BretWx Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Not a bad look for 5 days out w/ this afternoon's runs. We shall see. Perhaps a moderate event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 FV3 with a jump to a miller B look, although different from other solutions, it is a lot closer in line to the Miller A's that are popping up, compared to it's 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Flipping through the eps members looks promising. Pretty much every member gives something though most are 1-4 inch’s for most they are 5 or 6 at 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Hey guys hope everybody had a good Christmas!!! Who's ready for round two lol After my 14 in in December I'll take a half foot just drizzle on the icing on the cake I already got haha.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Apparently because of the government shutdown the GFS isn't getting all its model data inputted. It doesn't mean it's wrong, but probably having agreement with the Euro is more important. Sent from my moto z3 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Models still a little all over the place. Of course, I'd LOVE a big snow again, but right now, happy with seeing flakes fly for most of the day Saturday. As much as I enjoy the 60s we've been having, will be nice to have the cold back for a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Most definitely would be nice to see some flakes flying and have a little January weather in January. I know the ski resorts are sorely needing this cold snap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 12z gfs is a solid event. Seeing more eps members with bigger totals overnight too. Mean jumped an inch from 3 to 4 for Boone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 19 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: 12z gfs is a solid event. Seeing more eps members with bigger totals overnight too. Mean jumped an inch from 3 to 4 for Boone. GEFS with a noticeable jump in QPF from under an inch to about 1.2 average with more members much higher. Snow mean is at 6 inches for Boone with a lot more members showing more as well. BRING IT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Interesting: https://newsroom.ibm.com/2019-01-08-New-IBM-Weather-System-to-Provide-Vastly-Improved-Forecasting-Around-the-World Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 12z EPS snowfall avg was a sizable increase at KAVL. Nearly doubled from the 0z. This is going to be a very dynamic storm.. and lingering backside moisture will make things fun again Monday! I am looking forward to tracking this one!. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 Well that's something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 9, 2019 Author Share Posted January 9, 2019 Slightly OT: when does the fv3 takeover for the gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 The wind right now is impressive. You can hear gusts coming from a valley away. It'll be raging around sunrise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 hours ago, Tyler Penland said: Slightly OT: when does the fv3 takeover for the gfs? January 25 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 hour ago, SnoJoe said: The wind right now is impressive. You can hear gusts coming from a valley away. It'll be raging around sunrise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I know models are wavering a bit, but still not a bad look at KAVL on the 6z GEFS. This one is far from over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 12z Gfs delivers the goods 12+ for a large portion of the central and northern mountains. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 11 minutes ago, NC_WX10 said: 12z Gfs delivers the goods 12+ for a large portion of the central and northern mountains. Not a bad look for the escarpment either. Looking like 4-6 inches there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 hour ago, NC_WX10 said: 12z Gfs delivers the goods 12+ for a large portion of the central and northern mountains. Hey what is the start time consensus and how much does Boone get on 12z Icon and Canadian? At work and cant pull up, lot of kidos heading back up the mtn sat and sun as classes start back Monday. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Hope all the mountain folks reel this one in. I leave Friday for an 8 day cruise to Aruba, Curaçao, Grand Turk and DR. I hate missing winter storms though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 GFMTN. 2 100+ Mph Wind Gusts 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Well Jason Boyer on WLOS said this will be a nuisance event, I still thought we were far enough away from the event to where things could change overnight. I don't think I would have said one way or the other right now since there is plenty of time for the models to change. I remember last year when Jason said we would probably only see an inch and we got a foot in Candler and the Asheville area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 The gfs is really the only model showing a good storm. Euro and fv3 are unimpressive though the euro is around a quarter inch of ice with a couple inches of snow for a large portion of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 hour ago, Tacoma said: Well Jason Boyer on WLOS said this will be a nuisance event, I still thought we were far enough away from the event to where things could change overnight. I don't think I would have said one way or the other right now since there is plenty of time for the models to change. I remember last year when Jason said we would probably only see an inch and we got a foot in Candler and the Asheville area. I agree, this thing still has 72 hours or so to change a lot. It’s hard for me to believe with a 1040 high could not push this thing a little further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Flurrying in Boone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Flurries here on Beech also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 28 minutes ago, MotoWeatherman said: Flurries here on Beech also Got a few flakes falling in Wolf too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Awful quiet in here, I guess that tells me NEXT. Man we just can’t get the cold air to hang around for three or four days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 The Euro actually has a decent hit, especially for northern mountain folks. Also quite a bit of ice in the adjacent Blue Ridge. Not over yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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