BretWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, BooneWX said: I just don’t know what to make of the FV3....I mean it’s supposed to be the new GFS in a few months, but I mean...30 inches. I hope so, but dang that’s hard to buy. This will be... it’s first real test. Either way, a lasting impression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: Wowzers. That. Is. Incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: So do we toss GSP? Lol. Ha ha ha. For now.....yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, BlueRidgeFolklore said: That. Is. Incredible. To think that the FV3 and Euro are both showing close to the same solution... Makes you wonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 7, 2018 Author Share Posted December 7, 2018 To think that the FV3 and Euro are both showing close to the same solution... Makes you wonder.Ukmet on board too, no? I didn't see the 12z cause I was slavin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, Tyler Penland said: 2 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: To think that the FV3 and Euro are both showing close to the same solution... Makes you wonder. Ukmet on board too, no? I didn't see the 12z cause I was slavin'. I think I missed that one as well. I don't remember it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Tyler Penland said: 2 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: To think that the FV3 and Euro are both showing close to the same solution... Makes you wonder. Ukmet on board too, no? I didn't see the 12z cause I was slavin'. Ukie and IIRC, the CMC as well. Someone correct me if I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, AsheCounty48 said: To think that the FV3 and Euro are both showing close to the same solution... Makes you wonder. No doubt it does. Just crazy consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 GEFS mean back up to near 17 inches at KAVL, QPF 2.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 7, 2018 Author Share Posted December 7, 2018 GEFS mean back up to near 17 inches at KAVL, QPF 2.6 Where are you pulling that from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: 10 minutes ago, BretWheatley said: GEFS mean back up to near 17 inches at KAVL, QPF 2.6 Where are you pulling that from? http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gc_wmb/tdorian/gefs/EMCGEFSplumes.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Flurries Temp - 27.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Soil temp is currently 35 degrees in Asheville. So, no problem with that or sun angle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 WTH is GSP doing? Meth, they started at noon today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 56 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: Ha ha ha. For now.....yes Can't believe GSP has Asheville under a WSW and for 1 to 8 inches of snow during the event from start to end. I would have thought more like 12 to 20 during the whole event. That is unreal 1 to 8 inches. I mean with what the models keep coming out with that is a joke. I even see where winds will be gusting to 50 miles an hour at times, sounds more like Blizzard conditions. Most everything I've looked at and maps I've seen keeps from Hendersonville north mostly if not all snow during the whole event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 18 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said: Meth, they started at noon today. LOL. Isohume posted in the main thread that is all computer generated and they can't control it's output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bamabuilder86 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Thoughts on black mountain? I’ll be in a cabin there. Even with a Jeep, I opted to stay closer to the base with an easy plowed path to get back on I-40. Wanted to stay up high but couldn’t afford to get stuck through early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 LOL. Isohume posted in the main thread that is all computer generated and they can't control it's output.That’s their cover up lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold air aloft Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 I know folks have varying opinions of TWC, but Tom Nizzel is still confidently bullish on this event for most of us. Calling for around a foot for most of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, cold air aloft said: I know folks have varying opinions of TWC, but Tom Nizzel is still confidently bullish on this event for most of us. Calling for around a foot for most of the mountains. Yeah, he’s been dropping large totals all evening. It has me confused, ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Hey, y’all! I am considering chasing this one in the Hendersonville/Flat Rock area. That area is the closest area to Atlanta (where I’ll be Saturday) that is consistently getting nailed on the models. I came in here to see if you guys had any suggestions or if you think that’s a good spot. Never been up that way before. Thinking of getting a cheap hotel for 2 nights somewhere right off I-26, which I’m sure is a main priority for those plowing. Thanks for your insight in advance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 22 minutes ago, jrips27 said: Hey, y’all! I am considering chasing this one in the Hendersonville/Flat Rock area. That area is the closest area to Atlanta (where I’ll be Saturday) that is consistently getting nailed on the models. I came in here to see if you guys had any suggestions or if you think that’s a good spot. Never been up that way before. Thinking of getting a cheap hotel for 2 nights somewhere right off I-26, which I’m sure is a main priority for those plowing. Thanks for your insight in advance! Upward Road off of I26 in Flat Rock. 3 new hotels, Cracker Barrel, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 I'm back gang! Let's do this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 SREF plumes for AVL have really skyrocketed today. The scale now goes to 40"! Three members over 30". Three members near zero. 00Z NAM should be telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Listening to Jason's live video right now, you could tell he was caught off guard earlier by GSP and it made him a little uneasy. Now he's back to his guns and he's very confident. Feels only mixing will be an issue in SW mtns. Calling for huge totals in central and northern mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Listening to Jason's live video right now, you could tell he was caught off guard earlier by GSP and it made him a little uneasy. Now he's back to his guns and he's very confident. Feels only mixing will be an issue in SW mtns. Calling for huge totals in central and northern mtns. 00Z NAM trending his direction. Starts precip MUCH earlier (mid morning Saturday) and thus wedges us in much sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 8 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: SREF plumes for AVL have really skyrocketed today. The scale now goes to 40"! Three members over 30". Three members near zero. 00Z NAM should be telling. Same for KFQD. 6 over 15" with 2 over 20". Only 3 over 15" at HR15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 00z is about to go boom it appears! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 22 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I'm back gang! Let's do this! Heck yea, it's a party now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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