franklin NCwx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, Rainforrest said: Did y’all see Andy woods storm prediction totals for the storm in the main thread? I saw them on Facebook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, Rainforrest said: Did y’all see Andy woods storm prediction totals for the storm in the main thread? Did he pop in? He posted some on FB about the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: I saw them on Facebook I don’t think he is giving the escarpment enough love. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: Did y’all see Andy woods storm prediction totals for the storm in the main thread? Saw his Blizzard warning prediction. Also benchmark in Boone per rays is 30 (1993). I was in the "whee" for that one and NWs had officially a Blizzard warning out. Something that saturday afternoon seeing 40mph+ wind while heavy snow falling. Also think ray said snowiest December on record for Boone was like 27 inches (2010). So if Boone had what 3 earlier this week and nets about 16-20 this weekend. Look out another record is in reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 20 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Did he pop in? He posted some on FB about the storm. I haven't seen him on the board, just chatted with him on Facebook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Euro pushing those 20+ amounts a bit closer to Boone. I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, AsheCounty48 said: Euro pushing those 20+ amounts a bit closer to Boone. I'll take it You are in a great spot, enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 BTW you all need to keep a close eye on late next week. Strong cut off low in the TN valley with long periods of upslope snow possible. In fact some places could get 6-12 easy in favored spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, AsheCounty48 said: Euro pushing those 20+ amounts a bit closer to Boone. I'll take it Looks like heavier amounts pushing into SW NC also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 24 minutes ago, wncsnow said: BTW you all need to keep a close eye on late next week. Strong cut off low in the TN valley with long periods of upslope snow possible. In fact some places could get 6-12 easy in favored spots I havent paid all that much attention to it yet, but the signal is strong for a really well set up upslope event. But not gonna worry about it til Tuesday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Well, the 7 in 27.2 is directly above my house. So, I’m going to take it lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 The 3k NAM is beautiful. Edit: Y’all let me know if I’m posting too much, lol.. The hype has kicked in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, BretWheatley said: The 3k NAM is beautiful. Edit: Y’all let me know if I’m posting too much, lol.. The hype has kicked in This is the mountain thread. We're all one big family here. lol Post away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Everything still on track, if it plays out like fv3 euro and ukmet outputs it will be one of the greats we all talk about years from now . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 I'm hunting big game...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, HKY1894 said: Everything still on track, if it plays out like fv3 euro and ukmet outputs it will be one of the greats we all talk about years from now . Seeing the Euro put out what it did less than 24 hours away really made me buy in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 The one nagging doubt I have is the gulf hasn't had much time for a winter cool down; I just can't help but think there is a warm nose sneaking up behind me despite the CAD in front of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Moonhowl said: The one nagging doubt I have is the gulf hasn't had much time for a winter cool down; I just can't help but think there is a warm nose sneaking up behind me despite the CAD in front of me. I'm starting to wonder if convective activity on the gulf coast will affect the moisture transport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boonelight Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, Buckethead said: I'm hunting big game...lol Where do you find maps like that on a NWS site? I’ve seen ones similar to this posted on the forums but can’t seem to find them. Apologies if I’m asking an obvious question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 HRRR looks odd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, BretWheatley said: HRRR looks odd... Nah. Looks fine to me. All systems go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 8 minutes ago, Buckethead said: I'm starting to wonder if convective activity on the gulf coast will affect the moisture transport. We do need to watch this. But seems that given the moisture transport mechanism off of the Gulf and Atlantic, perhaps this won't be too big an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, Boonelight said: Where do you find maps like that on a NWS site? I’ve seen ones similar to this posted on the forums but can’t seem to find them. Apologies if I’m asking an obvious question. On the NWS forecast page, look near the top and click on the headline major winter storm expected. Then on that next page click the top left blue tab next to the red hazard tab. It's near the middle of the next page under the paragraph in bold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 11 minutes ago, Moonhowl said: The one nagging doubt I have is the gulf hasn't had much time for a winter cool down; I just can't help but think there is a warm nose sneaking up behind me despite the CAD in front of me. Gulf temperatures have zero impact on our storm. If anything, warmer temperatures support more evaporation and thus more added water vapor / moisture availability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boonelight Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, Buckethead said: On the NWS forecast page, look near the top and click on the headline major winter storm expected. Then on that next page click the top left blue tab next to the red hazard tab. It's near the bottom of the next page. Found it, thanks! Good luck in your “hunt”! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 11 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: All systems go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Still undecided on where to go. I think Fletcher/Hendersonville is a safe bet for at least 10" but GSP's probability maps favor places like Brevard or Morganton. My gut tells me Brevard could end up too far west and lose CAD. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, chapelhillwx said: Still undecided on where to go. I think Fletcher/Hendersonville is a safe bet for at least 10" but GSP's probability maps favor places like Brevard or Morganton. My gut tells me Brevard could end up too far west and lose CAD. Thoughts? I can assure you that Brevard and Hendersonville rarely end up far off from one another with these setups. Orographic Lifting will do work on both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: I can assure you that Brevard and Hendersonville rarely end up far off from one another with these setups. Orographic Lifting will do work on both. Hendersonville it is then. Not a bad drive at all from me and if push comes to shove gf's parents own a business there and I can sleep on the floor lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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