BretWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Current back porch view looking east. Can’t wait to see this unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Nam coming in colder so far on 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 WOW we're getting nam'd. Very juicy look for all of us at 42 Edit: and 45 Edit: and 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 We do need to watch this. But seems that given the moisture transport mechanism off of the Gulf and Atlantic, perhaps this won't be too big an issue.Been busy at work but MOB is not super worried about it down this way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 I spent years wishing for a forecast like this when I lived in central SC. This will be on top of the 2-3" still on the ground up here. Saturday Night Snow, mainly after 8pm. Low around 25. East southeast wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Sunday Snow. High near 31. East wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. Sunday Night Snow likely, mainly before 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 30. East northeast wind 7 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Monday A 40 percent chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Got my little NW trend I wanted earlier, at least in terms of the precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 GSP upping totals and WSW timing: ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO NOON EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 11 to 18 inches, with even higher amounts possible on mountain ridges. Ice accumulations of around a tenth of an inch are also expected. * WHERE...Buncombe, Henderson, and Transylvania Counties, plus mountainous portions of Rutherford and Polk Counties. * WHEN...From noon Saturday to noon Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult or even impossible. Road conditions will deteriorate Saturday night, with highway travel continuing to be impacted through early next week. Visibility may drop to less than a half mile during periods of heavy snow. A few power outages will occur. Widespread, prolonged power outages are possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 So...not too get too excited...but that 18z NAM has the low MUCH closer to the coast, get any closer and we've got a chance at a longer duration of heavy precip...This might be worth watching on that aspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 7, 2018 Author Share Posted December 7, 2018 So...not too get too excited...but that 18z NAM has the low MUCH closer to the coast, get any closer and we've got a chance at a longer duration of heavy precip...This might be worth watching on that aspect.They always come NW a little. Always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: 6 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: So...not too get too excited...but that 18z NAM has the low MUCH closer to the coast, get any closer and we've got a chance at a longer duration of heavy precip...This might be worth watching on that aspect. They always come NW a little. Always. Yea, my gut feeling, and this is 100% only gut based, is that by the midnight runs tonight, we might see some totals that rival what we had a few days ago, unless models do another southerly adjustment, which I don't think is going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Kind of hard to ignore nearly every model giving most of us over a foot of snow. Many more than that. This is going to be fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 GFS has the lowest amount for most of WNC and thats still over 10 for many places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Guys I’m not one for hyperbole & things are always fluid but, this has all the makings of an amazing event! I hope all of you exceed your expectations and we’re able to reference the December 18 storm for years to come!!! Good luck and I’ll be living vicariously through all of you.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, wncsnow said: GFS has the lowest amount for most of WNC and thats still over 10 for many places Blaming that on convection at the gulf, it looked good overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 hour ago, AsheCounty48 said: Blaming that on convection at the gulf, it looked good overall. Gulf convection always disrupts the transport. I've heard it a hundred times after they say "we dodged the bullet" because of the thunderstorms down south. I'm a long way from the escarpment and that cuts totals here too. You can see the sharp cutoff near the TN line which is only 6 miles from me as the crow flies. I'm thinking maybe 4 to 6 for mby, GFS has me at 5. You foothills guys and girls are going to get crushed. And now for a little color, a link to Rays call map. http://grads.raysweather.com/modelData/event.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Gulf convection always disrupts the transport. I've heard it a hundred times after they say "we dodged the bullet" because of the thunderstorms down south. I'm a long way from the escarpment and that cuts totals here too. You can see the sharp cutoff near the TN line which is only 6 miles from me as the crow flies. I'm thinking maybe 4 to 6 for mby, GFS has me at 5. You foothills guys and girls are going to get crushed. And now for a little color, a link to Rays call map. http://grads.raysweather.com/modelData/event.pngJoe, I’ll bet you a bottle of Makers you exceed your predictions!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Cantore is headed to boone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Cantore is headed to boone!He’s headed in the wrong direction. I’m thinking the jackpot area is Brevard/Hendersonville, really think 18” is a possibility Edit, the clown maps with 27 “ are really pretty to look at, just don’t think they’re that realistic. I’d love to be proven wrong . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 23 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: Joe, I’ll bet you a bottle of Makers you exceed your predictions! . Ha! I'll be sippin' on some sauce later on this evening so I might take you up on it. Plus, I'm sure my post count goes up significantly by then. You might be right though, but believe it not, my area acts weird when the moisture comes from the south. Seems like it takes forever to saturate. I track virga for hours. But yeah, it usually works out in the end. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, The Alchemist said: He’s headed in the wrong direction. I’m really thinking the jackpot area is Brevard/Hendersonville, really think 18” is a possibility . Dude, you are in a great spot also. GSP expected map has your area around 19". woah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 8 minutes ago, NC_WX10 said: Cantore is headed to boone! I'm gonna high key make an appearance on the weather channel then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, AsheCounty48 said: I'm gonna high key make an appearance on the weather channel then. I'm already planning it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 9 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: I'm gonna high key make an appearance on the weather channel then. Make it happen man!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 Cantore is headed to boone!Per his Twitter he's in Asheville. Mostly rumors. I seen Watauga roads posted it on fb though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 6 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: 29 minutes ago, NC_WX10 said: Cantore is headed to boone! Per his Twitter he's in Asheville. Mostly rumors. I seen Watauga roads posted it on fb though. Even If he stays in Asheville I may drive down to meet him. Dude is one of the reasons I fell in love with the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boonelight Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 6 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: 30 minutes ago, NC_WX10 said: Cantore is headed to boone! Per his Twitter he's in Asheville. Mostly rumors. I seen Watauga roads posted it on fb though. Just saw on a WU graphic that he’s in Boone. 2 other anchors are in Asheville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 New 21Z SREF is in. Wet! Mean up to 2.63" with 8 members over 3.00" of liquid. Snowfall mean 11.45". Few members over 30" and under 2". Lol. My bet is 00Z NAM comes in wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, HurricaneTracker said: New 21Z SREF is in. Wet! Mean up to 2.63" with 8 members over 3.00" of liquid. Snowfall mean 11.45". Few members over 30" and under 2". Lol. My bet is 00Z NAM comes in wetter I assume that's for Asheville? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, AsheCounty48 said: I assume that's for Asheville? Yea. Boone liquid mean is 2.27" with 15.8" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: Yea. Boone liquid mean is 2.27" with 15.8" of snow Just making sure, been checking out trends on the plumes, since I don't use them very much. Boone has been pretty consistent all day, within a couple of inches, can't complain with an average of 15 inches through several runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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