franklin NCwx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hvward said: Wow, 75” a year is classified as rain forest. You are nearly double that(or 55” above rainforest classification).. astonishing. Most if the southern mtns are like that. Gets old sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hvward said: Wow, 75” a year is classified as rain forest. You are nearly double that(or 55” above rainforest classification).. astonishing. We average about 90” a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, franklin NCwx said: Most if the southern mtns are like that. Gets old sometimes. Yes it does. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 18 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: So far I've seen 3 more does than snowflakes. LOL. Actually, the field near my house had 6 in it this morning. So, you know what is downstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Amazing total so far. We've outperformed as well. I'm sitting at 95" on the year. Will do. We have over performed with every system this year precipitation wise so I don’t see why this system should be any different. We’re right at 130” of rain for the year. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 After getting down to 33 and heavy mixing, I'm nearing 35 and just a couple flakes mixing. Looking forward to the high getting in position and cooling me back off, I hope.Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 I need to just not look at the radar. I always have negative illusions of what is going on. Speaking of rain. 70 inches this year. I don't know how you guys do that every year. There has not been one event that has not over performed. Let's hope that the trend continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 20 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: So far I've seen 3 more does than snowflakes. I have light snow in Wolf already. You'll see it before too long hopefully. This was off my back porch yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 7 minutes ago, LiQuiDBuD said: After getting down to 33 and heavy mixing, I'm nearing 35 and just a couple flakes mixing. Looking forward to the high getting in position and cooling me back off, I hope. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk Don't worry, with the heavy rates later you will be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 7 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: I need to just not look at the radar. I always have negative illusions of what is going on. Speaking of rain. 70 inches this year. I don't know how you guys do that every year. There has not been one event that has not over performed. Let's hope that the trend continues. Trust me, it gets really old. And it can be frustrating in the winter when you can barely get .25 qpf out of a snow event but a rain event can easily be 4-6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Flurries falling here at my place off Highway 74 near Reynolds High. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Uh oh. 3km NAM has 4-6 hours of sleet for Asheville overnight tonight, during the period of best forcing and maximum moisture. Bye bye snow totals. Time to sound the alarms. This is not an epic event or once in a generation event. Oh and 12Z NAM cuts QPF by 40-50% as well. Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 I’ve seen about 4 snowflakes so far. 37/33 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, HurricaneTracker said: Uh oh. 3km NAM has 4-6 hours of sleet for Asheville overnight tonight, during the period of best forcing and maximum moisture. Bye bye snow totals. Time to sound the alarms. This is not an epic event or once in a generation event. Oh and 12Z NAM cuts QPF by 40-50% as well. Damn. Damn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 19 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: Uh oh. 3km NAM has 4-6 hours of sleet for Asheville overnight tonight, during the period of best forcing and maximum moisture. Bye bye snow totals. Time to sound the alarms. This is not an epic event or once in a generation event. Oh and 12Z NAM cuts QPF by 40-50% as well. Damn. Dang. Talk about Lucy pulling the football. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, BretWheatley said: Damn! surely not, must be a hiccup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Looks like Hendersonville goes to sleet as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: Uh oh. 3km NAM has 4-6 hours of sleet for Asheville overnight tonight, during the period of best forcing and maximum moisture. Bye bye snow totals. Time to sound the alarms. This is not an epic event or once in a generation event. Oh and 12Z NAM cuts QPF by 40-50% as well. Damn. Not buying the QPF reduction whatsoever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: Uh oh. 3km NAM has 4-6 hours of sleet for Asheville overnight tonight, during the period of best forcing and maximum moisture. Bye bye snow totals. Time to sound the alarms. This is not an epic event or once in a generation event. Oh and 12Z NAM cuts QPF by 40-50% as well. Damn. The 12k 12Z NAM actually increased QPF. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 GSP saying should be a mostly snow event was the latest forecast around Asheville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, Tacoma said: GSP saying should be a mostly snow event was the latest forecast around Asheville. Forecasts always subject to change as fresh hi-res model data come in. Warm nose is a big deal. Snow totals here and Hendersonville will need to be reduced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Thoughts on the HRRR HT? Any hope with the more positive presentation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, BretWheatley said: Looks like Hendersonville goes to sleet as well. Sorry to say but your sleet starts at midnight tonight and lasts for 12 hours. Minimal amount of time for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, ncjoaquin said: Thoughts on the HRRR HT? Any hope with the more positive presentation? The HRRR is quite a bit colder with minimum warm nose through 2am Sunday. 3km NAM already had sleet by then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: Sorry to say but your sleet starts at midnight tonight and lasts for 12 hours. Minimal amount of time for snow. Mental note taken. I’ll remain hopeful... for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Well its now casting from now on pretty much. Whatever it does it does. Rain, snow, sleet whatever it is will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: Forecasts always subject to change as fresh hi-res model data come in. Warm nose is a big deal. Snow totals here and Hendersonville will need to be reduced Until the nam runs again. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Was thinking from everything I see and just heard Jim Cantore say WNC will be snow and the warm nose comes in to play down around the piedmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Big fatties flying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, Tacoma said: Was thinking from everything I see and just heard Jim Cantore say WNC will be snow and the warm nose comes in to play down around the piedmont. No longer the case. Look at the sounding data I posted 15 minutes ago. Warm nose is clear as day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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