Rtd208 Posted October 10, 2018 Author Share Posted October 10, 2018 Flash Flood Watch up for most of Upton's forecast area as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 36 hours until summer is finally over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 Hot today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 10, 2018 Author Share Posted October 10, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 47 minutes ago, psv88 said: Hot today! This has to be some of the warmest fog along the South Shore that I felt in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 24 minutes ago, bluewave said: This has to be some of the warmest fog along the South Shore that I felt in October. Fog just moving in here...looks perty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 10, 2018 Author Share Posted October 10, 2018 Current temp 78/DP 72/RH 76% Summer continues, for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 models showing a screw zone for rains N and W of NYC-euro, nam and GFS all show it to some degree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 only thing differentiating today from summer is the 6:25 sunset instead of 8:25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: models showing a screw zone for rains N and W of NYC-euro, nam and GFS all show it to some degree Is it really s screw zone after all the rain we’ve had? More like hitting the jackpot if it happens IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: Current temp 78/DP 72/RH 76% Summer continues, for now. Brutal in Manhattan today. I cannot wait for some legit fall weather to work in. I could easily see is being just to far north for the Michael precip and just too far south for the front. Winds should be pretty gusty Friday morning out of the north which will bring down any loose leaves as we have had a lack of even moderate winds lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 10, 2018 Author Share Posted October 10, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 Hmon is also very close to the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 10, 2018 Author Share Posted October 10, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: models showing a screw zone for rains N and W of NYC-euro, nam and GFS all show it to some degree This is one time I'll look forward to getting screwed. #nomorerain 22 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Brutal in Manhattan today. I cannot wait for some legit fall weather to work in. I could easily see is being just to far north for the Michael precip and just too far south for the front. Winds should be pretty gusty Friday morning out of the north which will bring down any loose leaves as we have had a lack of even moderate winds lately We need some wind to dry things out. Unfortunately it will bring down some rotted trees and branches but I guess that's the price we need to pay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 9 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Of that we’re to verify we would have tropical storm conditions on the island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: Is it really s screw zone after all the rain we’ve had? More like hitting the jackpot if it happens IMO trust me after 12 plus inches here in the last few weeks, I'm rooting for a miss locally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: trust me after 12 plus inches here in the last few weeks, I'm rooting for a miss locally Seriously, enough is enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 2 hours ago, Rtd208 said: I'm curious to look at the FSU phase space diagrams as this thing exists the coast to see just how ET it really is. What's shown by the HWRF looks more like something approaching the coast than something from the FL panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 With a temperature of 74° at 10 pm, it is very likely that today's low temperature at Central Park will wind up at 71°. If so, today's low temperature will be Central Park's latest 70° minimum temperature on record. The record for the latest 70° or above minimum temperature was set just last year when the low temperature fell to 71° on October 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 59degs., or still 2degs. AN. Month to date is +9.5[69.8]. Should be down to +6.2[65.0] by the 19th. Been 71+ here since 5am.. But still the RWTT does not show the cooldown for the rest of Oct. CFS has it BN for the next 45 days, but claims Nov. will be AN, along with the whole winter. Wet again near the 16th, then whole country goes dry like in Prohibition. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 11, 2018 Author Share Posted October 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 11, 2018 Author Share Posted October 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Yesterday's 71° low temperature at Central Park was Central Park's latest 70° minimum temperature on record. The previous record was set just last year when the low temperature fell to 71°. Bridgeport, with a low temperature of 70°, also recorded its latest 70° minimum temperature on record. Its previous record was set on October 9, 2017 with a low temperature of 71°. Finally, Tampa had its latest 80° minimum temperature on record. The prior record was set on October 9, 2009 and tied on October 9, 2017 with a low temperature of 80°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 The first half of fall so far is among the warmest on record across the area. 9/1-10/10 EWR...#4...70.9 LGA....#3....72.5 HPN...#4....67.6 JFK.....#3...70.5 BDR....#1...69.2 ISP.....#1...69.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 9 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said: I'm curious to look at the FSU phase space diagrams as this thing exists the coast to see just how ET it really is. What's shown by the HWRF looks more like something approaching the coast than something from the FL panhandle. Hurricane models still show alot of rain for the area while the other models don't show alot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 Low of 70 here this morning, it may not last the whole day, but it’s still impressive for mid October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Hurricane models still show alot of rain for the area while the other models don't show alot. Given that's it's not really all that tropical by the time it gets here, I'd go with the regular models. 3K nam is what most show-an area in the middle that does not get all that much relatively speaking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 22 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Given that's it's not really all that tropical by the time it gets here, I'd go with the regular models. 3K nam is what most show-an area in the middle that does not get all that much relatively speaking We will have multiple rounds of convection today even if the core of Michael slides by just to the Southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 34 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Given that's it's not really all that tropical by the time it gets here, I'd go with the regular models. 3K nam is what most show-an area in the middle that does not get all that much relatively speaking We have thrown out the hurricane models once before and got burned for it. We will see what happens later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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