gravitylover said: It's 40* here, I'd guess it doesn't hit 50 even if the bulk of this storm clears through by mid afternoon. 37° here.. Nasty out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 Looks like some places in NYC could hit 70 on Nov 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 Might have to head down and go for a bike ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 ^^Temp departure here now at +1.5 degrees for the month...We've come a long way since the first 11 days of the month which were +10 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 13 minutes ago, doncat said: ^^Temp departure here now at +1.5 degrees for the month...We've come a long way since the first 11 days of the month which were +10 degrees. While we got cooler temperatures since the middle of the month, it wasn't cold enough to flip the departures cold. Similar to recent months, warmest departures are east of NYC. The month should end on a warm note with the positive departures for the 31st. October 2018 temperature departures through the 26th: EWR...+1.4 NYC....+1.5 JFK.....+1.4 LGA.....+2.5 BDR.....+2.3 ISP......+2.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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