CIK62 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 52degs., or about 3degs. BN. Month to date is +6.2[65.4]. Should be +3.2[60.8] by the 25th. Note: We need a 61.2 finish to make the TopTen. Really dry for next 10 days, then potential storm. Oct. usually has the fewest wet days anyway at 8 or 9, but they tend to be bigger events. April has the most at 13 or 14, usually less precipitation for each event however. 50.3 here at 6am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 38° here currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeteorologicalFan Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 48 in the Bronx. Perfect weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 Bottomed out at 40, currently 43. Cold has been over performing at night, forecast was 45/46. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 3 hours ago, JerseyWx said: 38° here currently. First frost of the year for me , I bottomed out at 35.3 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 3k NAM, 12k NAM and HRRR have the city making it into the 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 19 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: 3k NAM, 12k NAM and HRRR have the city making it into the 30s. After one of the latest first temperatures under 50 around the area, a low below 40 would be early early for the 2010's in NYC. The NAM MOS and GFS MOS both have a low of 39 in NYC on Thursday. Average first temperature under 40 in NYC during the 2010's: 10-27 Earliest 10-13-12 Latest 11-08-17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 33° for a low.. Upton mentioning snow mixing in tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 1 hour ago, rgwp96 said: First frost of the year for me , I bottomed out at 35.3 . It probably got colder, that was at 7:00am. Definitely feels like October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 Big storm is quite possible with the pattern depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 Just had a squall come through here. Very gusty winds accompanied by some sprinkles. Thought I might see a few flakes mixed in but surface temps are just too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Big storm is quite possible with the pattern depicted. The timing is off on the last few runs. Trough is kicking it East off the Mid-Atlantic coast instead of trapping it and pulling it North. Either way looks like a big rainstorm for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: The timing is off on the last few runs. Trough is kicking it East off the Mid-Atlantic coast instead of trapping it and pulling it North. Either way looks like a big rainstorm for someone. Agree with snow possible in New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 Let it snow let it snow let it snow xD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 10 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Agree with snow possible in New England Are you guys talking about the down the road towards Halloween or before that ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Are you guys talking about the down the road towards Halloween or before that ? The general threat area is the weekend before Halloween. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 29 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Agree with snow possible in New England There have been some heavier snow showers and squalls in parts of the Adirondacks this afternoon. Winter is approaching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 Very windy on the UWS currently. Leaves are blowing every where which definitely adds to the fall feel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 2 hours ago, NJwx85 said: The general threat area is the weekend before Halloween. 18z gfs shows a strong coastal rainstorm for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 18 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 18z gfs shows a strong coastal rainstorm for the area Storm force bomb on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 Hit 36 this morning; progged for 31 tomorrow night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeteorologicalFan Posted October 18, 2018 Share Posted October 18, 2018 It feels like a winter night. Winds howling and cold with a temperature of 49 in the Bronx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 18, 2018 Share Posted October 18, 2018 55 right now in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 18, 2018 Share Posted October 18, 2018 Earthlight "The threat for a significant storm along the East Coast from 10/25 - 10/30 can be traced back to the larger scale pattern evolution in the North Pacific Ocean. A jet extension and poleward amplification of a ridge into British Columbia jump starts the pattern change." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 18, 2018 Share Posted October 18, 2018 14 hours ago, bluewave said: After one of the latest first temperatures under 50 around the area, a low below 40 would be early early for the 2010's in NYC. The NAM MOS and GFS MOS both have a low of 39 in NYC on Thursday. Average first temperature under 40 in NYC during the 2010's: 10-27 Earliest 10-13-12 Latest 11-08-17 Didn't we get into the 20s in mid Oct on the south shore of Nassau County with snow showers also in NYC- I think that was last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 18, 2018 Share Posted October 18, 2018 19 hours ago, bluewave said: For once, the EPS weeklies and CFS weeklies are in good agreement. El Nino trough in the East lingers into early November. Followed by a return of the ridge after. Pretty standard October into November El Nino response. Latest ECMWF weeklies show the cold pattern in the central & eastern U.S. persisting into early November, followed by a mid-month, #ElNiño-stoked warmup. 2nd half of November may not be ideal for East Coast winter weather events. pic.twitter.com/j3PgpkF2Dc 4:06 PM - 15 Oct 2018 Sounds a lot like what Larry Cosgrove said....cold until November 7, then mild from there through the end of December and then cold again January through March.... is that what your thinking is too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 18, 2018 Author Share Posted October 18, 2018 Current temp is 42 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 18, 2018 Share Posted October 18, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 52degs., or about 2degs. BN. Month to date is +5.6[64.7]. Should be +3.2[60.6] by the 26th. Storm for the 28th. not looking so good this morning. EURO lost an offshore item and the GFS is weaker with system. 44.4 here at 5am 43.8 here at 6am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 18, 2018 Share Posted October 18, 2018 4 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Didn't we get into the 20s in mid Oct on the south shore of Nassau County with snow showers also in NYC- I think that was last year? That was October 2016. NYC, though, only got down to 38° and ISP to 36°. In October 2017, both locations had their lowest monthly readings as 42° and 40° respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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